Senate Upsets?

[krazen1211]

Ron Johnson in 2016.

[Maxwell]

How about a dead person defeating John Ashcroft in 2000?

Carnahan was leading in the polls after the crash

but he was dead for weeks before election day.

and Bush WON Missouri by 3.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Evan Bayh losing in 2016

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Virginia 2006 was a large lead for Allen until about 2 months before the election
Indiana 2016 was a large lead for Bayh until about a month before the election

[KingSweden]

Evan Bayh losing in 2016

By the end of the campaign that was pretty obviously going to happen

[Blair]

Evan Bayh losing in 2016

I never saw this as an upset- The polling was tightening the whole time, there were multiple issues about Bayh’s lobbying and residence, and he got millions spend against him.

The only upset in 2016 was Wisconsin; mainly because it had been put in the same column as Illinois until October, and I thought feingold would outrun Clinton.

To answer the OP: didn’t 1980 have a string of upsets? Bayh Snr, Church, Gore etc

[Mr. Smith]

Evan Bayh losing in 2016

I never saw this as an upset- The polling was tightening the whole time, there were multiple issues about Bayh’s lobbying and residence, and he got millions spend against him.

The only upset in 2016 was Wisconsin; mainly because it had been put in the same column as Illinois until October, and I thought feingold would outrun Clinton.

To answer the OP: didn’t 1980 have a string of upsets? Bayh Snr, Church, Gore etc

Gore was in the '70's

[Xing]

While I think that some on this forum overrate Heidi Heitkamp, her win in 2012 was definitely an upset, given the polls.

[Skye]

According to polls at the time, Pat Roberts in 2014 definitely shouldn't have won by 11 points.

[IceSpear]

While I think that some on this forum overrate Heidi Heitkamp, her win in 2012 was definitely an upset, given the polls.

Yeah, Heitkamp was basically written off by everyone in 2012.

[KingSweden]

According to polls at the time, Pat Roberts in 2014 definitely shouldn't have won by 11 points.

True! But I think he was always favored to win, anyways

[Bojack Horseman]

Spencer Abraham over Bob Carr in 1994.

[Rhenna]

Heitkamp vs Berg 2012

[Progressive Pessimist]

While I think that some on this forum overrate Heidi Heitkamp, her win in 2012 was definitely an upset, given the polls.

It was the only senate election that 538 predicted wrong that year.

[Maxwell]

How about a dead person defeating John Ashcroft in 2000?

Carnahan was leading in the polls after the crash

but he was dead for weeks before election day.

and Bush WON Missouri by 3.

Plenty of states had tons of ticket splitting at the federal level in 2000, so the fact Bush narrowly won Missouri while Carnahan won by the same amount isn’t special in its own right

BUT

HE

WAS

DEAD

dead people winning over alive people is an upset period

[OneJ]

Minnesota ‘90.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Manchin loses, end blue dogs in Senate

[Checkard]

Manchin loses, end blue dogs in Senate

Donnelly?

[Sir Mohamed]

MN in 2002?

Stinky Pete

That one made me laugh. Really.

[TDAS04]

I don’t think many predicted a Jim Webb victory in 2006 before “macaca”.

Also, before his scandals, who would of dreamed of Ted Stevens losing in 2008?

[Brittain33]

How about a dead person defeating John Ashcroft in 2000?

Carnahan was leading in the polls after the crash

but he was dead for weeks before election day.

and Bush WON Missouri by 3.

Plenty of states had tons of ticket splitting at the federal level in 2000, so the fact Bush narrowly won Missouri while Carnahan won by the same amount isn’t special in its own right

BUT

HE

WAS

DEAD

dead people winning over alive people is an upset period

It was widely known and understood that voting for Mel Carnahan was a vote for his widow.

[IceSpear]

I don’t think many predicted a Jim Webb victory in 2006 before “macaca”.

Also, before his scandals, who would of dreamed of Ted Stevens losing in 2008?

I still remember everyone thinking Alaska was safe D after Stevens' conviction, only for Stevens to actually lead on election night before the absentees were counted. That would've been a pretty damn big upset.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If the Dems do flip the House, then MS and TX can go Democratic

[JG]

If the Dems do flip the House, then MS and TX can go Democratic

What one has to do with the other? Especially considering that most of the seats needed to lead the Dems to a majority are in blue coastal states?

[UWS]

If the Dems do flip the House, then MS and TX can go Democratic

What one has to do with the other? Especially considering that most of the seats needed to lead the Dems to a majority are in blue coastal states?

I think that what he means is, for example, if the Democrats do well in Texas by winning congressional seats like TX-07, TX-21, TX-23 and TX-32 (all Republican House seats in Texas that are considered as toss-ups), then there is clearly hope for Beto O'Rourke to defeat Ted Cruz in the senatorial race in Texas.

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/