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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  Suffolk WI-Sen: Baldwin +8
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Author Topic: Suffolk WI-Sen: Baldwin +8  (Read 1520 times)
KingSweden
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« on: August 28, 2018, 11:07:34 am »

Baldwin 50
Vukmir 42

https://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/8_28_2018_marginals.pdf
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2018, 11:08:26 am »

You beat my post by *five* seconds. Smiley
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2018, 11:09:45 am »

Seems like Marquette was a tad outlierish.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2018, 11:09:52 am »

Baldwin at 50 with a decent lead? Nice!
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Beto/Biden/Allred voter 4 Cornyn's NUT maps
IndyRep
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2018, 11:11:06 am »

Yeah, there’s no way this is more winnable for Republicans than MT or WV.
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President Biden
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2018, 11:12:30 am »

#BaldwinUnder51
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2018, 11:14:10 am »

Lean/likely D
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Zaybay
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2018, 11:14:32 am »

ARE YOU TELLING ME THAT GOLD STANDARD GOD POLL MARQUETTE WAS AN OUTLIER?! BURN AT THE STAKE, HEATHEN!!!- Hofoid right now

Anyway, yeah, its pretty clear that Marquette is the outlier, and that Baldwin is leading in the high singles to low doubles at the moment. Not a race to worry about.
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Delegate Weatherboy
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« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2018, 11:17:29 am »

Likely D
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Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️
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« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2018, 11:22:03 am »

Yeah, there’s no way this is more winnable for Republicans than MT or WV.
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DaWN
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« Reply #10 on: August 28, 2018, 11:23:26 am »

Don't be silly, the GOP should definitely keep investing time and money in this race! *wink wink*
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: August 28, 2018, 11:23:59 am »

Looks right to me.
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Pyro
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« Reply #12 on: August 28, 2018, 12:17:08 pm »


Red Wave Imminent!! /s
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: August 28, 2018, 01:54:53 pm »

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Suffolk University on 2018-08-24

Summary: D: 50%, R: 42%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2018, 01:58:58 pm »


Oops, I didn't realize it was already added. It's supposed to detect duplicate entries, but it didn't this time becaue mds entered the incorrect field dates, so it thought it was two separate polls. Can a mod or someone else delete the 8/26 entry?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2018, 02:03:22 pm »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2018, 02:38:04 pm »

"BUT MUH RON JOHNSON COMEBACK!"
"3 TIMES IN 4 YEARS!"
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redjohn
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« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2018, 04:32:52 pm »

Sounds about right. Vukmir is still an awful candidate.
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2018, 06:19:48 pm »

Somebody entered this poll in twice in the database.
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Biden Will Lose OH
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2018, 07:40:28 pm »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k

Vukmir acts like she's running in KS instead of WI.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2018, 07:55:07 pm »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k

Vukmir acts like she's running in KS OK instead of WI.

Guess we can rename it Wisklahoma if she somehow wins. Wink

That's not really unique to her though. 99% of Republicans these days have a voting record and run campaigns as if they're in Oklahoma.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2018, 08:02:18 pm »

That's more like it.
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Xing
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« Reply #22 on: August 28, 2018, 08:04:10 pm »

I expect that Republicans will come home for Vukmir, which makes this a little more realistic than Baldwin+15, but Vukmir isn't gonna win in a year like this, since she really has no appeal to independents, and is a far weaker candidate than Johnson (not to mention running in a worse year for her party.)
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #23 on: August 28, 2018, 09:28:18 pm »

I expect that Republicans will come home for Vukmir, which makes this a little more realistic than Baldwin+15, but Vukmir isn't gonna win in a year like this, since she really has no appeal to independents, and is a far weaker candidate than Johnson (not to mention running in a worse year for her party.)

And she's not the incumbent.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #24 on: August 29, 2018, 07:52:56 am »

Anyway, Baldwin should definitely win unless 2018 somehow morphs into a Republican wave, especially with Vukmir as her opponent. Baldwin just completely outclasses her. Seriously, look at these two ads, and tell me which you think would be more appealing to "swing voters."

https://youtu.be/q2KcFSWXG3s
https://youtu.be/jgJWMZTaD_k

Vukmir acts like she's running in KS OK instead of WI.

Guess we can rename it Wisklahoma if she somehow wins. Wink

That's not really unique to her though. 99% of Republicans these days have a voting record and run campaigns as if they're in Oklahoma.

The accepted term is Wississippi.
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