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Discussion thread link: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  AZ-OH Predictive Insights: Sinema +4 (GE), McSally +8 (GOP primary)
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Author Topic: AZ-OH Predictive Insights: Sinema +4 (GE), McSally +8 (GOP primary)  (Read 925 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: August 01, 2018, 02:11:52 am »

https://www.abc15.com/news/state/abc15-poll-arizona-senate-race-tightening-in-primary-general-election-matchups

GE
Sinema 48
McSally 44

GOP Primary
McSally 35
Ward 27
Arpaio 15
Undecided 23

McSally's primary lead has shrunk from +14 to +8.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2018, 03:46:05 am »

SINEMA!!
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Biden +3 in Texas
dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2018, 05:22:19 am »

Their last poll had Sinema + 6 so about in line with what Gravis and that other pollster (don't remember which one, Surveymonkey maybe?) found in the last month or so


Not Sure about that, but their four polls from 2016 had Clinton up by 7, Clinton up by 4, Clinton up by 1, and a Tied race on the Presidential level here (April 2016, June 2016, August 2016, September 2016)

Apparently they did not poll the Senate race back in 2016...
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Webnicz
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2018, 08:16:10 am »


they're a local pollster based out of AZ that does polls for the AZGOP, so pretty much.

love when republican polls have sinema up. my blue dog queen.
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Bipartisan Bills or Bust
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2018, 11:15:40 am »

Itís a #NeverTrump pollster I believe, so not exactly good news for McSally.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2018, 11:17:26 am »

Does anyone else when seeing this polling firm think its a poll for Ohio?
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Make PA Blue Again!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2018, 11:57:49 am »

Does anyone else when seeing this polling firm think its a poll for Ohio?

I thought it was going to be two polls, one for Ohio and one for Arizona.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2018, 12:06:25 pm »

Does anyone else when seeing this polling firm think its a poll for Ohio?

I thought it was going to be two polls, one for Ohio and one for Arizona.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: August 01, 2018, 04:50:47 pm »

Looks like Atlas crowned Sinema as Senator-elect a bit too early due to muh 6 month early polls and due to hypothetical matchups that will never actually occur. She'll still probably win though.
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #9 on: August 01, 2018, 04:54:10 pm »

Looks like Atlas crowned Sinema as Senator-elect a bit too early due to muh 6 month early polls and due to hypothetical matchups that will never actually occur. She'll still probably win though.

I mean, obviously it's too early to crown her the winner, but this poll shouldn't be the tidbit of data to make that obvious. It's a C+ pollster whose last result was only 2 points higher (+6). Not exactly a game changer.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: August 03, 2018, 04:47:09 pm »

New Poll: Arizona Senator by Other Source on 2018-07-24

Summary: D: 48%, R: 44%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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