Italian Elections and Politics 2022 - Our Time to Schlein

[Logical]

M5S surge. No 2/3rd super majority for the right.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

These are some big margins of errors tho

[jaichind]

Rai poll has Right-wing bloc vote share at 43%.  SKYTG24 has it at 42%

This is a bit below pre-election polls. Not landslide but solid victory

[Oryxslayer]

LA7:

FdI: 25% (23 - 27)
PD: 20% (18 - 22)
M5S: 15.5% (13.5 - 17.5)
LEga: 11.5% (9.5 - 13.5)
Forza: 7% (6 - 8 )
A-IV: 7% (6 - 8 )
AVS: 3.5 (3 - 4)
E+: 2.5% (2 - 3)
Italexit: 2.5% (2 - 3)
No Moderati: 1.5% (1 - 2)

Right Block lead similar to pre-election polling at 43 to 47% vs 25 to 29%.

[jaichind]

Looks like MS5 again beat pre-election polls ... this time just a bit.

[jaichind]

SKYTG24 has right win bloc at 228 seats

[windjammer]

Does the rightwing block need Berlusconi's votes for a majority?

[jaichind]

SkyTg24 poll

Right wing bloc 42.6%  in Senate for 115 seats

Right wing bloc at 42% in Lower house for 228 seats

Brothers of Italy at 23.5%
Democratic Party at 20.3%
Five Star Movement at 16.4%
League at 9.6%
Forza Italia 7.8%
Centrist bloc 7.2%

[Logical]

Sky/YouTrend exit poll
Senate:

House:

[Antonio the Sixth]

This seems more or less in line with the last few polls. Bad, very bad, but not outright catastrophic.

Now let's wait for the actual results, because historically exit polls in Italy got it wrong plenty of times.

[Oryxslayer]

Does the rightwing block need Berlusconi's votes for a majority?

Right now the Right would need "the big three" of FdI, Lega, and Forza but could dump the micro-party handers on if desired. But:

This seems more or less in line with the last few polls. Bad, very bad, but not outright catastrophic.

Now let's wait for the actual results, because historically exit polls in Italy got it wrong plenty of times.

[Logical]

Tecne exit poll. Pretty similar.
Senate:

House:

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

This seems more or less in line with the last few polls. Bad, very bad, but not outright catastrophic.

Now let's wait for the actual results, because historically exit polls in Italy got it wrong plenty of times.

Yeah I would just ignore our often unreliable exit polls. We already knew that the result is bad but not disastrous and that M5S had yet another mid campaign surge.

[jaichind]

Looks like it was Lega that underperformed pre-election polls in exit polls

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Well ouch. With Sweden it seems that Europe is shifting right.

Both Italy and Sweden had migrant controversies, could this be more backlash?

[DavidB.]

Well ouch. With Sweden it seems that Europe is shifting right.

Doesn't work like that.

[Keep Calm and ...]

Exit Polls - Opinion Polls

https://twitter.com/SBidimedia/status/1574147826233520128

[Antonio the Sixth]

Well ouch. With Sweden it seems that Europe is shifting right.

Both Italy and Sweden had migrant controversies, could this be more backlash?

Immigration was a bigger issue in 2018 than this year (in Italy definitely, and I think in Sweden too)

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1574149035602108421?s=20&t=9uxUHkOHp...

Sicily

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Neo-fascists win the honor of presiding over a possibly catastrophic economic crisis. As someone who enjoys drinking out of poisoned chalices, I am very envious!  

[Ferguson97]

RIP Italy, you had a good run

[Oryxslayer]

Neo-fascists win the honor of presiding over a possibly catastrophic economic crisis. As someone who enjoys drinking out of poisoned chalices, I am very envious!  

I mean Berlusconi, PD, and M5S all had their time at the helm and were unable to right the countries many economic wrongs during the last/ongoing economic crises. Whether correct or incorrect, there is a segment of voters who see 'we've tried everyone else.'

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Fascismo leading with 83 votes in.

Are these 2 precincts Italian Dixville Notch or something?

[jaichind]

SkyTg24 is now increasing its vote share for the right win bloc to be in line with other exit polls. Herding ?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

5/60,399

RIGHT: 165 (61.34%)
LEFT: 41 (15.24%)