Safe & Likely, with the special being far more variable as we don't know much about either candidate yet.
I actually think that the special election is closer to Safe at this point, though Smith will obviously underperform Klobuchar by quite a bit. Will Klobuchar manage to crack 60%?
Probably. She won 65% in her 2012 election and she consistently has among the highest approval ratings in the Senate. Newberger will be the Republican nominee this year and he's an absolute joke who can't stop saying dumb stuff. She'll destroy him.
