MO-Missouri Scout/Remington (R): Tie (user search)
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  MO-Missouri Scout/Remington (R): Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Missouri Scout/Remington (R): Tie  (Read 3984 times)
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,594
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

« on: August 12, 2018, 08:15:49 AM »

Seeing as this is a Republican pollster, good result for McCaskill. McCaskill is sort of the anti-Nelson. She's looking less vulnerable than, say, Donnelly and Heitkamp because of how weak Hawley is shaping up to be. However, just like Nelson has room to grow and will probably surge toward the end, McCaskill's ceiling is low and Hawley could surge toward the end. Best case scenario is Nelson gets his s*it together and Hawley doesn't, of course.
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wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,594
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2018, 09:34:56 PM »

Is that an improvement for McCaskill since the last poll?

Yeah, she was down by 2 in their July poll.

Seeing as this is a Republican pollster, good result for McCaskill. McCaskill is sort of the anti-Nelson. She's looking less vulnerable than, say, Donnelly and Heitkamp because of how weak Hawley is shaping up to be. However, just like Nelson has room to grow and will probably surge toward the end, McCaskill's ceiling is low and Hawley could surge toward the end. Best case scenario is Nelson gets his s*it together and Hawley doesn't, of course.

Can you two not read?  The article says that this is a Missouri Scout poll.  It also says that the last two Missouri Scout polls had McCaskill up by 4.

This new poll is not yet in the RCP average. If it Is added, the average becomes McCaskill +.2.  If you drop the April and May polls it becomes Hawley +.7

The race is a tossup.


When did I ever say the race wasn't a tossup? I said it was one optimistic data point for McCaskill, who is looking to be in better shape than Donnelly is at least.
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