AZ - NBC/Marist: Sinema +10/+11/+25 McSally +2 in Primary (user search)
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  AZ - NBC/Marist: Sinema +10/+11/+25 McSally +2 in Primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ - NBC/Marist: Sinema +10/+11/+25 McSally +2 in Primary  (Read 2264 times)
Oryxslayer
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« on: June 27, 2018, 10:31:16 AM »

This deserves its own comment...

Sinema is beating McSally in Maricopa County 53-36%



Interestingly enough, the poll shows that WARD does the best amongst all three in the county, losing by only 40-50%

Arpaio, unsurprisingly, loses it 31-61%

That's the race then. Sinema has a base from her house seat in Suburban Maricopa, and plenty of prior name rec in Phoenix over the Tuscon based McSally. If Sinema is over 50 in a lean/tilt R county  that has a majority of the states population, she wins. Period. Even if nearly all the undecideds are Republicans who are pissed with McSally and are voting for Wrad/Arpaio and will come together post-primary, Sinema still probably wins. I definitely think this seat is going to snap right to Lean D in all the professional ratings post-primary.
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