MO-Global Strategy: McCaskill +6
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  MO-Global Strategy: McCaskill +6
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Author Topic: MO-Global Strategy: McCaskill +6  (Read 6461 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: June 18, 2018, 08:07:24 AM »

https://www.senatemajority.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/MO-SEN-Memo-F06.15.18.pdf

McCaskill 47
Hawley 41

Hawley approvals 21-29
McCaskill approvals 47-45

Greitens scandal is weighing Hawley down
McCaskill also seen as more honest than Hawley
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2018, 08:11:55 AM »

It's basically an internal poll, but damn. At least the Greitens saga is over for now.
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BBD
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« Reply #2 on: June 18, 2018, 08:15:59 AM »

Would have definitely helped McCaskill if Erotic Eric had stayed in office (although it's for the better for the state and people of Missouri that he resigned), but it'll still be sweet if he decides to go for a crazy ass independent run as has been rumored of late.
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JG
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« Reply #3 on: June 18, 2018, 08:20:43 AM »

It's insane that McCaskill is in a better position to be reelected in ruby red Missouri than Nelson in purple Florida.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: June 18, 2018, 08:35:14 AM »

It's insane that McCaskill is in a better position to be reelected in ruby red Missouri than Nelson in purple Florida.

It's pretty obvious now that McCaskill, even with the plan/RV snaffu, is much better at campaigning/politics/ratf**king than Nelson.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: June 18, 2018, 08:55:54 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #6 on: June 18, 2018, 09:18:39 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #7 on: June 18, 2018, 09:24:12 AM »

Lean D.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2018, 09:27:15 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

To be fair, other TX polls have shown Cruz leading by more, while McCaskill is up by less in other polls. If more polls confirm this, I may move this to Lean D, but I will say that I’d sooner bet on McCaskill than Hawley, at this point.
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Politician
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« Reply #9 on: June 18, 2018, 09:35:41 AM »

Lean D, and certainly more likely to go Democrat than Indiana or Florida.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2018, 09:38:57 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

To be fair, other TX polls have shown Cruz leading by more, while McCaskill is up by less in other polls. If more polls confirm this, I may move this to Lean D, but I will say that I’d sooner bet on McCaskill than Hawley, at this point.

Yup, Cruz has been leading by more in some polls. Ask me again in a few weeks after I saw more polls.
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Skye
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« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2018, 10:14:11 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

This was also conducted for a Democratic PAC, so...
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #12 on: June 18, 2018, 10:53:57 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas
and zero polls have shown Beto winning...several polls have shown Hawley winning


This was also conducted for a Democratic PAC, so...
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KingSweden
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« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2018, 10:59:09 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

To be fair, other TX polls have shown Cruz leading by more, while McCaskill is up by less in other polls. If more polls confirm this, I may move this to Lean D, but I will say that I’d sooner bet on McCaskill than Hawley, at this point.

A perfectly fair take.
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Politician
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« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2018, 10:59:19 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas
and zero polls have shown Beto winning...several polls have shown Hawley winning


This was also conducted for a Democratic PAC, so...
Florida Scott +6 was conducted by a Republican interest group, so...
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #15 on: June 18, 2018, 11:03:00 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas
and zero polls have shown Beto winning...several polls have shown Hawley winning


This was also conducted for a Democratic PAC, so...
Florida Scott +6 was conducted by a Republican interest group, so...
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: June 18, 2018, 11:03:18 AM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Missouri - While McCaskill has incredible headwinds, the recent state legislative specials show us the votes are potentially there, and Hawley's campaign has been terrible.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: June 18, 2018, 11:41:10 AM »

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #18 on: June 18, 2018, 11:56:52 AM »

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cvparty
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« Reply #19 on: June 18, 2018, 12:18:11 PM »

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.
circular reasoning much
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: June 18, 2018, 12:52:05 PM »

In this environment, it's an anti incumbent mood, and GOP incumbents, like Ted Cruz are vulnerable 😀
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kyc0705
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« Reply #21 on: June 18, 2018, 01:06:52 PM »

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

It amazes me how you still feel comfortable making absolute calls like this, despite how frequently your predictions turn out to be immensely, comically, superbly wrong.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #22 on: June 18, 2018, 02:15:04 PM »


Oh, it is, but I want to underscore how deep the hysteria runs here.
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #23 on: June 18, 2018, 02:22:11 PM »

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.
Once again, a complete lack of evidence.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #24 on: June 18, 2018, 05:16:36 PM »

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Missouri - While McCaskill has incredible headwinds, the recent state legislative specials show us the votes are potentially there, and Hawley's campaign has been terrible.

These are basically my views, though Texas is more nuanced. TX-GOV is Safe R, while TX-SEN is Likely R. I think Missouri is Lean D.
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