OH-SEN (Cincinnati Enquirer/Suffolk): Brown +17

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

The race will likely tighten, but at this point Brown could beat his 2006 landslide. I'll probably have a heart attack if he does, but I think he'll end up winning by a margin closer to 2012, maybe 7-9 points. I think the polling from the Govorner's race is much more interesting.

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

The bump in the polls for the Democrats is probably due to the enthusiasm for the special election on Aug 7th, once the special is over, the polls will level off, that's why this race is being polled. But Brown should win by six.

What? I think that the Senate race will tighten to around there but when the hell has a special election (two months away!) ever led to a bump for members of the party losing the special?

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

The race will likely tighten, but at this point Brown could beat his 2006 landslide. I'll probably have a heart attack if he does, but I think he'll end up winning by a margin closer to 2012, maybe 7-9 points. I think the polling from the Govorner's race is much more interesting.

Is it possible that Brown might win by low double digits? Like 10 or 11 points?

As long as the national environment dosen't shift to the Republicans and Renacci does a really crappy job of putting himself out there, but with the tons of money that will be be spent in this race against Brown I have doubts about that latter point