Quinnipiac: Menendez +6
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  Quinnipiac: Menendez +6
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Menendez +6  (Read 3163 times)
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
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« Reply #25 on: August 22, 2018, 12:12:21 PM »

It was always obvious Menendez was going to underperform, so this poll is no surprise. I just hope the piece of sh**t doesn't drag down the Dem House candidates in NJ (that goes for piece of sh**t Pritzker too in IL.)

I'd argue it could go the other way around. People coming out for the competitive house races who end up padding Menendez's margins.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #26 on: August 22, 2018, 01:03:13 PM »

Maybe the margin will be close to this, but Menendez won't lose, as horrible as he is.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #27 on: August 22, 2018, 03:52:43 PM »

It was always obvious Menendez was going to underperform, so this poll is no surprise. I just hope the piece of sh**t doesn't drag down the Dem House candidates in NJ (that goes for piece of sh**t Pritzker too in IL.)

I'd argue it could go the other way around. People coming out for the competitive house races who end up padding Menendez's margins.
Reverse coattails aren’t really a thing - people always show up for the bigger ticket races more frequently than for the smaller races, even if those are the competitive ones. Is there any example of reverse coattails? (Bear in mind that coattails in general really only applies to presidential races anyway).
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #28 on: August 22, 2018, 05:23:31 PM »

Not that Menendez will lose, but is it still possible to replace him on the ballot? Like maybe select some random woke suburban moderate-liberal mom, put her on the ballot, and let her burbstomp 70-30?

Yes, it's completely possible and more likely than Hugin actually getting elected. See 2002.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #29 on: August 22, 2018, 07:47:07 PM »

I could see Menendez winning by a margin like this. It's pathetic for a New Jersey Democrat, but I don't think he loses.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #30 on: August 22, 2018, 08:14:11 PM »

An interesting side note in this poll: 18-34 year olds support marijuana legalization by a 90-10 margin. MoE is higher with a small subgroup, but that's still pretty insane.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #31 on: August 22, 2018, 09:10:31 PM »

An interesting side note in this poll: 18-34 year olds support marijuana legalization by a 90-10 margin. MoE is higher with a small subgroup, but that's still pretty insane.
It's at something like 70% nationwide. I could see high 80s for young people in a liberal state.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #32 on: August 22, 2018, 09:34:37 PM »

Republicans probably could have won this in a Clinton midterm. Has potential to be closest race in the region.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #33 on: August 22, 2018, 09:54:42 PM »

Even in a Clinton midterm this (or VA-Special) wouldn’t have flipped. The Republicans' ceiling probably would have been IN/MO/ND/WV/MT (yes, even with Rosendale)/WI/OH/FL/one of PA, MI, ME, MN-Special for a total of 61 Republican seats. Anything beyond that is just wishful thinking.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #34 on: August 23, 2018, 03:15:02 PM »

Dear Atlas Nerds,

Is this good pollster or bad pollster?

Thanks,

Tom
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #35 on: August 23, 2018, 03:44:58 PM »

Menendez wins by 6-10 points.

Period.

Had the Republicans run a non-pharma exec like Jennifer Beck, this would have been competitive.

Menendez is a good public speaker and debater, but is always in political corruption/ethics scandals.

Menendez will be a lifer unless he retires in 2024.
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#gravelgang #lessiglad
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« Reply #36 on: August 23, 2018, 04:56:31 PM »

It was always obvious Menendez was going to underperform, so this poll is no surprise. I just hope the piece of sh**t doesn't drag down the Dem House candidates in NJ (that goes for piece of sh**t Pritzker too in IL.)
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #37 on: August 24, 2018, 10:31:57 AM »

Remove him from the ballot and replace him with wisinewski!
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #38 on: August 24, 2018, 04:54:02 PM »

Jen Beck would've been fantastic. Hope she runs for Governor.
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SATW
SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #39 on: August 24, 2018, 10:07:15 PM »

Menendez will win 53-41-6
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #40 on: August 24, 2018, 10:36:55 PM »

Even in a Clinton midterm this (or VA-Special) wouldn’t have flipped. The Republicans' ceiling probably would have been IN/MO/ND/WV/MT (yes, even with Rosendale)/WI/OH/FL/one of PA, MI, ME, MN-Special for a total of 61 Republican seats. Anything beyond that is just wishful thinking.

Of course it would flip unless Democratic did what they did in 2002 and suddenly get a good candidate at the last possible moment.
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ctherainbow
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« Reply #41 on: August 27, 2018, 03:25:13 PM »

My birth state cranking out corrupt politicians as usual.   Unamused   I hope he gets primaried in 2024; I don't see him losing this year, but we could use a fresh flower in the garden ASAP.  The race shouldn't be this close.
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