OH-12 Special Election Predictions
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 03, 2024, 08:48:09 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  OH-12 Special Election Predictions		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4]
Poll
Question: O’Connor vs Balderson, who wins?
#1
O’Connor (D)		  
#2
Balderson (R)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 79

Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election Predictions  (Read 5641 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,052


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #75 on: August 07, 2018, 04:06:21 PM »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on August 07, 2018, 04:02:12 PM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 07, 2018, 03:57:17 PM
I am revising my prediction up from Balderson +2 a few weeks ago to O’Connor +1. Balderson is behaving like someone who feels he’s losing.

You think he's holding some internals close to his chest?

Well, both campaigns have internals for sure and he hasn’t released any. Reading on Twitter, reporters are saying he has kept a low profile and is avoiding the media. The event yesterday where he made the comment about Franklin County was actually closed to the media. I don’t know of politicians who run tight races where they keep a low profile who are confident about how they are doing.
Logged
Seattle
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 786
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #76 on: August 07, 2018, 04:14:32 PM »
O'Connor by 1,200 votes.
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #77 on: August 07, 2018, 04:17:22 PM »
For me, this race has looked like an absolute toss-up in the last several days.  So I guess that means I should just pick a candidate to win by less than 1%.  But I'm more bullish than most here on what the early vote will translate to, as well as O'Connor's ability to keep it somewhat competitive on the election day vote.

So I'll go O'Connor +2.4%  

O'Connor  50.5%
Balderson  48.1%
Manchik  1.4%
Logged
Progressive
jro660
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #78 on: August 07, 2018, 04:25:28 PM »
Over and under on power bottoms turnout? Just kidding.

In all seriousness Balderson not acting like a happy warrior. I also think Green candidate gets a marginal share of the vote. Maybe 0.2%.
Logged
Strudelcutie4427
Singletxguyforfun
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,375
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #79 on: August 07, 2018, 04:29:54 PM »
Balderson by 3-4
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,456
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #80 on: August 07, 2018, 04:36:32 PM »
Balderson by 0.2%
Logged
Greatblueheron
Rookie
**
Posts: 181


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #81 on: August 07, 2018, 04:39:22 PM »
My final prediction is that Balderson wins 51-47.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #82 on: August 07, 2018, 04:40:06 PM »
O'Connor by two.
Logged
Bumaye
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 317


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #83 on: August 07, 2018, 05:19:09 PM »
O'Connor wins by 0.3 points.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,043
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #84 on: August 07, 2018, 06:55:35 PM »
I previously said Balderson by 5. I'm going to stick by it even though I am almost certain that I'll be wrong.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #85 on: August 08, 2018, 12:50:19 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 06, 2018, 10:45:55 PM
I'm going to make a depressing prediction and say Balderson wins, but by a smaller margin than what the Green candidate gets.

Almost...could still happen depending on provisionals.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #86 on: August 08, 2018, 07:37:03 AM »
I at least feel good making the Balderson by 0.5% call.
Logged
Bman409
Rookie
**
Posts: 18
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #87 on: August 08, 2018, 12:51:40 PM »

You weren't far off
Logged
Bman409
Rookie
**
Posts: 18
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #88 on: August 08, 2018, 12:54:15 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on August 07, 2018, 08:51:26 AM
Balderson by a very slim margin. And then the orange clown will pretend it is his great victory. Hope I'm wrong though.

You weren't wrong.

Sorry LOL
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,043
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #89 on: August 08, 2018, 08:03:04 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 07, 2018, 06:55:35 PM
I previously said Balderson by 5. I'm going to stick by it even though I am almost certain that I'll be wrong.

I was right about being wrong. Waaay wrong!
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 [4]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.043 seconds with 13 queries.