PA-GOV: Franklin and Marshall: Wolf +17

[kph14]

Are any legislative bodies flipping, though? I can see the gains only showing in Dem-packed Philly and Pittsburgh.

PA-Senate is basically out of reach in 2018. The only way to flip control there is gaining 8 seats in November and then Reschenthaler's seat if he's elected to Congress. Tall order.
PA-House is different. Dems need to gain 20 seats. Currently there are 18 Republicans in suburban district Clinton carried. A wave there plus gaining a few more WWC districts should be enough.

[kph14]

Are any legislative bodies flipping, though? I can see the gains only showing in Dem-packed Philly and Pittsburgh.

PA-Senate is basically out of reach in 2018. The only way to flip control there is gaining 8 seats in November and then Reschenthaler's seat if he's elected to Congress. Tall order.
PA-House is different. Dems need to gain 20 seats. Currently there are 18 Republicans in suburban district Clinton carried. A wave there plus gaining a few more WWC districts should be enough.

Based on the current numbers we are getting in the PA suburbs(D+20), we should see a VA like sweep, the house is probably tilt-D at this point IMO. The senate, however is difficult. While 7 seats are tossups and likely to go to us, that 8th seat will be hard to find, but its definitely possible. Lean R. But really we only need one chamber to get Wolf some power and to get a D-favourable map in the 2020s.

Dems have a good chance of winning the Senate in 2020 right in time for redistricting