WI-Marquette: Baldwin +2

[Zaybay]

Based on the E-Gap I predict Republicans to win Senate Races in Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota effectivly shutting down the Democrats winning the Senate.

I always said it's a fools errand to believe Democrats could win in IN, MO, ND in a MidTerm Year. They need almost 30% of crossover Vote from Republicans or Republican-leaning Indies. That's just a fact. Go figure your D-Trolls.

Why, then , did they win them in a PRESIDENTIAL YEAR you clown?

Because we had Mourdock in IN, Akin in MO and Berg in ND...utter bad clown Candidates.

Candidates matter you D-Troll.

When was Berg a bad candidate? He is better than the current candidate you guys are running up there.

[mds32]

MU Law should shut down.

They are the gold-standard. PPP is basically Gravis on the Left.

[Zaybay]

MU Law should shut down.

They are the gold-standard. PPP is basically Gravis on the Left.

Which is why Gravis got the MT house candidate leading Gianforte and why PPP has gotten close or exact results this entire election cycle. Im not saying that Gravis or PPP are ""gold standard"" or whatever, but they are not just a far-left and far-right pollster.

[libertpaulian]

Wow! Republican enthusiasm gap!

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1032328489150689280

RIP Wisconsin Dems. Vukmir will energise the WOW suburbs and pull an upset in this Badger Red Wave.

Quoting your sock puppet?

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Oh Atlas...

Yeah, I'm done. This website is ing toxic.

Seems that August has been one of the worst months for the forum in recent memory.

[libertpaulian]

Based on the E-Gap I predict Republicans to win Senate Races in Indiana, Missouri and North Dakota effectivly shutting down the Democrats winning the Senate.

I always said it's a fools errand to believe Democrats could win in IN, MO, ND in a MidTerm Year. They need almost 30% of crossover Vote from Republicans or Republican-leaning Indies. That's just a fact. Go figure your D-Trolls.

Why, then , did they win them in a PRESIDENTIAL YEAR you clown?

Because we had Mourdock in IN, Akin in MO and Berg in ND...utter bad clown Candidates.

Candidates matter you D-Troll.

Braun is an unknown quantity.  He could implode for all we know.

[Gass3268]

Only 11% of folks in this poll called themselves independents. That seems really low.

Also they have Baldwin winning the white vote by 1, but only winning the City of Milwaukee 52-44.

[Arkansas Yankee]

This poll would seem to be an outlier till confirmed.

An interesting poll statistic is that GOP enthusiasm has passed Democrat enthusiasm 69% to 67%.  Independents are at 56%.

Looking back to the 2016 polling in the Johnson/Feingold race, may shed some light.   As you remember most polls throughout the year showed Feingold with a fair lead.

However, the last Marquette poll covering 10/26 through 10/31 showed tightening.  Among 1,190 LV Feingold led 45% to 44%.  Among 1401 RV he led 43% to 42%.

During the whole year only 3 Survey Monkey polls during the last 10 days showed Johnson with a 1 or 2% lead.  Survey Monkey may have better reliability than some of realize.  

Here is the link to the 2016 polling:

 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Wisconsin,_2016

[Brittain33]

Locking this thread because I don't have time to sift through all the reports this thread is throwing off right now. I'll come back later.