NV-Mason-Dixon/Telemundo: Rosen +21 among Latinos
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Author Topic: NV-Mason-Dixon/Telemundo: Rosen +21 among Latinos  (Read 1193 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: September 03, 2018, 12:36:28 AM »

52% Jacky Rosen (D)
31% Dean Heller (R, inc.)

They also polled the gubernatorial race:

51% Steve Sisolak (D)
32% Adam Laxalt (R)

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https://news3lv.com/news/local/telemundo-poll-dems-have-edge-among-local-latinos

I’m stunned.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2018, 12:49:45 AM »

I mean if true (massive pile of salt) this is pretty bad. Clinton was +31 with them and Masto was +29 with them.
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I’m not Stu
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2018, 01:12:13 AM »

Heller isn't as crazy as Trump. 625 is a small sample size.
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Beet
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2018, 01:26:45 AM »

I feel like Trump is improving across the board with minorities, especially immigrant groups.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: September 03, 2018, 01:37:07 AM »

I feel like Trump is improving across the board with minorities, especially immigrant groups.

Interesting calculation, when most real polls have him in the 55-60% disapproval range at this point.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2018, 04:34:14 AM »

I thought Mason-Dixon was dropped from Nevada's media after they totally botched the 2010/12 elections.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: September 03, 2018, 04:37:02 AM »

I mean if true (massive pile of salt) this is pretty bad. Clinton was +31 with them and Masto was +29 with them.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: September 03, 2018, 05:10:51 AM »

Jacky will win😍
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2018, 09:47:28 AM »

Why does Mason-Dixon keep polling sub groups?
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Politician
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« Reply #9 on: September 03, 2018, 09:49:06 AM »

What? Heller should be winning Latinos by 20!

/s
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Badger
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« Reply #10 on: September 03, 2018, 10:26:25 AM »

Isn't difficulty of accurately pulling the Nevada Hispanic vote one of the main reasons bat Democrats under poll historically in Nevada? If so, I'm not sure why a sub sample Pole of solely Hispanics wouldn't likewise under state Democrat strength.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #11 on: September 03, 2018, 11:51:41 AM »

A poll of "Latinos in Clark County" only ...

Mason-Dixon, please show us a poll of unemployed meth users in Mingo County, WV next ...
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UncleSam
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« Reply #12 on: September 03, 2018, 12:07:35 PM »

A poll of "Latinos in Clark County" only ...

Mason-Dixon, please show us a poll of unemployed meth users in Mingo County, WV next ...
Don’t like 95%+ of the Latinos in Nevada live in Clark County?

Anyway the reason sub group polling tends to be off in Nevada is because of the difficulty in estimating turnout, not in figuring out who Latinos will vote for. Polling a sub group like this is a good way to solve that - if you know how sub groups will vote, it’s pretty simple math to back into a top line figure if you’re willing to make your own turnout assumptions. Plus, 625 is actually a massive sampling size for a sub group.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2018, 12:11:38 PM »

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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2018, 12:20:19 PM »

Polling of sub groups is not usually reliable, but sure, whatever helps prove to Atlas that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller will still be a Senator on January 4th, 2019 Roll Eyes
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2018, 12:21:38 PM »

Polling of sub groups is not usually reliable, but sure, whatever helps prove to Atlas that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller will still be a Senator on January 4th, 2019 Roll Eyes

He'll join Sen. Angle and Sen. Heck in the Atlas Forum LARP Senate.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: September 03, 2018, 05:35:34 PM »

Polling of sub groups is not usually reliable, but sure, whatever helps prove to Atlas that Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller will still be a Senator on January 4th, 2019 Roll Eyes

Maybe he really is unbeatable, who knows?
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