GA: Gravis Marketing: Stacey Abrams (D) +2 vs. Brian Kemp (R)

[South Dakota Democrat]

Sunbelt FL is more friendly than OH and NV govs.

And this has to do with the thread topic how?

[South Dakota Democrat]

OR is gonna be competetive, unlike Menenedez who has Latinos and Blacks to fall back on. Female candidates sometimes underperform males. Unlike in Iowa where Reynolds is running away with race

I'm not sure why you keep stubbornly asserting that Reynolds is safe/running away with her race.  That's just not supported by the evidence.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Terry Brandstand was hugely popular and she was his LT Gov, there's no polling at the moment and she isnt no Janet Mills who can be upset by Shawn Moody. Last poll had Reynolds up by 4 and no internal polls from Hubbell camp to dispute that. I say she wins by six

Except there is polling that indicates it's a tossup or perhaps tilt R.