Suffolk WI-Sen: Baldwin +8
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:18:08 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  Suffolk WI-Sen: Baldwin +8
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Suffolk WI-Sen: Baldwin +8  (Read 2458 times)
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 28, 2018, 11:07:34 AM »

Baldwin 50
Vukmir 42

https://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_28_2018_marginals.pdf
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,355


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2018, 11:08:26 AM »

You beat my post by *five* seconds. Smiley
Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2018, 11:09:45 AM »

Seems like Marquette was a tad outlierish.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2018, 11:09:52 AM »

Baldwin at 50 with a decent lead? Nice!
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2018, 11:11:06 AM »

Yeah, there’s no way this is more winnable for Republicans than MT or WV.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2018, 11:12:30 AM »

#BaldwinUnder51
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2018, 11:14:10 AM »

Lean/likely D
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2018, 11:14:32 AM »

ARE YOU TELLING ME THAT GOLD STANDARD GOD POLL MARQUETTE WAS AN OUTLIER?! BURN AT THE STAKE, HEATHEN!!!- Hofoid right now

Anyway, yeah, its pretty clear that Marquette is the outlier, and that Baldwin is leading in the high singles to low doubles at the moment. Not a race to worry about.
Logged
GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,630
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2018, 11:17:29 AM »

Likely D
Logged
Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2018, 11:22:03 AM »

Yeah, there’s no way this is more winnable for Republicans than MT or WV.
Logged
DaWN
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,370
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2018, 11:23:26 AM »

Don't be silly, the GOP should definitely keep investing time and money in this race! *wink wink*
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2018, 11:23:59 AM »

Looks right to me.
Logged
Pyro
PyroTheFox
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,697
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2018, 12:17:08 PM »


Red Wave Imminent!! /s
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 28, 2018, 01:54:53 PM »

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Suffolk University on 2018-08-24

Summary: D: 50%, R: 42%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2018, 01:58:58 PM »


Oops, I didn't realize it was already added. It's supposed to detect duplicate entries, but it didn't this time becaue mds entered the incorrect field dates, so it thought it was two separate polls. Can a mod or someone else delete the 8/26 entry?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2018, 02:03:22 PM »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,237
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2018, 02:38:04 PM »

"BUT MUH RON JOHNSON COMEBACK!"
"3 TIMES IN 4 YEARS!"
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,680


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2018, 04:32:52 PM »

Sounds about right. Vukmir is still an awful candidate.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,933
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2018, 06:19:48 PM »

Somebody entered this poll in twice in the database.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,612
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2018, 07:40:28 PM »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k

Vukmir acts like she's running in KS instead of WI.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2018, 07:55:07 PM »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k

Vukmir acts like she's running in KS OK instead of WI.

Guess we can rename it Wisklahoma if she somehow wins. Wink

That's not really unique to her though. 99% of Republicans these days have a voting record and run campaigns as if they're in Oklahoma.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,562
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2018, 08:02:18 PM »

That's more like it.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 28, 2018, 08:04:10 PM »

I expect that Republicans will come home for Vukmir, which makes this a little more realistic than Baldwin+15, but Vukmir isn't gonna win in a year like this, since she really has no appeal to independents, and is a far weaker candidate than Johnson (not to mention running in a worse year for her party.)
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 28, 2018, 09:28:18 PM »

I expect that Republicans will come home for Vukmir, which makes this a little more realistic than Baldwin+15, but Vukmir isn't gonna win in a year like this, since she really has no appeal to independents, and is a far weaker candidate than Johnson (not to mention running in a worse year for her party.)

And she's not the incumbent.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 29, 2018, 07:52:56 AM »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k

Vukmir acts like she's running in KS OK instead of WI.

Guess we can rename it Wisklahoma if she somehow wins. Wink

That's not really unique to her though. 99% of Republicans these days have a voting record and run campaigns as if they're in Oklahoma.

The accepted term is Wississippi.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.061 seconds with 13 queries.