It’s pretty obvious that Rick Scott has a narrow lead right now. Honestly, it’s quite shocking that a 3-term senator like Bill Nelson is running such a lack-luster reelection campaign. Right now I’d predict that Rick Scott defeats Bill Nelson by one or two points.
Given that Marist and PPP are the two of the most recent reputable posters, I’m not convinced Nelson is not winning. The CBS poll has Scott up 5 to be fair but I don’t know how much weight should really be applied to Gravis, this, or St Leo.