November 2020 and beyond, election madness

[Cold War Liberal]

Trump under 50% in IN means landslide for Warren nationally, I think. Keep it coming!

[Cold War Liberal]

Trump under 50% in IN means landslide for Warren nationally, I think. Keep it coming!

Maybe.

Remember, Obama actually won Indiana in 2008, so don't bet on a landslide yet...

Either way, it is going to be a close one. Probably a race decided within five points in popular vote. Like a discussion point earlier though, if any democrat wins the popular vote by 2 percent or less, it's a instant Trump victory. Any Trump popular vote victory at all is a electoral Trump landslide.

How did Trump barely winning Indiana give you an indication that it's going to be a close one?

Yeah, Trump barely won the 2016 election but won Indiana by over 19 points. If there's a uniform 16 point swing away from Trump nationwide, then Trump loses the popular vote by 18 and barely holds on to Mississippi. Trump wouldn't even crack 60% in Wyoming.

Warren/Cortez Masto: 56.2%, 425 Electoral Votes
Trump/Pence: 38.1%, 113 Electoral Votes

[Cold War Liberal]

Love this so far!

The map so far, for those interested:

Warren/Cortez Masto: 77 Electoral Votes
Trump/Pence: 39 Electoral Votes
Not yet called: 422

[Cold War Liberal]

Go Warren and Cortez Masto!!!

[Cold War Liberal]

Current map:

Warren/Cortez-Masto: 149 Electoral Votes
Trump/Pence: 72 Electoral Votes

My prediction:

Give or take GA and IA

Warren/Cortez-Masto: ~53%, 359 Electoral Votes
Trump/Pence: ~45%, 179 Electoral Votes

[Cold War Liberal]

I will point out in regards to Georgia that I elected Stacey Abrams Governor in 2018, and Trump's approvals haven't gotten better.

Democrats probably have a better chance of winning atop the ballot than knocking off Senator Purdue...but you never know.

Interesting

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Fixed

[Cold War Liberal]

Warren is very unpopular in the South and among indepnedents so i'm quite sure that this isn't going to happen.

Keep in mind that's Trump's approval has slipped a lot, allowing Warren to gain amongst Independents, plus here the Governor is now a Democrat (Stacey Abrams) as was the Secretary of State, and they were able to pull a reverse Brian Kemp and suppress a bunch of reliably Republican votes.

If Warren were to run for reelection in 2024 (which isn't set in stone yet), I don't think she'd win Georgia again (or North Carolina for that matter), without something going really right for her.

Are you going to 2024 and/or beyond with this? What's the plan for after the election?

[Cold War Liberal]

Senator Justin Fairfax = N U T

[Cold War Liberal]

All Warren and Cortez Masto need to get over the 270 line are IL (safe D obviously), CA (see IL), and a few more electoral votes they'll probably get from FL (why wouldn't FL go D with Governor Gillum and a Warren win in GA?), OR, WA, NM, CO, NV, MN, MI, WI, or maybe even IA or TX. Neat.

[Cold War Liberal]

SUPERMEGA LANDSLIDE INCOMING!!!!

N U T

[Cold War Liberal]

Warren/Cortez Masto: 315 EVs ✓
Trump/Pence: 103 EVs
Uncalled: 120 EVs

[Cold War Liberal]

Senator Justin Fairfax = N U T

Well THIS didn’t age well...