N U T part 2: The Presidency of Bernie Sanders and the 2022 midterms

[Captain Chaos]

N U T

[Continential]

When is the poll closings

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Arkansas Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
2% Reporting
Lt. Governor Tim Griffin: 50.37%
Fmr. State Rep Richard Carroll: 47.99%
Other: 1.64%

A surprisingly close race here. Carroll is well known for being one of very few state legislators elected as a Green. He served from 2008 to 2010, although he switched to the Democrats in 2009.

I for one do find it quite surprising, he pretty handily lost re-nomination in 2010, but is now doing pretty well in this election. We will see if he can make up the 2 point gap.

Texas Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
3% Reporting
Fmr. Rep. Beto O'Rourke 51.22%
Governor Greg Abbott: 47.12%
Other: 1.66%

Another very close race here, Abbott has been pretty popular, but his approvals have been slipping recently. Nonetheless, polls showed him ahead by 7-8 points. Beto O'Rourke has put up a hard fight here, and turnout seems to be very high in the Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston areas, which O'Rourke will probably need to win convincingly.

9:00 is right around the corner, and we'll be right back with those closings.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I'm gonna make a change and have Gillum be the FL Governor. He wasn't on my radar when I made Levine Governor.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Polls have closed in the following states:

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

New York Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC/WORKING FAMILES HOLD
2% Reporting
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 74.23%
Fmr. Borough President James Oddo: 20.33%
Other: 5.44%

After Senator Schumer announced his retirement, Representative Ocasio-Cortez entered the race, and although she did have a large opposition in the Primary, she won. She goes on to be the next Senator from the state, over Fmr. Borough President James Oddo, criticised heavily for his reportedly islamophobic and xenophobic statements in the past.

Wisconsin Senate Race: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
5% Reporting
Fmr. Senator Russ Feingold: 54.98%
Fmr. State Senator Leah Vukmir: 39.89%
Other: 5.13%

Russ Feingold has finally returned to his old Senate seat.

North Dakota Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
9% Reporting
Activist Faith Spotted Eagle: 40.31%
Senator John Hoeven: 39.16%
Write-in: Fmr. Rep. Kevin Cramer: 18.32%
Other: 2.21%

Senator Hoeven was heavily implicated in the scandals, and thanks to a write-in campaign from Former Rep. Cramer, Activist Faith Spotted Eagle may win.

South Dakota Senate Election: JOHN THUNE RE-ELECTED

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

New York Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC/WORKING FAMILES HOLD
2% Reporting
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 74.23%
Fmr. Borough President James Oddo: 20.33%
Other: 5.44%

After Senator Schumer announced his retirement, Representative Ocasio-Cortez entered the race, and although she did have a large opposition in the Primary, she won. She goes on to be the next Senator from the state, over Fmr. Borough President James Oddo, criticised heavily for his reportedly islamophobic and xenophobic statements in the past.

Wisconsin Senate Race: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
5% Reporting
Fmr. Senator Russ Feingold: 54.98%
Fmr. State Senator Leah Vukmir: 39.89%
Other: 5.13%

Russ Feingold has finally returned to his old Senate seat.

North Dakota Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
9% Reporting
Activist Faith Spotted Eagle: 40.31%
Senator John Hoeven: 39.16%
Write-in: Fmr. Rep. Kevin Cramer: 18.32%
Other: 2.21%

Senator Hoeven was heavily implicated in the scandals, and thanks to a write-in campaign from Former Rep. Cramer, Activist Faith Spotted Eagle may win.

South Dakota Senate Election: JOHN THUNE RE-ELECTED

Why did Chuck Schumer retire?

He nearly lost the leadership, and was pressured by Sanders to do so. It still came as a bit of a shock.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Yeah I know

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Louisiana Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
3% Reporting
Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards: 49.98%
Senator John N. Kennedy: 28.85%
Fmr. State Rep. David Duke: 12.82%
Various others: 8.35%

The first round in Louisiana is looking bad for Republicans, as Former Governor Bel Edwards is looking close to getting a majority on the first round. David Duke is also getting a strong third place as of now.

Arizona Senate Election: Ruben Gallego ELECTED
Colorado Senate Election: Michael Bennett RE-ELECTED
Minnesota Special Senate Election: Peggy Flanagan ELECTED TO FULL TERM



Democratic Caucus: 72 (+11)
Democrat: 67
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1

Republicans: 14

Too close to call: 5
Polls not closed: 10

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Current gubernatorial map

Be advised green >50% doesn't necessarily mean too close, as many races that are safe haven't been called.

[Roblox]

NUT

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Alright, we've been covering the Senate races, but there's still the Governor's races we need to look at.

New Hampshire Gubernatorial: Steve Marchand RE-ELECTED
New York Gubernatorial: Jumaane Williams ELECTED
Pennsylvania Gubernatorial: John Fetterman ELECTED
Ohio Gubernatorial: Richard Cordray RE-ELECTED
Michigan Gubernatorial: Gretchen Whitmer RE-ELECTED
Wisconsin Gubernatorial: Tony Evers RE-ELECTED
Minnesota Gubernatorial: Tim Walz RE-ELECTED
Tennessee Gubernatorial: Bill Lee RE-ELECTED
Kansas Gubernatorial: Laura Kelly RE-ELECTED
Colorado Gubernatorial: Jared Polis RE-ELECTED
New Mexico Gubernatorial: Michelle Lujan Grisham RE-ELECTED
Arizona Gubernatorial: Kate Gallego ELECTED

we'll be back with the competitive races.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Oh hold on, we have a call from the Pennsylvania Senate race:

Pennsylvania Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
72% Reporting
Governor Tom Wolf: 56.01%
Senator Pat Toomey: 42.15%
Other: 2.04%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

South Dakota Gubernatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
11% Reporting
Fmr. Mayor Mike Huether: 52.23%
Governor Kristi Noem: 45.78%
Other: 1.99%

Nebraska Gubernatorial Election:  TOO CLOSE TO CALL
17% Reporting
State Legislator Sue Crawford: 51.71%
Lt. Governor Mike Foley: 46.51%
Other: 1.78%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election:  TOO CLOSE TO CALL
16% Reporting
State Rep. Chuck Hoskin: 53.23%
Governor Kevin Stitt: 44.56%
Other: 2.21%

Looking bad for Republicans in the Great Plains, as Democrats lead in all three gubernatorial races here.
We can finally call Ohio's Senatorial election, as well as Missouri's:

Ohio Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
90% Reporting
Fmr. State Sen. Nina Turner: 51.51%
Senator Rob Portman: 46.61%
Other: 1.88%

Missouri Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
78% Reporting
Fmr. Governor Jay Nixon: 53.74%
Senator Roy Blunt: 43.98%
Other: 2.28%

Florida Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
72% Reporting
Rep. Darren Soto: 55.78%
Senator Marco Rubio: 42.44%
Other: 1.78%

[P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong]

Yay! 2 terms too many for Marco

[Continential]

Yay! 2 terms too many for Marco

Ken Meek Could have Prevented Rubio by dropping out

[OBD]

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

It's 10 PM and polls have closed in these states:

Iowa Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
4% Reporting
State House Maj. Leader Mark Smith: 56.23%
Gov. Kim Reynolds: 41.44%
Other: 2.33%

Reynolds' approvals were getting abysmal, so I don't see it as much of a surprise we can call this one early.

Nevada Gubernatorial Election: Steve Sisolak RE-ELECTED

Nevada Senate Election: Catherine Cortez Masto RE-ELECTED

Utah Senate Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
4% Reporting
Fmr. County Councilwoman Jenny Wilson: 37.54%
Fmr. Representative Mia Love (write-in): 30.25%
Senator Mike Lee: 28.99%
Other: 3.22%

Another Senator in a very Republican state implicated in the immigration scandals. Mia Love is surprisingly in second right now. Wilson is running under the Democratic and Justice Party, as the Justice Party has risen to prominence in Utah recently after Rocky Anderson's election 2 years ago.

Iowa Senate Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
5% Reporting
Representative JD Scholten: 55.98%
Senator Chuck Grassley: 42.11%
Other: 1.91%



Democratic Caucus: 78 (+16)
Democrat: 73
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1

Republican: 14

Too close to call: 5
Not closed: 7

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

meanwhile on the atlas election thread:

Weatherboy1102 YaBB God ★★★★★ Posts: 9,878

Re: 2022 Midterm Election Coverage Thread: Democratic Megatsunami 2 Electric Boogaloo « Reply #1032 on: November 8, 2022, 10:14:32 pm »Guys what is the scientifically hardest you can nut

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Not November 8? (Also, if you're going to do other posters, I'd like a cameo)

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

For those wondering about Kavanaugh, in this TL he was voted down 51-49, with all D's plus Collins and Murkowski voting Nay. Amy C. Barrett would be the new nominee, and just after the election she was pushed through 51-49.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Arkansas Senatorial Election:DEMOCRATIC GAIN
56% Reporting
Mayor Mark Stodola: 52.81%
Senator John Boozman: 45.31%
Other: 1.88%

A surprisingly early call, but Stodola's home county, Pulaski, is only 5% reporting, and we believe that county will go heavily Democratic tonight.

Maryland Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
98% Reporting
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous: 53.68%
Lt. Governor Boyd Rutherford: 44.78%
Other: 1.54%

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
99% Reporting
Mr. Bob Massie: 49.48%
Lt. Governor Karyn Polito: 48.93%
Other: 1.59%

2 gains for Democrats in deeply Democratic territory. Massachusetts was extremely close here, but Baker's Lieutenant Governor couldn't hold this seat.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

It's 11 PM now, and we have poll closings in the following states:

Oregon Gubernatorial: Ted Wheeler ELECTED
California Gubernatorial: Gavin Newsom RE-ELECTED
Idaho Gubernatorial: Brad Little RE-ELECTED
Hawaii Gubernatorial: Josh Green ELECTED

idaho Senatorial: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Hawaii Senatorial: Brian Schatz RE-ELECTED
California Senatorial: Kamala Harris RE-ELECTED
Oregon Gubernatorial: Ron Wyden RE-ELECTED

Many safe calls from these states. Crapo, however, is not safe. We'll get to it after the break.

[Continential]

Arkansas Senatorial Election:DEMOCRATIC GAIN
56% Reporting
Mayor Mark Stodola: 52.81%
Senator John Boozman: 45.31%
Other: 1.88%

A surprisingly early call, but Stodola's home county, Pulaski, is only 5% reporting, and we believe that county will go heavily Democratic tonight.

Maryland Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
98% Reporting
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous: 53.68%
Lt. Governor Boyd Rutherford: 44.78%
Other: 1.54%

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
99% Reporting
Mr. Bob Massie: 49.48%
Governor Charlie Baker: 48.93%
Other: 1.59%

2 gains for Democrats in deeply Democratic territory. Massachusetts was extremely close here, but Baker just doesn't seem to have been popular enough to withstand the wave.

Bob Massie has as much chance as a Duck to become Governor of Massachusetts

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Idaho Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
3% Reporting
State Sen. Min. Leader Michelle Stennett: 33.72%
Senator Mike Crapo: 32.04%
Fmr. Rep. Raul Labrador: 23.32% (write-in)
Mr. Ray Writz: 8.88%
Other: 2.04%

Obviously, to those who haven't seen the pattern, Crapo was implicated in the scandals. He is quite close right now, don't expect this one to be called until late in the night.

Wyoming Gubernatorial: Mark Gordon RE-ELECTED

Washington Senatorial: Pramila Jayapal ELECTED



Democratic Caucus: 84 (+17)
Democrat: 73
Independent: 2
Popular Democrat: 1
Progressive: 1
Worker's: 1

Republican: 14

Too close to call: 5
Not closed: 1

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Kansas Senatorial Election: DEMOCRATIC GAIN
92% Reporting
Representative James Thompson: 49.88%
Senator Jerry Moran: 43.86%
City Councilman Nich Schlossmacher: 4.92%
Other: 1.34%

Louisiana Senatorial Election: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
56% Reporting
Fmr. Governor John Bel Edwards: 52.22%
Senator John N. Kennedy: 28.44%
Fmr. State Rep. David Duke: 11.35%
Other: 7.99%

Still too close here in Louisiana, remember that Edwards has to get over 50% to avoid a runoff. Meanwhile strong Sanders ally James Thompson has won in Kansas, in a race that's been going farther away for Republicans as the night progresses. Only some rural areas, and some scattered precincts in Kansas City, Topeka, Wichita, and some other cities have yet to report.