ID-GOV: Little (R) +10
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  ID-GOV: Little (R) +10
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Author Topic: ID-GOV: Little (R) +10  (Read 1776 times)
Jeppe
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« on: July 23, 2018, 12:26:31 PM »

https://www.scribd.com/document/384438425/Clarity-Idaho-Voices-for-Change-Now-Poll-Results-July-2018

Brad Little (R) - 38%
Paulette Jordan (D) - 28%
Third Party - 7%

Favourability
Lt. Gov Brad Little - 25/22
State Sen. Paulette Jordan - 26/16

Composition of electorate
Republicans - 55%
Democrats - 13%
Independent - 33%
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2018, 12:27:58 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.
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Jeppe
Bosse
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2018, 12:30:59 PM »

While 28% looks pretty bad for Jordan, Clinton actually only got 27.5% of the vote in 2016, so it looks like she’s on track to strongly overperform Clinton’s 2016 Numbers.

But be aware that this is a Democratic pollster. Not a Jordan campaign internal poll, but still commissioned by a Democratic group.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2018, 12:46:39 PM »

Paulette Jordan would be the hottest Governor in the US.

Sadly, she won't become Governor.

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2018, 12:52:02 PM »

Composition of electorate
Republicans - 55%
Democrats - 13%
Independent - 33%

Oof...
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2018, 12:56:36 PM »
« Edited: July 23, 2018, 01:57:25 PM by PittsburghSteel »

Must mean that Jordan is soaking up the independent support.

I wish it was Washington she was running in. She's a terrific candidate and she represents our party well.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2018, 01:05:44 PM »

With leaners:

44% Little
30% Jordan
  9% Others
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2018, 01:10:42 PM »

Might help downballot, though.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2018, 01:58:38 PM »

With leaners:

44% Little
30% Jordan
  9% Others

Obviously Little will win, but that's still a pretty weak number for a Republican in Idaho. Jordan should easily crack 35%, might score in the high 30s.
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2018, 02:01:12 PM »

Wouldn't be surprised if Jordan breaks 40.
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South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2018, 05:50:23 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.

Didn't Otter win in a pretty underwhelming fashion in 2014?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2018, 06:21:03 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.

Didn't Otter win in a pretty underwhelming fashion in 2014?

Yes, though that can probably be explained by IDGOP infighting. Which probably also explains Little’s underwhelming number
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2018, 06:22:23 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.

Didn't Otter win in a pretty underwhelming fashion in 2014?

Yes, though that can probably be explained by IDGOP infighting. Which probably also explains Little’s underwhelming number
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2018, 06:42:20 PM »

With leaners:

44% Little
30% Jordan
  9% Others

Lol, that still is a weak weak margin.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2018, 06:45:34 PM »

Otter only won by 15 points in 2014. FWIW, I think Republicans dodged a bullet here with Little, since this would have been a Tossup with Labrador.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2018, 11:37:31 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2018, 04:35:52 PM »

If the Democrat garnered 38.6% in 2014, Jordan should be able to cross 40%
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #17 on: July 24, 2018, 07:54:56 PM »

Paulette Jordan would be the hottest Governor in the US.

Sadly, she won't become Governor.


Gretchen Whitmer would be it anyway.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2018, 11:20:13 AM »

New Poll: Idaho Governor by Clarity Campaign Labs on 2018-07-15

Summary: D: 30%, R: 44%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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