Gravis Marketing(Arizona Governor Race): A close race
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  Gravis Marketing(Arizona Governor Race): A close race
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Author Topic: Gravis Marketing(Arizona Governor Race): A close race  (Read 1850 times)
Zaybay
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« on: July 08, 2018, 10:19:15 PM »
« edited: July 08, 2018, 10:24:48 PM by Zaybay »

Gravis Marketing

With Garcia:
Garcia(D)- 42%
Ducey(R)- 41%

With Farley:
Farley(D)- 39%
Ducey(R)- 43%

Trump Approval:
46/50

Writeup: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/Gravis_Arizona_July_3_2018_1.pdf
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2018, 10:24:44 PM »

Sleeper race?
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Lincoln Deputy Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2018, 10:28:28 PM »

Still Lean R, but the refusal of Democratic strategists to meaningfully target this race remains puzzling.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #3 on: July 08, 2018, 10:28:34 PM »

Fascinating race. Little to no coverage compared to races like GA but Garcia has consistently led Ducey in polling (granted, they're mostly his own internals).

I honestly think, with a consistent if narrow lead and a turnout advantage, Garcia has a very good chance of pulling this one out.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2018, 10:30:27 PM »

Ouch.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: July 08, 2018, 10:42:41 PM »

No surprise, I expect this one to be one of the closest races of the night.
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: July 08, 2018, 10:58:54 PM »

Ducey may lose after all😀
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #7 on: July 08, 2018, 11:00:36 PM »

A statewide race in a briskly leftward trending state is competitive? What a twist!
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #8 on: July 08, 2018, 11:05:45 PM »

Iíve been calling this race a tossup for a while now. Glad to see a poll confirm that, even if itís Gravis.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: July 08, 2018, 11:11:16 PM »

I'm thinking the gap between this and the Senate race will be nowhere near as huge as a lot of people (especially the pundits) think it will be.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #10 on: July 09, 2018, 12:01:24 AM »

I like Garcia. I saw him at a press conference with Abrams and Gillum. I hope he makes it through the primary, he will shock a lot of people on election night.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #11 on: July 09, 2018, 12:19:56 AM »

I just want to point out 17% of Clinton voters are undecided vs just 7.5% of Trump voters in this poll.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #12 on: July 09, 2018, 12:20:28 AM »

New Poll: Arizona Governor by Gravis Marketing on 2018-07-02

Summary: D: 42%, R: 41%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: July 09, 2018, 12:11:37 PM »

I just want to point out 17% of Clinton voters are undecided vs just 7.5% of Trump voters in this poll.
Wow, really?
Now that I think about this race more and more, Im starting to see Garcia as a favorite to win. Ducey is just too hampered by too many obstacles, the changing state demographics, the swings in the Phoniex metro, the teachers strike, and Trump. He is disliked by many and has little personal appeal. Garcia has that appeal, and has charisma leaking out of him, like a Gillum but without the controversy.
I wonder if the pundits will at least move this race to tossup.
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Skye
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« Reply #14 on: July 09, 2018, 03:02:20 PM »

I just want to point out 17% of Clinton voters are undecided vs just 7.5% of Trump voters in this poll.
Wow, really?
Now that I think about this race more and more, Im starting to see Garcia as a favorite to win. Ducey is just too hampered by too many obstacles, the changing state demographics, the swings in the Phoniex metro, the teachers strike, and Trump. He is disliked by many and has little personal appeal. Garcia has that appeal, and has charisma leaking out of him, like a Gillum but without the controversy.
I wonder if the pundits will at least move this race to tossup.

It's a Gravis poll...
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: July 09, 2018, 03:37:10 PM »

Its not a big deal with 6 months left, but the trend line with Latinos is bad news, in a state like AZ and FL for Trump. Those are must wins for Putnam and Ducey and they are tied in polling.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #16 on: July 09, 2018, 07:41:15 PM »

>G R A V I S
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