Italian Elections and Politics 2022 - Our Time to Schlein (user search)
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Author Topic: Italian Elections and Politics 2022 - Our Time to Schlein  (Read 172290 times)
Logical
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« on: September 21, 2020, 11:48:39 AM »
« edited: September 21, 2020, 12:11:20 PM by Logical »
Center Left overperforming exit polls everywhere except Veneto.
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Logical
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2021, 02:05:22 AM »
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/09/world/europe/italy-renzi-interview.html
The narcissism in this lmao
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Logical
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« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2022, 07:53:51 PM »
Has anyone tried nominating the Pope?
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Logical
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« Reply #3 on: July 21, 2022, 08:57:14 AM »
Reducing the number of Italian MPs is a crime against comedy. The next parliament could hardly dream of being as chaotic and entertaining as this one.
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Logical
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2022, 01:51:48 PM »
Berlusconi under the threshold inshallah
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Logical
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2022, 04:02:22 PM »
M5S surge. No 2/3rd super majority for the right.
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Logical
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« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2022, 04:08:40 PM »
Sky/YouTrend exit poll
Senate:

House:
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Logical
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« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2022, 04:14:25 PM »
Tecne exit poll. Pretty similar.
Senate:

House:
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Logical
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2022, 05:15:53 PM »
+E on the cusp of the threshold.
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Logical
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Posts: 1,770
« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2022, 05:26:53 PM »
RAI Senate projection
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Logical
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Posts: 1,770
« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2022, 05:55:27 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on September 25, 2022, 05:42:25 PM
Quote from: jaichind on September 25, 2022, 05:34:37 PM
The count so far has a Northern bias.  If so then Lega is doomed to be below 10% and PD is doomed to be below 20%.

PD are currently losing all but the Florence Senate seat in Tuscany and Emilia-Romagna. The Senate is the faster count. So either the cities with more votes and more PD votes are going slow (likely given nothing from Rome and Milan so far), PD will perform worse than expected, or a bit of both.

Looks like PD will win the seat in Turin as well.
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Logical
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« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2022, 07:44:44 PM »
« Edited: September 25, 2022, 07:48:45 PM by Logical »
Exit poll by age
Senate. Appears that the logos for Lega and M5S were switched.

House
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Logical
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« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2022, 09:38:33 PM »
Percentage wise the right coalition did not gain that much. CSX+M5S+AZ-IV stands at ~48%, comfortably above CDX at ~43%. What gave the right the majority was the left's failure to coalesce, the massive egos of their leaders and a war crime of an electoral system. The hot takes should be about how the the left deserved to lose not how the right won.
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Logical
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2022, 01:35:51 PM »
Quote from: NUPES Enjoyer on September 26, 2022, 12:58:43 PM
The Interior Ministry published a (tentative, since there are still a few dozen unreported precincts) distribution of PR seats, which gives 114 seats to the right in the House and 56 in the Senate - one fewer than I estimated in each. Not sure if the results moved a bit since I last calculated them or if I didn't use the right formula, but either way, worth noting.

FI gets 22 seats in the House and 9 in the Senate - so far not enough to be decisive in either, but we'll have to see who the winners of FPP districts are. FI needs 16 more in the House and 7 more in the Senate, so well within reach.

Are the PR seats distributed in 2 steps (by coalition list and then by parties inside the list) or directly by parties?
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Logical
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« Reply #14 on: January 20, 2023, 12:13:47 PM »
Presented without comment.
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Logical
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Posts: 1,770
« Reply #15 on: June 12, 2023, 05:35:30 AM »
He's joining the big bunga bunga party in the skies now. RIP
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