Change isn't the greatest pollster (putting it mildly) but would this result really surprise you guys that much? Remember that Brown beat trash-tier candidate Josh Mandel by only 6 points in 2012, and Ohio has veered sharply to the right since then. Yeah, 2018 will likely be a better environment for Dems, but 2012 wasn't exactly a poor environment for Senate Democrats either. I've always thought this race was going to narrow. I'd be way more shocked at Brown winning by double digits than I would be at him winning by 4.
Right now it's an outlier. Every other poll has had Brown double digits
If I was you I’d be a little happier about this right now. Everybody that wasn’t an atlas dem blusterer knew that Brown was never gonna win big league and this race was always going to tighten like AZ and would be GOP winnable. Granted, I still think Brown wins, and by something like 4-6 points, but Ohio is still overestimated for dems.
