Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General (user search)
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  Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General (search mode)
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Author Topic: Delaware- Gravis Marketing: Carper Has Huge Primary Lead, Single Digit General  (Read 2989 times)
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« on: July 31, 2018, 07:06:29 PM »

Make it stop please, this is getting ridiculous.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2018, 07:08:28 PM »

Better numbers than I expected for Harris. Not great numbers for Carper in the primary or the general. AOC was facing very similar numbers in NY-14, until the undecideds broke decisively for her. Incumbents struggling to secure a strong majority in their primary polling generally have a tough time when it's actually time for the primary.

Please don't take this poll seriously people.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2018, 10:29:49 PM »

I'm still not certain we've ever obtained sufficient evidence that Gravis actually conducts their polls.

You really need to get over it. RCP and 538 consider them to be real. That's real enough for me. You can go live in fantasy land.

If you think that Carper is only winning by single digits in the GE you are in fantasy land.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2018, 10:38:36 PM »

As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2018, 10:43:46 PM »

As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all.
Didnt Paul Jean over preform and get more than 30%, in WV? By that logic, this primary will be a tossup.

Or 46-8 for Manchin is a 38 point lead for Manchin, with the final result being 69.79-30.21 for Manchin, a 39.58 point lead for Manchin. By this logic, it most certainly would not be a tossup.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2018, 10:44:52 PM »

As for the primary, not concerned. Cenk's stupid primary poll in WV was 46-8 for Manchin and he tried to spin it for Paul Jean, leads this large are nearly insurmountable. 51-19 may not be Tester safe, but it is plenty healthy enough to not be concerned at all.

looooool

I'm doing my d@mn best to help make it an Atlasian meme.
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