OH - NBC/Marist: Brown +13
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  OH - NBC/Marist: Brown +13
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Author Topic: OH - NBC/Marist: Brown +13  (Read 1247 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« on: June 26, 2018, 02:11:10 PM »

Brown: 51%
Renacci: 38%

Dems lead GOP by 4 in Generic Ballot

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/OHPolls/OH180617/NBC%20News%20Marist%20Poll_Written%20Summary%20of%20Findings_OH_June%202018.pdf
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2018, 02:13:14 PM »

Looks like it will be the Gubernatorial race to watch in Ohio
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2018, 02:14:42 PM »

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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2018, 02:14:49 PM »

Its like a reverse Portman vs. Strickland 2016
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2018, 02:47:05 PM »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2018, 02:49:52 PM »

Freedom poll. I hope Brown pushes Cordray over the finish line here as well. Ohio is actually not a state that strikes to mind when it comes to tons of ticket splitting.
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« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2018, 03:45:16 PM »

#BrownUnder55
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2018, 04:04:55 PM »



Prediction: Sinema +7, Scott +3, Brown +15

Make predictions about predictions, peak atlas lol. Anyways, it is fun and I am exicted for these polls so I'll take a guess at them: Florida, Nelson up 1, Arizona, Sinema up 8 against McSally, 12 against Ward, and 19 again Joe, and Brown up by 13.

Not bad guesses on my part, and I got Ohio exactly right.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2018, 04:11:04 PM »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.

What would a 13-pt. win look like in Ohio for the Democrats? I imagine it would involve running up the numbers in the big urban counties and winning some suburbs.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #9 on: June 26, 2018, 04:37:42 PM »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.

What would a 13-pt. win look like in Ohio for the Democrats? I imagine it would involve running up the numbers in the big urban counties and winning some suburbs.

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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: June 26, 2018, 04:45:42 PM »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.

What would a 13-pt. win look like in Ohio for the Democrats? I imagine it would involve running up the numbers in the big urban counties and winning some suburbs.



Yeah, it's pretty crazy that Brown could more than double his 2012 victory margin and still win less counties.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #11 on: June 26, 2018, 04:52:44 PM »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.

What would a 13-pt. win look like in Ohio for the Democrats? I imagine it would involve running up the numbers in the big urban counties and winning some suburbs.


nah, he will probably win Belmont, Monroe, and Jefferson (especially Monroe) dems still have deep roots there.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #12 on: June 26, 2018, 04:53:56 PM »

This race will continue to tighten as Rs come home, but Brown’s base of support will give him a comfortable majority when all is said and done - probably a 5-7 point win, 53-47 roughly.

Brown just needs to win NE Ohio and drive up turnout in the cities and he will be fine, he already has all the voters he needs on his side.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #13 on: June 26, 2018, 06:17:16 PM »

Marist officially released the numbers. Same as the leaked ones.

Brown winning 11% of Republicans

Brown winning in Cleveland Area, the North, Colombus Area, and Cincinnati/Dayton area. That's for you map nerds out there!

Brown winning suburbs by a 10-point margin

Brown tied with Renacci on men, but winning 57% of women.

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/OHPolls/OH180617/Toss%20Up%20Questions_NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_Ohio%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_June%202018.pdf#page=1
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #14 on: June 26, 2018, 06:30:26 PM »

Safe D
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #15 on: June 26, 2018, 07:12:26 PM »

Only 13! Likely D -> tossup.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #16 on: June 26, 2018, 07:36:27 PM »

May I ask that somebody please put the Marist polls in the database?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #17 on: June 26, 2018, 10:30:14 PM »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.

What would a 13-pt. win look like in Ohio for the Democrats? I imagine it would involve running up the numbers in the big urban counties and winning some suburbs.



Yeah, it's pretty crazy that Brown could more than double his 2012 victory margin and still win less counties.

This demonstrates the trends of geographic polarization that have crammed Democrats into fewer and fewer counties. It's a shame, but that is the way things are.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #18 on: June 27, 2018, 01:41:18 AM »

Lead down from 17% down to 13%. A red wave is coming just as TRUMP posted on Instagram:


https://www.instagram.com/p/Bkg0GWUgKvX/?taken-by=realdonaldtrump
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« Reply #19 on: June 27, 2018, 09:23:16 AM »
« Edited: June 27, 2018, 09:35:48 AM by Massguy, final version »


I would imagine a win by 13 points today would look a hell of a lot different than it did in 2006. Look at Hamilton County, LOL. And he'd lose most of those Appalachian counties.
What would a 13-pt. win look like in Ohio for the Democrats? I imagine it would involve running up the numbers in the big urban counties and winning some suburbs.



Brown would probably still win at least some Appalachian counties.
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