FL-Sen: Quinnipiac: Nelson 49, Scott 49 (user search)
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  FL-Sen: Quinnipiac: Nelson 49, Scott 49 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Sen: Quinnipiac: Nelson 49, Scott 49  (Read 4725 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« on: September 05, 2018, 11:12:01 AM »

Umm, this poll is crap, Scott is not winning hispanics by 20 lmao.

Then you have to disqualify most of the polls that have come out of Florida. You are not from Florida so you really don't know what's going on Hispanics here do for the most part generally like Rick Scott because of his handling of the hurricanes and Nelson hasn't been doing much. Well yes Scott is not going to win Hispanics by 20 there's a good shot he could do well with them
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2018, 11:15:24 AM »

Umm, this poll is crap, Scott is not winning hispanics by 20 lmao.

Then you have to disqualify most of the polls that have come out of Florida. You are not from Florida so you really don't know what's going on Hispanics here do for the most part generally like Rick Scott because of his handling of the hurricanes and Nelson hasn't been doing much. Well yes Scott is not going to win Hispanics by 20 there's a good shot he could do well with them

BUT 20 IS RIDICULOUS!! Come on man!

First of all stop using all caps it's annoying. Second they probably oversampled Cubans, which is pretty common among pollsters here. Also the factors on the ground at do suggest that Scott is going to do well with recent Puerto Rican immigrants that have registered to vote which will skew the Hispanic vote more in his favor. All I'm saying is because you see numbers that you don't like doesn't mean that you can instantly throw it away there are a lot of factors going on here that will make this race both interesting and unique.

All I'm saying is this race is going to be a toss-up it's probably going to be one of the races that's going to be the last to be called on Election night.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2018, 11:17:14 AM »

Umm, this poll is crap, Scott is not winning hispanics by 20 lmao.

Then you have to disqualify most of the polls that have come out of Florida. You are not from Florida so you really don't know what's going on Hispanics here do for the most part generally like Rick Scott because of his handling of the hurricanes and Nelson hasn't been doing much. Well yes Scott is not going to win Hispanics by 20 there's a good shot he could do well with them

Yeah, if we’re trying to find fault with the crosstabs, Scott "only" winning Whites by 11 seems off as well.

Nelson Always does well with white voters that's part of his coalition he's not going to win them this time but the fact that he's keeping it close means that he's still at least holding onto a big part of his coalition.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2018, 11:19:08 AM »

Umm, this poll is crap, Scott is not winning hispanics by 20 lmao.

Then you have to disqualify most of the polls that have come out of Florida. You are not from Florida so you really don't know what's going on Hispanics here do for the most part generally like Rick Scott because of his handling of the hurricanes and Nelson hasn't been doing much. Well yes Scott is not going to win Hispanics by 20 there's a good shot he could do well with them

BUT 20 IS RIDICULOUS!! Come on man!

First of all stop using all caps it's annoying. Second they probably oversampled Cubans, which is pretty common among pollsters here. Also the factors on the ground at do suggest that Scott is going to do well with recent Puerto Rican immigrants that have registered to vote which will skew the Hispanic vote more in his favor. All I'm saying is because you see numbers that you don't like doesn't mean that you can instantly throw it away there are a lot of factors going on here that will make this race both interesting and unique.

All I'm saying is this race is going to be a toss-up it's probably going to be one of the races that's going to be the last to be called on Election night.

These aren't numbers that I don't like, they are completely unrealistic. If Scott wins hispanics by 20, it means Nelson was outed as a pedo.

That's a very interesting assumption that you're making. I'm not saying that he's going to win by 20 but I'm saying is he's probably at least going to keep it close
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2018, 11:21:09 AM »

Boy this is a pure toss up. But Scott does have a problem in that he has spent so much yet he is really only just even with Nelson while Nelson is about to start his ad blitz

Yeah it's a shame that even though Scott has spent upwards of 50 million dollars he hasn't been able to take a significant lead and that it's always been in the margin of error. Then again I'm not surprised he won both of his Governor's races with less than 50% of the vote in GOP wave years.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,030
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2018, 11:32:13 AM »

I can confidently predict that, without a doubt, Nelson will retain his senate seat. Moving this seat to lean D.

Yeah, it's not lean D, it's still a pure toss-up. This is still Florida and Scott will be able to bring out the Republican base while Nelson with the help of Andrew Gillum will bring out the Democratic base the race here in Florida is going to be who can bring their base out and which way the undecideds will break.
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