OH-Quinnipiac: Cordray +2
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  OH-Quinnipiac: Cordray +2
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Author Topic: OH-Quinnipiac: Cordray +2  (Read 3490 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 13, 2018, 01:01:49 PM »

Link.

Cordray 42%
DeWine 40%

Starting to look like a landslide folks. Nice!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2018, 01:06:16 PM »

Brown is the best thing to happen to Cordray.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2018, 01:09:03 PM »

Not the best result for Cordray, since he's underperforming Brown by 15, but Brown might just win by enough to drag him over the top. Still a Toss-Up.
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BBD
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« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2018, 01:09:26 PM »
« Edited: June 13, 2018, 01:14:08 PM by Jeff Jackson 2024 »

Great to see that Cordray's leading, slim the margin may be, but this is definitely the best part of the survey:

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Seems that many Ohio Democrats have short memories.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2018, 01:10:35 PM »

I don’t think Brown will win by 17, but I also have a hard time believing that Cordray will underperform him by 15. Tossup seems fair.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #5 on: June 13, 2018, 01:13:21 PM »

I don’t think Brown will win by 17, but I also have a hard time believing that Cordray will underperform him by 15. Tossup seems fair.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #6 on: June 13, 2018, 01:13:33 PM »

This basically confirms it's a tossup. Nice to see Brown's blowout on the top of the ticket could help Cordray too.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: June 13, 2018, 01:17:57 PM »

Mr. Ohio agrees:

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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: June 13, 2018, 01:25:53 PM »

President Brown depends on Cordray winning here.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: June 13, 2018, 01:30:47 PM »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: June 13, 2018, 01:33:28 PM »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.

I think I read he wants to see who the Democratic nominee is first.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: June 13, 2018, 01:34:52 PM »

This is definitely going the way of the Democrats ... just look at his favourable ratings.

The only reasons why it is still close at this point:

Only 50% have an opinion of Cordray, but he`s 2:1 ahead in favourables.

There's no R-fatigue in OH, because outgoing governor Kasich has also high approvals.
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #12 on: June 13, 2018, 01:36:23 PM »

Solid R --> Lean R due to Brown coattails paired with GOP regaining strength in the Cincy and Columbus suburbs due to the tax bill for the wealthy. We need to remember the lessons of Bayh, Evan.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: June 13, 2018, 01:36:58 PM »

I’m pretty sure OH will flip before IA in 2020 if this trend continues, though.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #14 on: June 13, 2018, 02:12:58 PM »

Ohio is one of the states that trends against the ruling party in midterm elections.
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Holmes
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« Reply #15 on: June 13, 2018, 02:14:47 PM »

GOP regaining strength in the Cincy and Columbus suburbs due to the tax bill for the wealthy. We need to remember the lessons of Bayh, Evan.

Source?
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: June 13, 2018, 02:15:39 PM »

Lean Republican -> Toss-up.

I'm changing my rating. I think the odds are nearly 50/50 now and Cordray has a good chance to pull this off, especially if the polls haven't moved in DeWine's favor by late October.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #17 on: June 13, 2018, 02:36:20 PM »

I still would bet on Republicans winning this race in the end, but Atlas and the punditry have long been overly skeptical of Cordray's chances. Nobody cares about flawless beautiful DeWine or the laundry list of petty reasons why Cordray is hated by the pundits and posters here. If Brown is winning a mega landslide (also skeptical of that), then Cordray definitely has a strong chance of winning as well.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2018, 02:38:21 PM »

Solid R --> Lean R due to Brown coattails paired with GOP regaining strength in the Cincy and Columbus suburbs due to the tax bill for the wealthy. We need to remember the lessons of Bayh, Evan.

Indiana is not Ohio.
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Politician
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« Reply #19 on: June 13, 2018, 02:49:51 PM »

Fantastic for Democrats, Cordray is a really strong candidate. This race is a Tossup.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #20 on: June 13, 2018, 03:10:05 PM »

Strong Lean R. DeWine would be a much better Governor, but I'd still vote for Cordray.
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Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #21 on: June 13, 2018, 05:45:43 PM »

President Brown depends on Cordray winning here.

Cordray needs Brown to be Govorner, Brown needs Cordray to be president.
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Sherrod Brown Shill
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« Reply #22 on: June 13, 2018, 05:47:50 PM »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.

Does anybody here actually think that Walker wins before DeWine?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: June 13, 2018, 05:56:02 PM »

Mr. Ohio agrees:



I wonder if he'll finally move WI-GOV to Toss-Up as well, especially since Democrats won another special election in a district Trump won massively.

Does anybody here actually think that Walker wins before DeWine?

No, and last night, Dems sealed another win in the State Senate.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #24 on: June 14, 2018, 08:18:34 PM »

Still a tossup. Though next time DeWine is up again by a similar margin, it of course becomes Safe R.
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