ID-GOV: Little (R) +10
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 04, 2023, 08:56:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  ID-GOV: Little (R) +10
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: ID-GOV: Little (R) +10  (Read 1603 times)
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,806
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 23, 2018, 12:26:31 PM »

https://www.scribd.com/document/384438425/Clarity-Idaho-Voices-for-Change-Now-Poll-Results-July-2018

Brad Little (R) - 38%
Paulette Jordan (D) - 28%
Third Party - 7%

Favourability
Lt. Gov Brad Little - 25/22
State Sen. Paulette Jordan - 26/16

Composition of electorate
Republicans - 55%
Democrats - 13%
Independent - 33%
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,386
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2018, 12:27:58 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.
Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,806
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2018, 12:30:59 PM »

While 28% looks pretty bad for Jordan, Clinton actually only got 27.5% of the vote in 2016, so it looks like she’s on track to strongly overperform Clinton’s 2016 Numbers.

But be aware that this is a Democratic pollster. Not a Jordan campaign internal poll, but still commissioned by a Democratic group.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,175
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2018, 12:46:39 PM »

Paulette Jordan would be the hottest Governor in the US.

Sadly, she won't become Governor.

Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,665
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2018, 12:52:02 PM »

Composition of electorate
Republicans - 55%
Democrats - 13%
Independent - 33%

Oof...
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,150
United States


P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2018, 12:56:36 PM »
« Edited: July 23, 2018, 01:57:25 PM by PittsburghSteel »

Must mean that Jordan is soaking up the independent support.

I wish it was Washington she was running in. She's a terrific candidate and she represents our party well.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,175
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2018, 01:05:44 PM »

With leaners:

44% Little
30% Jordan
  9% Others
Logged
Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,031


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2018, 01:10:42 PM »

Might help downballot, though.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,150
United States


P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2018, 01:58:38 PM »

With leaners:

44% Little
30% Jordan
  9% Others

Obviously Little will win, but that's still a pretty weak number for a Republican in Idaho. Jordan should easily crack 35%, might score in the high 30s.
Logged
Dr. MB
MB
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,283
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2018, 02:01:12 PM »

Wouldn't be surprised if Jordan breaks 40.
Logged
South Dakota Democrat
jrk26
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,911


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2018, 05:50:23 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.

Didn't Otter win in a pretty underwhelming fashion in 2014?
Logged
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,232
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2018, 06:21:03 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.

Didn't Otter win in a pretty underwhelming fashion in 2014?

Yes, though that can probably be explained by IDGOP infighting. Which probably also explains Little’s underwhelming number
Logged
Alabama_Indy10
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2018, 06:22:23 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.

Didn't Otter win in a pretty underwhelming fashion in 2014?

Yes, though that can probably be explained by IDGOP infighting. Which probably also explains Little’s underwhelming number
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,386
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2018, 06:42:20 PM »

With leaners:

44% Little
30% Jordan
  9% Others

Lol, that still is a weak weak margin.
Logged
MT Treasurer (Daines's Brain)
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,432
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2018, 06:45:34 PM »

Otter only won by 15 points in 2014. FWIW, I think Republicans dodged a bullet here with Little, since this would have been a Tossup with Labrador.
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,108
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2018, 11:37:31 PM »

Wow, that's pretty bad for Little.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,150
United States


P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 24, 2018, 04:35:52 PM »

If the Democrat garnered 38.6% in 2014, Jordan should be able to cross 40%
Logged
I will not be your victim, I will not bathe in your flames
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 105,785
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 24, 2018, 07:54:56 PM »

Paulette Jordan would be the hottest Governor in the US.

Sadly, she won't become Governor.


Gretchen Whitmer would be it anyway.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,175
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2018, 11:20:13 AM »

New Poll: Idaho Governor by Clarity Campaign Labs on 2018-07-15

Summary: D: 30%, R: 44%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.069 seconds with 12 queries.