NE-Grassroots Targeting (R): Fischer +35
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  NE-Grassroots Targeting (R): Fischer +35
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Author Topic: NE-Grassroots Targeting (R): Fischer +35  (Read 1017 times)
Three-term Incumbent MT Treasurer
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« on: July 14, 2018, 03:49:24 PM »

63% Deb Fischer (R, inc.)
28% Jane Raybould (D)

Trump approval: 60/36 (+24)

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-score/2018/07/12/house-democrats-million-dollar-fundraising-club-276638
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2018, 04:10:49 PM »

Wow, this is worse than I expected for Raybould.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2018, 04:17:52 PM »

Lol, not even Sasse won by this much in 2014. Junk poll.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2018, 04:23:24 PM »

I had to read so far into that roundup to find this poll lol
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2018, 04:26:26 PM »

Itíll be closer than this, but still Safe R.
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PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2018, 05:10:27 PM »

So much for the #atlas Analysis that this was a sleeper race, lol
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2018, 05:44:00 PM »

So much for the #atlas Analysis that this was a sleeper race, lol

I dont think anyone thinks Fischer is in any real danger, but even her own internal didnt have her winning by this much.
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Overturn Dobbs
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2018, 05:46:21 PM »

Wait, Morning Consult told me Trump's approval in Nebraska is lower than Texas.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2018, 05:47:11 PM »

Yeesh. There goes the NE/MS longshot dream. I think Cook can safely move this one back into the safe camp.

Also, I think it's appropriate if we all have a moment of silence for poor, poor Bob Kerrey.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2018, 05:58:43 PM »

Yeesh. There goes the NE/MS longshot dream. I think Cook can safely move this one back into the safe camp.

Also, I think it's appropriate if we all have a moment of silence for poor, poor Bob Kerrey.

If Kerrey couldn't make this race competitive, I dont know who thinks NE could ever be a longshot.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2018, 05:00:46 PM »

Yeesh. There goes the NE/MS longshot dream. I think Cook can safely move this one back into the safe camp.

Also, I think it's appropriate if we all have a moment of silence for poor, poor Bob Kerrey.

If Kerrey couldn't make this race competitive, I dont know who thinks NE could ever be a longshot.

Kerrey was a garbage candidate who jumped in and out of the race like five times before actually deciding to run for good and ran a garbage campaign. He makes Bayh and Thompson look like rockstars by comparison. The real miracle is that he came within 15, which I can only assume was due to the good fortune of most Senate Democrats that year, like the lady under ethics investigation coming within a point of Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller.

Anyway, I like how some people here are willing to believe an extremely implausible result just because it's for a race they have already written off, but refuse to believe a very plausible result just because it's for a race they think they can still win. Not to mention one is an internal with literally no publicly released data to speak of (or a track record for that matter), while the other is non partisan and done by at least a semi-credible organization with complete crosstabs released.

Gotta love Atlas.
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #11 on: July 15, 2018, 05:54:09 PM »

Garbage poll. #resistance wine moms in Omaha and Lincoln will certainly keep Fischer below 60 at the very least.

This poll just seems to be a GOP wank, which is no surprise considering the general demeanor of the Nebraska GOP. Also, from what I am gathering, there was no further data released from the poll besides the basic numbers. I am sure this poll is very accurate, then!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2018, 06:20:57 PM »

When an unknown, untested pollster comes out with unbelievable numbers, skepticism is usually the path to take.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #13 on: July 15, 2018, 09:34:26 PM »

Garbage poll. #resistance wine moms in Omaha and Lincoln will certainly keep Fischer below 60 at the very least.

This poll just seems to be a GOP wank, which is no surprise considering the general demeanor of the Nebraska GOP. Also, from what I am gathering, there was no further data released from the poll besides the basic numbers. I am sure this poll is very accurate, then!

This poll wouldn't even be able to be entered in the Atlas database because there's not enough basic information about it to fill the necessary fields. There's no trace of this poll anywhere on the entire internet except for the few sentences in this meandering Politico article.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #14 on: July 15, 2018, 09:54:57 PM »

Yeesh. There goes the NE/MS longshot dream. I think Cook can safely move this one back into the safe camp.

Also, I think it's appropriate if we all have a moment of silence for poor, poor Bob Kerrey.

If Kerrey couldn't make this race competitive, I dont know who thinks NE could ever be a longshot.

Kerrey was a garbage candidate who jumped in and out of the race like five times before actually deciding to run for good and ran a garbage campaign. He makes Bayh and Thompson look like rockstars by comparison. The real miracle is that he came within 15, which I can only assume was due to the good fortune of most Senate Democrats that year, like the lady under ethics investigation coming within a point of Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller.

Anyway, I like how some people here are willing to believe an extremely implausible result just because it's for a race they have already written off, but refuse to believe a very plausible result just because it's for a race they think they can still win. Not to mention one is an internal with literally no publicly released data to speak of (or a track record for that matter), while the other is non partisan and done by at least a semi-credible organization with complete crosstabs released.

Gotta love Atlas.

*sigh*
I really dont know what you want from us IceSpear. You seem to have so much vitriol for your fellow atlas poster I dont even know why you bother coming here anymore.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: July 15, 2018, 10:29:35 PM »

Yeesh. There goes the NE/MS longshot dream. I think Cook can safely move this one back into the safe camp.

Also, I think it's appropriate if we all have a moment of silence for poor, poor Bob Kerrey.

If Kerrey couldn't make this race competitive, I dont know who thinks NE could ever be a longshot.

Kerrey was a garbage candidate who jumped in and out of the race like five times before actually deciding to run for good and ran a garbage campaign. He makes Bayh and Thompson look like rockstars by comparison. The real miracle is that he came within 15, which I can only assume was due to the good fortune of most Senate Democrats that year, like the lady under ethics investigation coming within a point of Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller.

Anyway, I like how some people here are willing to believe an extremely implausible result just because it's for a race they have already written off, but refuse to believe a very plausible result just because it's for a race they think they can still win. Not to mention one is an internal with literally no publicly released data to speak of (or a track record for that matter), while the other is non partisan and done by at least a semi-credible organization with complete crosstabs released.

Gotta love Atlas.

*sigh*
I really dont know what you want from us IceSpear. You seem to have so much vitriol for your fellow atlas poster I dont even know why you bother coming here anymore.

What point in particular do you take issue with?
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #16 on: July 15, 2018, 10:50:57 PM »

Yeesh. There goes the NE/MS longshot dream. I think Cook can safely move this one back into the safe camp.

Also, I think it's appropriate if we all have a moment of silence for poor, poor Bob Kerrey.

If Kerrey couldn't make this race competitive, I dont know who thinks NE could ever be a longshot.

Kerrey was a garbage candidate who jumped in and out of the race like five times before actually deciding to run for good and ran a garbage campaign. He makes Bayh and Thompson look like rockstars by comparison. The real miracle is that he came within 15, which I can only assume was due to the good fortune of most Senate Democrats that year, like the lady under ethics investigation coming within a point of Unbeatable Titan Dean Heller.

Anyway, I like how some people here are willing to believe an extremely implausible result just because it's for a race they have already written off, but refuse to believe a very plausible result just because it's for a race they think they can still win. Not to mention one is an internal with literally no publicly released data to speak of (or a track record for that matter), while the other is non partisan and done by at least a semi-credible organization with complete crosstabs released.

Gotta love Atlas.

*sigh*
I really dont know what you want from us IceSpear. You seem to have so much vitriol for your fellow atlas poster I dont even know why you bother coming here anymore.

What point in particular do you take issue with?

None, just making an observation.
Logged
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