2020 Senate election: process and result

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Why would Brownback be trailing by so much in such a deep red state like Kansas?

I assume because the voters remember the disaster that was his gubernatorial tenure?

[UWS]

Why is Brownback trailing so badly in a red state like Kansas?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Why ia Brownback trailing so badly in a red state like Kansas?

The timeline writer vastly underestimates the effect of state partisan leanings on downballot races, while vastly overestimating the effect of "candidate quality".

[😥]

Why ia Brownback trailing so badly in a red state like Kansas?

The timeline writer vastly underestimates the effect of state partisan leanings on downballot races, while vastly overestimating the effect of "candidate quality".

Yes, thus is true, this but I do it to make the TL more interesting

[BL53931]

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

[UWS]

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

[OBD]

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

Wait wasn't this the TL where there was a 4-way race in Nebraska?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

Wait wasn't this the TL where there was a 4-way race in Nebraska?

no it was not

[😥]

                     ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
11:59

Arizona Senate race
11:59 (96% Reporting)
Ann Kirkpatrick 49,07%
Marta McSally 48,72%

Colorado Senate race
11:59 (95% Reporting)
Cory Gardner 51,13%
John Salazar 46,33%

Kansas Senate race
11:40 (80% Reporting)
Paul Davis 55,58%
Sam Brownback 42,10%
 
Louisiana Senate race
11:59 (82% Reporting)
Bill Cassidy 29,64%
Mitch Landrieu 29,11%
Paul Hollis 24,80%
Charles Boustany 8,29%
Jay Luneau 8,16%

Minnesota Senate race
11:59 (91% Reporting)
Tina Smith 55,13%
Michele Bachmann 41,83%

South Dakota Senate race
11:59 (90% Reporting)
Mike Rounds 81,17%
Kevin Artz 16,46%

Wyoming Senate race
11:59 (93% Reporting)
Mike Enzi 90,21%
Joe Porambo 9,89%

Iowa Senate race
11:59 (67% Reporting)
Joni Ernst 50,11%
Abby Finkenauer 47,26%

Montana Senate race
11:59 (63% Reporting)
Steve Daines 53,87%
Brian Schweitzer 44,25%

Idaho Senate race
11:59 (32% Reporting)
Brad Little 50,37%
Raul Labrador 25,98%
Mat Erpelding 23,65%

Oregon Senate race
11:59 (35% Reporting)
Knute Buehler 49,32%
Kurt Schrader 48,57%

[😥]

Presidential election map
3th November
11:20

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH)/Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT) 342 EV[/b][/color]
Pres. Donald Trump (R-NY)/VP Mike Pence (R-IN) 151 EV
Too close to call 38 EV
Too early to call 7 EV


Sherrod Brown is elected as President of the USA

[😥]

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

Wait wasn't this the TL where there was a 4-way race in Nebraska?

I may be missing it but did you overlook the Senate race in Nebraska?

That's right, even though I guess Ben Sasse will easily win senate re-election.

Wait wasn't this the TL where there was a 4-way race in Nebraska?

no it was not

Yes, really, I forgot about the Senate race in Nebraska. But I do not think I need to do this (it's clear that Btn Sasse easily wins the reelection even more without rivals, and TL is coming to an end)

[😥]

                           ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
00:20

Official results from Senate races:

1) Arizona Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Marta McSally 51,74%
Ann Kirkpatrick 46,65%
Other 1,61%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

2) Colorado Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Cory Gardner 52,87%
John Salazar 44,55%
Other 2,58%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

3) Minnesota Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Tina Smith 57,75%
Michele Bachmann 38,99%
Other 3,26%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

4) Wyoming Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Mike Enzi 90,52%
Joe Porambo 9,48%

REPUBLICAN HOLD
------------------------------

Kansas Senate race
00:20 (98% Reporting)
Paul Davis 53,83%
Sam Brownback 43,77%[/color]

Louisiana Senate race
00:20 (89% Reporting)
Bill Cassidy 31,42%
Mitch Landrieu 27,02%
Paul Hollis 25,56%
Jay Luneau 8,11%
Charles Boustany 7,89%

South Dakota Senate race
00:20 (98% Reporting)
Mike Rounds 80,58%
Kevin Artz 17,63%

Iowa Senate race
00:20 (77% Reporting)
Joni Ernst 48,87%
Abby Finkenauer 48,79%

Montana Senate race
00:20 (72% Reporting)
Steve Daines 52,10%
Brian Schweitzer 45,88%

Idaho Senate race
00:20 (41% Reporting)
Brad Little 49,86%
Raul Labrador 25,95%
Mat Erpelding 24,19%

Oregon Senate race
00:20 (45% Reporting)
Kurt Schrader 53,12%
Knute Buehler 45,41%

[😥]

                           ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
00:40

Official results from Senate races:

1) Kansas Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Paul Davis 53,06%
Sam Brownback 44,36%
Other 2,58%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

2) South Dakota Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Mike Rounds 80,84%
Kevin Artz 17,30%
Other 1,86%

REPUBLICAN HOLD
-------------------------------

Louisiana Senate race
00:40 (97% Reporting)
Mitch Landrieu 30,12%
Bill Cassidy 27,23%
Paul Hollis 21,42%
Jay Luneau 15,39%
Charles Boustany 5,84%

Iowa Senate race
00:40 (89% Reporting)
Joni Ernst 48,89%
Abby Finkenauer 48,53%

Montana Senate race
00:40 (86% Reporting)
Brian Schweitzer 48,98%
Steve Daines 48,93%

Idaho Senate race
00:40 (52% Reporting)
Brad Little 52,03%
Raul Labrador 24,29%
Mat Erpelding 23,68%

Oregon Senate race
00:40 (56% Reporting)
Knute Buehler 49,18%
Kurt Schrader 48,13%

[😥]

                           ELECTION NIGHT
3th November
00:59

Iowa Senate race
00:59 (98% Reporting)
Abby Finkenauer 49,49%
Joni Ernst 48,37%

Montana Senate race
00:59 (96% Reporting)
Brian Schweitzer 54,68%
Steve Daines 42,85%

Idaho Senate race
00:59 (63% Reporting)
Brad Little 51,86%
Mat Erpelding 24,76%
Raul Labrador 23,38%

Oregon Senate race
00:59 (67% Reporting)
Knute Buehler 49,65%
Kurt Schrader 48,72%

[😥]

                           ELECTION NIGHT
4th November
1:00 AM

POLLS CLOSED in ALASKA

Exit polls

ALASKA SENATE
Ethan Berkowitz 49%
Dan Sullivan 48%

HOUSE RACES
Competitive race
*-incumbent
AK-al   DEM 49%       REP 49%

[😥]

                           ELECTION NIGHT
4th November
01:20 AM

Official results from Senate races:

1) Iowa Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Joni Ernst (R) inc. 49,13%
Abby Finkenauer 48,50%
Other 2,37%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

2) Montana Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Brian Schweitzer 53,13%
Steve Daines (R) inc. 45,01%
Other 1,86%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN
------------------------------

Idaho Senate race
01:20 (74% Reporting)
Brad Little 50,16%
Raul Labrador 25,17%
Mat Erpelding 24,67%

Oregon Senate race
01:20 (78% Reporting)
Knute Buehler 49,76%
Kurt Schrader 48,13%

Alaska Senate race
01:20 (12% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan 61,12%
Ethan Berkowitz 36,42%

[😥]

                          ELECTION NIGHT
4th November
01:40- 01:59 AM

Idaho Senate race
01:40 (86% Reporting)
Brad Little 51,84%
Mat Erpelding 26,31%
Raul Labrador 21,85%

Oregon Senate race
01:40 (89% Reporting)
Kurt Schrader 49,11%
Knute Buehler 48,15%

Alaska Senate race
01:40 (23% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan 55,15%
Ethan Berkowitz 42,48%


Idaho Senate race
01:59 (97% Reporting)
Brad Little 52,16%
Mat Erpelding 26,47%
Raul Labrador 21,37%

Oregon Senate race
01:59 (99% Reporting)
Knute Buehler 49,32%
Kurt Schrader 49,31%

Alaska Senate race
01:59 (33% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan 51,46%
Ethan Berkowitz 46,38%

[UWS]

Why would Labrador run a third-party candidacy in Idaho?

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Why would Labrador run a third-party candidacy in Idaho?

Same reason a governor would run for Senate immediately after being elected.

[UWS]

Why would Labrador run a third-party candidacy in Idaho?

Same reason a governor would run for Senate immediately after being elected.

Like Ronald Reagan in '68 when he ran for President immediately after being elected Governor in '66.

[😥]

Why would Labrador run a third-party candidacy in Idaho?

He lose primary to Little and with endorsement of Tea Party and ultra-right Republicans he run for Senate

[😥]

                       ELECTION NIGHT
4 November
02:20-0:59 AM

Official results from Senate races:

1) Idaho Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Brad Little 51,76%
Mat Erpelding 26,03%
Raul Labrador 22,21%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

2) Oregon Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Kurt Schrader 49,36%
Knute Buehler 48,88%
Other 2,06%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD
-----------------------------

Alaska Senate race (02:20 to official results)

02:20 (45% Reporting)
Ethan Berkowitz 51,67%
Dan Sullivan 45,92%

02:40 (55% Reporting)
Ethan Berkowitz 53,85%
Dan Sullivan 43,84%

02:59 (64% Reporting)
Ethan Berkowitz 49,02%
Dan Sullivan 48,61%

03:20 (75% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan 51,74%
Ethan Berkowitz 45,72%

03:40 (86% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan 53,03%
Ethan Berkowitz 44,61%

03:59 (95% Reporting)
Ethan Berkowitz 49,08%
Dan Sullivan 48,72%


OFFICIAL RESULTS
(100% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan 49,21%
Ethan Berkowitz 48,65%
Other 2,14%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

[😥]

2020 Election (full results): 1) Presidential

Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH)/Gov. Steve Bullock (D-MT) 378 EV; 51,1%
Pres. Donald Trump (R-NY)/V.P. Mike Pence (R-IN) 160 EV; 47,6%

Closest state

Alaska
Trump/Pence 49,11%
Brown/Bullock 48,62%

Arizona
Brown/Bullock 49,67%
Trump/Pence 47,23%

Florida (the closest)
Brown/Bullock 48,98%
Trump/Pence 48,96%

Georgia
Brown/Bullock 48,94%
Trump/Pence 48,42%

Kansas (second closest)
Trump/Pence 48,66%
Brown/Bullock 48,62%

Montana
Brown/Bullock 49,56%
Trump/Pence 47,79%

New Hampshire (third closest)
Brown/Bullock 48,32%
Trump/Pence 48,22%

North Carolina
Brown/Bullock 49,03%
Trump/Pence 48,11%

2020 Election (full results): 1) Senatorial

1) Alabama Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Doug Jones (D) inc. 49,39%
Robert Aderholt (R) 48,54%
Other 2,07%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

2) Alaska Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Dan Sullivan (R) inc. 49,21%
Ethan Berkowitz (D) 48,65%
Other 2,14%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

3) Arkansas Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Mike Beebe (D) 55,92%
Tom Cotton (R) inc. 41,94%
Other 2,14%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

4) Colorado Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Cory Gardner (R) inc. 52,87%
John Salazar (D) 44,55%
Other 2,58%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

5) Delaware Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Chris Coons (D) inc. 87,15%
Rocky De La Fuente (R) 10,08%
Other 2,77%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

6) Georgia Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Teresa Tomlinson (D) 49,48%
Karen Handel (R) 48,64%
Other 1,87%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

7) Idaho Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Brad Little 51,76%
Mat Erpelding 26,03%
Raul Labrador 22,21%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

Illinois Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Dick Durbin (D) inc. 60,19%
Adam Kinzinger 37,78% (R)
Other 2,13%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

9) Iowa Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Joni Ernst (R) inc. 49,13%
Abby Finkenauer 48,50%
Other 2,37%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

10) Kansas Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Paul Davis 53,06%
Sam Brownback 44,36%
Other 2,58%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

11) Kentucky Senate race
100% Reporting
Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 51,64%
Mitch McConnell (R) inc. 47,10%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

12) Louisiana Senate race
100% Reporting
Mitch Landrieu (D) 52,01%
Bill Vassidy (R) inc. 48,99%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

13) Maine Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Susan Collins (R) 60,97%
Troy Jackson (D) 36,36%
Other 2,67%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

14) Massachusetts Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Charlie Baker (R) 49,65%
Niki Tsongas (D) 48,47%
Other 1,88%

REPUBLICAN GAIN

15) Michigan Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Dave Trott  (R) 49,72%
Gary Peters (D) inc. 48,97%
Other 1,31%

REPUBLICAN GAIN

16) Minnesota Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Tina Smith 57,75%
Michele Bachmann 38,99%
Other 3,26%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

17) Mississippi Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) inc. 63,45%
Howard Sherman (D) 33,69%
Other 2,86%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

18) Montana Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Brian Schweitzer 53,13%
Steve Daines (R) inc. 45,01%
Other 1,86%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

19) Nebraska Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Ben Sasse (R) inc. 86,62%
Third parties, w/i D 13,38%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

20) New Hampshire Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Kelly Ayotte (R) 50,93%
Carol Shea-Porter (D) 46,90%
Other 2,17%

REPUBLICAN GAIN

21) New Jersey Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Cory Booker (D) inc. 58,78%
Chris Christie (R) 36,48%
Other 4,74%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

22) New Mexico Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Tom Udall (D) inc. 65,78%
Craig Brandt (R) 31,48%
Other 2,74%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

23) North Carolina Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Jeff Jackson 50,23%
Thom Tilis 47,87%
Other 1,90%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

24) Oklahoma Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Markwayne Mullin (R) 70,18%
Collin Walke (D) 26,97%
Other 2,85%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

25) Oregon Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Kurt Schrader 49,36%
Knute Buehler 48,88%
Other 2,06%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

26) Rhode Island Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Jack Reed 84,57% (D) inc.
Mark Zaccaria 12,86% (R)
Other 2,57%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

27) South Carolina Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Lindsey Graham 65,08%
Mandy Powers Norrell 32,60%
Other 2,31%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

28) South Dakota Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Mike Rounds 80,84%
Kevin Artz 17,30%
Other 1,86%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

29) Tennessee Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Bill Haslam (R) 64,06%
Andy Berke (D) 33,57%
Other 2,37%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

30) Texas Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Julian Castro (D) 49,77%
John Cornyn (R) inc. 48,11%
Other 2,12%

DEMOCRATIC GAIN

31) Virginia Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Mark Warner (D) inc. 59,64%
Ed Gillespie (R) 38,64%
Other 1,72%

DEMOCRATIC HOLD

32) West Virginia Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Shelley Moore Capito 75,86% (R) inc.
Write-in (D)/Other 24,14%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

33) Wyoming Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Mike Enzi 90,52%
Joe Porambo 9,48%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

34) Arizona-special Senate race
(100% Reporting)
Marta McSally 51,74%
Ann Kirkpatrick 46,65%
Other 1,61%

REPUBLICAN HOLD

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Dem Arkansas and GOP Massachusetts. How 1966 of you.

[OBD]

Very interesting results. Moderate rampage?