Gravis Marketing - TX-GOV: Abbott Ahead 51-41

[mds32]

Governor
Abbott (R) - 51%
Valdez (D) - 41%

Lt. Governor
Patrick (R) 46%
Collier (D) 44%

Attorney General
Paxton (R) 45%
Nelson (D) 41%



https://www.breitbart.com/texas/2018/07/09/exclusive-texas-poll-ted-cruz-greg-abbott-smoking-democrat-opponents/

[Zaybay]

Governor
Abbott (R) - 51%
Valdez (D) - 41%

Lt. Governor
Patrick (R) 46%
Collier (D) 44%

Attorney General
Paxton (R) 45%
Nelson (D) 41%



https://www.breitbart.com/texas/2018/07/09/exclusive-texas-poll-ted-cruz-greg-abbott-smoking-democrat-opponents/

Abbott is bound to win, but Im surprised he has only been leading by a small percentage. Valdez is pretty bad, so I think this shows that D voters are becoming more ineleastic than before.

The best chance for Ds to get in the state gov is to focus on the AG and Lt. races TBH.

[mds32]

Governor
Abbott (R) - 51%
Valdez (D) - 41%

Lt. Governor
Patrick (R) 46%
Collier (D) 44%

Attorney General
Paxton (R) 45%
Nelson (D) 41%



https://www.breitbart.com/texas/2018/07/09/exclusive-texas-poll-ted-cruz-greg-abbott-smoking-democrat-opponents/

Abbott is bound to win, but Im surprised he has only been leading by a small percentage. Valdez is pretty bad, so I think this shows that D voters are becoming more ineleastic than before.

The best chance for Ds to get in the state gov is to focus on the AG and Lt. races TBH.

I think they lose them all. But the Democrats will only lose LG by a 53-47 margin. The GOP machine of TX will probably then realize that people like Dan Patrick are not going to be a part of the winning formula after 2018.

[Zaybay]

Governor
Abbott (R) - 51%
Valdez (D) - 41%

Lt. Governor
Patrick (R) 46%
Collier (D) 44%

Attorney General
Paxton (R) 45%
Nelson (D) 41%



https://www.breitbart.com/texas/2018/07/09/exclusive-texas-poll-ted-cruz-greg-abbott-smoking-democrat-opponents/

Abbott is bound to win, but Im surprised he has only been leading by a small percentage. Valdez is pretty bad, so I think this shows that D voters are becoming more ineleastic than before.

The best chance for Ds to get in the state gov is to focus on the AG and Lt. races TBH.

I think they lose them all. But the Democrats will only lose LG by a 53-47 margin. The GOP machine of TX will probably then realize that people like Dan Patrick are not going to be a part of the winning formula after 2018.

Im not so sure. TX has been weird in polling this cycle. Abott is really popular, even among Democrats, and Valdez is, well, bad. But the margin is always smaller than I expect. Abott should win with a margin of 60-40, but this race looks more like a 55-45 race. Could be that TX is experiencing the blue wave in a larger magnitude than thought? Im not sure.

The Lt. Gov though, is hated. Like, really hated. Many R suburbanites came out against him in the primary, and he has faced criticism a lot for his choices in gov. If he wins, it will be close, 51-49, but he has the greatest chance to lose.
 
Also, did they also release the senate data, cause boy, do pollsters like to rate that race, instead of MO, IN, TN, ND, MT, NV...etc.

[junior chįmp]

1 or 2 more election cycles and the TX GOP is finished

[MT Treasurer]

Will be interesting to see how much split-ticket voting there will actually be on election day. I think GOV is Safe R, SEN Likely R, LT-GOV Lean/Likely R, and Attorney General Likely R. But who knows.

[Yellowhammer]

1 or 2 more election cycles and the TX GOP is finished

LOL, are you capable of honest analysis?

[_]

> G R A V I S

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Can Gravis polls be banned on atlas!?

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Actually this looks about right

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Will be interesting to see how much split-ticket voting there will actually be on election day. I think GOV is Safe R, SEN Likely R, LT-GOV Lean/Likely R, and Attorney General Likely R. But who knows.

There will not be much ticket splitting at all. Remember, this is Texas we are talking about, not a normal state where voters are aware of the concept of ticket splitting.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beto will win and Abbott will win 55-45%

[TheSaint250]

Yeah he probably has a larger lead than this. Still safe R.

[mds32]

Beto will win and Abbott will win 55-45%

Keep dreaming

[Alabama_Indy10]

Beto will win and Abbott will win 55-45%

LOL

[Sestak]

Lmao Gravis.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

1 or 2 more election cycles and the TX GOP is finished

Play time is over, Republicans. The Dems are coming for you!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

1 or 2 more election cycles and the TX GOP is finished

lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

1 or 2 more election cycles and the TX GOP is finished

lol

At the Congressional level, its much easier to pick off a GOP seat in TX, except for the Gubernatorial and Presidential level. If Beto upsets Cruz, who knows