AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:47:21 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: AK-Harstad Research (D): Dunleavy somehow ahead by 10  (Read 2642 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 27, 2018, 04:45:58 PM »

36% Mike Dunleavy (R) (+4 since June)
26% Bill Walker (I) (-2)
24% Mark Begich (D) (-4)

http://www.ktuu.com/content/news/Alaskas-AFL-CIO-endorses-Walker-for-governor-491684601.html

Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, what’s next? Michelle Lujan Grisham leading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. I’m just relieved I can continue to do my part, though. Wink #retailpolitics
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,578
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2018, 04:50:50 PM »

Walker needs to drop out.
Logged
Pandaguineapig
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,608
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2018, 04:50:54 PM »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2018, 04:53:09 PM »

Impossible. Atlas told me that Walker and Dunleavy would split the right wing vote and allow Bad Boy Begich to dominate.

Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, what’s next? Michelle Lujan Grisham leading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. I’m just relieved I can continue to do my part, though. Wink #retailpolitics

Lol, it's like the pollsters conspired this week to troll this forum.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 27, 2018, 04:56:58 PM »


It was dumb for him to run to begin with, it was probably done solely as an ego trip. And he could very well end up giving Republicans their only gubernatorial pickup of 2018.
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2018, 04:57:14 PM »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2018, 07:18:11 PM »

Two way race:

Walker 47
Dunleavy 43

And according to this article, the AFL-CIO has just endorsed Walker. It is time for Begich to end his vanity run and drop out.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 27, 2018, 07:26:50 PM »


It was dumb for him to run to begin with, it was probably done solely as an ego trip. And he could very well end up giving Republicans their only gubernatorial pickup of 2018.
Logged
Alabama_Indy10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,319
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 27, 2018, 07:29:40 PM »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 27, 2018, 07:35:32 PM »

Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 27, 2018, 07:36:31 PM »

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 27, 2018, 07:43:11 PM »

36% Mike Dunleavy (R) (+4 since June)
26% Bill Walker (I) (-2)
24% Mark Begich (D) (-4)

http://www.ktuu.com/content/news/Alaskas-AFL-CIO-endorses-Walker-for-governor-491684601.html

Rosen +5, Rosendale +2, Hunter +8, Dunleavy +10, what’s next? Steve Pearceleading in NM? I mean, does candidate quality even matter AT ALL anymore? This is just crazy. I’m just relieved I can continue to do my part, though. Wink #retailpolitics
Logged
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,696
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 27, 2018, 10:10:08 PM »

Walker needs to drop so that Purple heart Begich Purple heart can win.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 27, 2018, 11:43:42 PM »

Begich wins the award of biggest pos retread that I've seen in quite a while.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,376
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 28, 2018, 12:06:35 AM »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,066


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 28, 2018, 12:13:11 AM »

Begich's last-minute entry into this race appears to be as poorly thought out as the return of Evan Bayh in 2016.
Logged
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,067


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 28, 2018, 07:01:14 AM »
« Edited: August 28, 2018, 09:31:45 AM by Delegate The Saint »


Yes, because the incumbent governor needs to make room for a losing challenger because muh split-ticket voting Roll Eyes

Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2018, 09:23:41 AM »

Somewhere between lean and likely R
Logged
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,076
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 28, 2018, 09:27:33 AM »

Its pretty obvious that this race is gonna be a staredown, a game of chicken. Begich and Walker both know that they are both favoured against the R, but with them both in the race, their chances both diminish. Its a game of who drops out first, and I personally think that Walker will.

Now that I think about it, its possible that Begich will drop out, and that could be the whole plan. A run to regain his name rec and base before running for senate in 2020, but thats just a hunch.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2018, 09:28:50 AM »

Yeah, no. I don't buy this at all.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2018, 01:48:21 PM »


Why?
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 28, 2018, 01:51:50 PM »

Alaska polls are some of the least reliable in the country. I also don't believe this is Safe R like most of the forum because of vote-splitting (I feel the polls are overestimating this).
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 28, 2018, 02:22:42 PM »

Alaska polls are a joke. We won't know anything until votes come in on election night.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 28, 2018, 02:28:34 PM »

Obviously the undecideds and half of Walker’s supporters will get behind Bad Boy Begich when they realize how badass he is.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,576
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 28, 2018, 02:43:07 PM »

Begich is really an idiot. Why does he run? He just hands the governor's mansion to the Republicans. Walker needs the left of center votes to hang on. I hope Begich drops out like Mallott did four years ago.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.066 seconds with 13 queries.