AZ-Morning Consult/Politico: Democratic candidate +7
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Author Topic: AZ-Morning Consult/Politico: Democratic candidate +7  (Read 816 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: July 16, 2018, 09:15:22 PM »
41% Democratic candidate
34% Doug Ducey (R, inc.)

https://www.politico.com/interactives/2018/the-deciders-arizona-poll/
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2018, 09:16:26 PM »
I wonder if the pundits will ever move this race to lean R, or tossup. Nah.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2018, 09:16:57 PM »
Even if it is just Generic D, an incumbent being at 34% is absolutely pathetic.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2018, 09:17:31 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 16, 2018, 09:16:57 PM
Even if it is just Generic D, an incumbent being at 34% is absolutely pathetic.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2018, 09:24:25 PM »
Great news, Ducey is toast.😁
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Doimper
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« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2018, 09:25:28 PM »
Quote from: jrk26 on July 16, 2018, 09:17:31 PM
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 16, 2018, 09:16:57 PM
Even if it is just Generic D, an incumbent being at 34% is absolutely pathetic.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #6 on: July 16, 2018, 09:27:15 PM »
Fingers crossed for Governor-Elect Garcia
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OneJ
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« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2018, 09:35:47 PM »
Eh...this is Morning Consult, but I’m happy that this seems to suggest that Dems seem to be doing better than before in Arizona.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2018, 09:46:21 PM »
Is the polls being influenced by dribble effect of the Russia scandal, or is this wave a real wave, time will tell.We are still at paralysis over the budgets and SCOTUS
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #9 on: July 16, 2018, 09:46:43 PM »
At this point, I wouldn't be shocked to see Arizona going for the Democrat in 2020, especially if the nominee is someone like Biden or Harris.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2018, 10:11:06 PM »
Move Arizona from Lean R to Toss-up
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Webnicz
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« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2018, 10:21:24 PM »
Always wondered why expert pundits always had this race at high GOP ratings with the only reasoning being “Ducey has a lot of money”
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: July 16, 2018, 10:26:06 PM »
These are the same states that Dems wom in 2006 : TN, AZ and OH😁wave year: with the dribble down of Russia collusions, just like in OH, that just was announced, the bounce for Dems has occurred. Dems just have to stop it from being a dead cat bounce
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KingSweden
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2018, 10:30:35 PM »
Quote from: tmthforu94 on July 16, 2018, 10:11:06 PM
Move Arizona from Lean R to Toss-up
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #14 on: July 16, 2018, 11:01:18 PM »
Quote from: Webnicz on July 16, 2018, 10:21:24 PM
Always wondered why expert pundits always had this race at high GOP ratings with the only reasoning being “Ducey has a lot of money”

Because ''expert pundits'' are stuck in their old ways. They are treating Trump like he's a regular Republican president because they cannot create a prediction model that quantifies Trump's disgustingness as a motivator for voters. Trump's presidency is essentially a black swan event and its impact on the looming midterms cant properly be measured. The idea that Kansas, Oklahoma, Arizona, etc... will flip Democrat isn't that far-fetched but under a Rubio or Jeb! presidency it never would of happened.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: July 16, 2018, 11:22:51 PM »
« Edited: July 16, 2018, 11:27:27 PM by Cory Booker »
This election is turning out to be like 2010, where Dems were suppose to keep their majority; however, GOP won 60 seats. Dems arent gonna win 60, but 33.

But, pundits are very cautious about how wrong state by state polling was in 2016. And how it came down to WI, MI, PA, NH, VA and CO.

Rennaci is catching Brown in OH
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: July 18, 2018, 05:03:13 AM »
Hilarious that RCP still rates this race as "lean Republican".
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