TN-Emerson Poll: Bredesen+6

[Tender Branson]

Phil Bredesen (D) 43%
Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R) 37%

https://www.clnsmedia.com/podcasts/statewide-tennessee-poll-us-senate-phil-bredesen-d-v-marsha-blackburn-gubernatorial-trump-approval-ratings-podcast/

[Tender Branson]

Nice.

Could still be a close race within 5% in either direction.

But at least Blackburn is not up by 14 like SurveyJunkey said.

[Tender Branson]

Bredesen getting 20% of Republicans and wins Indies by 17 points.

And among very likely voters: 46-39 Bredesen

[Tender Branson]

Trump approval:

52-39 approve

Pot legalisation:

45-41 in favour

Full poll results will be out at 9am Eastern.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Tennessee Senator by Emerson College on 2018-07-14

Summary: D: 46%, R: 39%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

The problem with Emerson is they never push undecideds. We have no idea if the undecideds here are pro-R and dislike Blackburn, or D-leaning/Indie who are a bit more liberal than Bredesen.

Also, I cant believe how weak Blackburn has been, shes just so hated, by literally everyone.

When you compare the results for RV and LV though, the Bredesen-margin increases by 1% and the undecideds go down.

[Tender Branson]

This is going to be an interesting race ...

The primary results yesterday do not indicate that Bredesen can win this thing against Blackburn.

He's far below his 2006 primary vote totals for Governor and Republican votes are up almost 3 times since 2006.

But we'll see. Maybe many Republicans are staying home in November and more Dems/Indys are turning out.

[Tender Branson]

I only believe the Bredesen win in TN when I see it ...

A lot has changed in TN recently and the state got much more Republican + many voters might not remember Bredesen as the popular Governor he was.

Plus, TN has always been a major letdown when it mattered: In 2000, it was Al Gore's homestate and he didn't win it, enabling the catastrophic presidency of GWB.

And in 2006, when it looked as if Harold Ford was about to win it - voters got scared by the racist "Harold, call me !" ad and voted for Corker.

So, I won't be too optimistic about Bredesen in the next months.