FL-Gov: two new polls, good for Graham
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  FL-Gov: two new polls, good for Graham
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Author Topic: FL-Gov: two new polls, good for Graham  (Read 1051 times)
Donerail
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« on: August 07, 2018, 10:32:55 AM »

PPP (Levine internal):
Graham 26%
Levine 22%
Greene 16%
Gillum 14%
King 4%
Full results here

Associated Industries:
Graham 35%
Levine 14%
Gillum 14%
Greene 12%
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2018, 10:42:57 AM »

Seems that Graham will be our candidate. Make your dad proud!
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2018, 10:57:08 AM »

If Levine is behind in his own internals, then he's probably not winning the primary.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2018, 10:59:28 AM »

Good
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ajc0918
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« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2018, 10:59:48 AM »

Levine's press release for this poll called it a "statistical dead heat" and his supporters are saying the race is tied. Right...
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2018, 01:01:40 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2018, 01:23:32 PM by President Johnson »

Good poll for Levine (Edit: At least the PPP poll). I'd be absolutely fine with Graham, but I hope very much Levine can pull this one out. His campaign has a lot of energy and is very active on social media.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2018, 01:03:47 PM »

Good poll for Levine. I'd be absolutely fine with Graham, but I hope very much Levine can pull this one out. His campaign has a lot of energy and is very active on social media.

He’s down 4 in his own damn internal. That is an awful poll for Levine.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2018, 01:05:50 PM »

Good poll for Levine. I'd be absolutely fine with Graham, but I hope very much Levine can pull this one out. His campaign has a lot of energy and is very active on social media.

He’s down 4 in his own damn internal. That is an awful poll for Levine.

The other most recent polls had him down by double digits. I wonder what caused this recent change, less than two months ago he was the frontrunner.
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« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2018, 01:14:44 PM »

Good poll for Levine. I'd be absolutely fine with Graham, but I hope very much Levine can pull this one out. His campaign has a lot of energy and is very active on social media.

He’s down 4 in his own damn internal. That is an awful poll for Levine.

The other most recent polls had him down by double digits. I wonder what caused this recent change, less than two months ago he was the frontrunner.
Jeff Greene taking part of his base, Graham running a strong campaign, and Levine just being a poor candidate himself.
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TampaSunset
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« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2018, 01:17:00 PM »

Jeff Greene is why.

I believe that Levine's been running a strong campaign and is a very strong, dynamic candidate. Probably the best resume in the field as far as accomplishments.

Graham's campaign has been mediocre at best (though they've gotten their act together in the last month), but benefits from a very famous last name and running in a year that is very beneficial to woman candidates. Also from Greene's last entrance and massive 15 million spend in one month.

If Greene's poll numbers start to drop (and Graham's as well––she's taking pretty big hits from negative TV advertising), Levine stands to benefit. That appears to be happening in Levine's internal.

Also, Levine did very well at the last statewide televised debate, and Graham did quite poorly. We'll see. 3 weeks! I'd be happy with either Levine or Graham, but am rooting for Levine. I think he has the best chance to win the general.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2018, 01:22:55 PM »

Jeff Greene is why.

I believe that Levine's been running a strong campaign and is a very strong, dynamic candidate. Probably the best resume in the field as far as accomplishments.

Graham's campaign has been mediocre at best (though they've gotten their act together in the last month), but benefits from a very famous last name and running in a year that is very beneficial to woman candidates. Also from Greene's last entrance and massive 15 million spend in one month.

If Greene's poll numbers start to drop (and Graham's as well––she's taking pretty big hits from negative TV advertising), Levine stands to benefit. That appears to be happening in Levine's internal.

Also, Levine did very well at the last statewide televised debate, and Graham did quite poorly. We'll see. 3 weeks! I'd be happy with either Levine or Graham, but am rooting for Levine. I think he has the best chance to win the general.

As I suggested a few weeks earlier, they should both run on a ticket.

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« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2018, 01:49:36 PM »

Gwen Graham is going to be the next Governor of Florida. Democratic women are over performing period. I expect her victory in the primary to be rather commanding.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2018, 01:52:29 PM »

The GOP underestimated this race with Adam Putnam. Now" whomever they run probably isnt going to win
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Donerail
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« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2018, 01:57:29 PM »

As I suggested a few weeks earlier, they should both run on a ticket.
I would be extremely surprised if Graham picks someone from outside the I-4 — probably Buckhorn, as he's termed out anyway.
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Beet
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« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2018, 02:00:53 PM »

Why is everyone assuming Graham will be the nominee? You're forgetting the power of liberal misogyny.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #15 on: August 07, 2018, 02:02:03 PM »

Good poll for Levine. I'd be absolutely fine with Graham, but I hope very much Levine can pull this one out. His campaign has a lot of energy and is very active on social media.

He’s down 4 in his own damn internal. That is an awful poll for Levine.

The other most recent polls had him down by double digits. I wonder what caused this recent change, less than two months ago he was the frontrunner.

He’s doing better here than other polls because it is his internal.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #16 on: August 07, 2018, 02:16:40 PM »

As I suggested a few weeks earlier, they should both run on a ticket.
I would be extremely surprised if Graham picks someone from outside the I-4 — probably Buckhorn, as he's termed out anyway.

I figure she picks Chris King: yeah, nobody might know who he is right now (which tbh might be a positive since that means he doesn't have a nasty political record to be running away from) even after a campaign (ok, maybe he should be a little bit more well known after this campaign than he is right now ngl) but, after all, he's from Orlando (so check on the I-4 corridor), he's Harvard-educated, he's liberal, he has a record of helping the disadvantaged, he has highlightable/toutable business experience, & he consistently comes off as the best informed & most substantive candidate of the primary bunch even though he's the only candidate with zero governing & political experience (again a potential positive since he's got no nasty political record to run away from). Am I crazy or has he been running to be somebody's Lt. Governor this whole time lol?
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Pollster
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« Reply #17 on: August 07, 2018, 04:27:52 PM »

In Levine's internal, his favorability is higher and his unfavorability is lower than Graham's, and he is still trailing. He is going to lose.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: August 07, 2018, 04:54:46 PM »

Why is everyone assuming Graham will be the nominee? You're forgetting the power of liberal misogyny.

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=12&year=2016&f=0&off=0&elect=1
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Beet
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« Reply #19 on: August 07, 2018, 05:00:45 PM »


The wife of a former president who the entire party cleared for beating a 74 y.o. independent socialist is not what I'd call impressive.

The same year DWS was hounded out of the Senate race for a former GOP donor with ethics problems...
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Donerail
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« Reply #20 on: August 07, 2018, 05:08:19 PM »


The wife of a former president who the entire party cleared for beating a 74 y.o. independent socialist is not what I'd call impressive.

The same year DWS was hounded out of the Senate race for a former GOP donor with ethics problems...

https://ballotpedia.org/Florida%27s_2nd_Congressional_District_elections,_2014
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Use Your Illusion
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« Reply #21 on: August 10, 2018, 03:15:03 PM »

Gwen Graham is going to be the next Governor of Florida. Democratic women are over performing period. I expect her victory in the primary to be rather commanding.

I can only hope you're right. I'm lukewarm at best about Graham but absolutely do not under any circumstances want Putnam or DeSantis.
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