N U T part 2: The Presidency of Bernie Sanders and the 2022 midterms

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Absentee Ballots "Much higher proportion of older voters than voting day ballots", Iowa Dem Primary uncalled
-CNN 2/6/24

President Trump says Crapo will "Get the illegitimate President gone, kill socialism and set America's legitimate president free"
-ABC 2/7/24

Absentee Ballots Bring Klobuchar Within 0.1% of AOC With Several Left to be Counted
-MSNBC 2/9/24

Klobuchar Narrowly Edges Out AOC in Iowa Thanks to Absentee Votes
-CNN 2/10/24

Iowa Rejects Outright Socialism for Closeted Socialism
-OANN 2/10/24

AOC "Not Considering Recount" With Iowa, Says "I don't think much would change, we need to focus on New Hampshire and other early races"
-New York Times, 2/11/24

Pence Reportedly Worried of Crapo Nomination, Willing to Drop Out for Haley Before Super Tuesday
-FOX News 2/11/24

Democratic Primary: 100% in w/Absentees
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 34.26%, 14 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 34.24%, 14 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 14.23%, 6 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 8.19%, 3 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.44%, 3 Delegates
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1.55%, 1 Delegate
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.09%, 0 Delegates

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

ELECTION NIGHT: NEW HAMPSHIRE

Good evening. It's February 12, 2024, and the polls have just closed in New Hampshire's primaries. Let's look at the polls and the midnight voting results.

Feb. 10 2024 New Hampshire Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 25% (+3)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 24% (+5)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 24% (+3)
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 9% (-2)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 5% (+2)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2% (+/- 0)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1% (-1)
Undecided: 10%

Feb. 10 2024 New Hampshire Polling: Republican Primary
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 28% (+10)
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 27% (+3)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 16% (-2)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 16% (+3)
Undecided: 13%

Looks like it'll be another close race tonight, folks.

Dixville Notch Vote, Democratic Primary
Klobuchar: 2
Yang: 1
Ocasio-Cortez: 1

Dixville Notch Vote, Republican Primary
Baker: 1


7:42 PM

New Hampshire Democratic Primary (18% in)
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 27.8%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 27.1%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 26.8%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 8.7%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 7.0%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.8%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 0.8%

Gavin Newsom is still standing strong, refusing to drop out. However his numbers here are poor. Yang might manage to edge this one out, not great for Ocasio-Cortez as she hopes to have more than one early victory ahead of Super Tuesday.

New Hampshire Republican Primary: (18% in)
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 33.1%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 31.8%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 18.7%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 16.4%

not good news for VP Pence here, it's looking like a number of his supporters may have moved to Haley. She's overpreforming right now as is Baker, though his best margins are in communities like Nashua that border Massachusetts. Those are mostly in.

8:38 PM

We've just got word that Mike Pence has dropped out of the race. He hasn't indicated who he will endorse, if anyone, though all signs point to him dropping out to stop Crapo. Gavin Newsom also announced he will drop out tonight, seemingly not confident in his chances in Nevada. He endorsed Klobuchar.

New Hampshire Democratic Primary (41% in)
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 28.5%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 27.8%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 26.4%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 8.1%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.8%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.7%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 0.7%

New Hampshire Republican Primary: (41% in)
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 32.5%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 32.1%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 17.8%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 17.6%

10:05 PM

With a surge of rural support, we feel confident to call this one: Andrew Yang has won the New Hampshire primary. Seems like his campaigning with Governor Marchand paid off. It's still too close for Republicans however.

New Hampshire Democratic Primary (89% in)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 29.4% ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 26.9%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 26.5%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 7.6%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 7.1%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.7%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 0.8%

New Hampshire Republican Primary: (82% in)
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 33.5%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 33.1%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 17.5%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 15.9%

11:58 PM

With only a smattering of precincts left we can call the Republican Primary, where Nikki Haley has won, albeit with a small margin.

New Hampshire Republican Primary: (99% in)
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 33.3% ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 32.9%
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 17.4%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 16.4%

New Hampshire Democratic Primary (99% in)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 28.7% ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 27.7%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 26.7%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 7.7%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 7.0%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.6%
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 0.6%


New Hampshire Democratic Primary (100% in w/absentees) 24 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 28.9%, 7 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 27.5%. 7 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 26.9%, 6 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 7.6%, 2 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 6.9%, 2 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.6%, 0 Delegates
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 0.6%, 0 Delegates


New Hampshire Republican Primary: (100% in) 22 Delegates, 10% Threshold
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 33.4% , 7 Delegates✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 32.8%, 7 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 17.3%, 4 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 16.5%, 4 Delegates

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 23 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 1 state, 22 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 10 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 8 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 5 Delegates
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 Delegates

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 21 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 19 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 7 Delegates
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates



(Moderates are nominating by Party Convention. 1st Moderate National Convention will be located in Salt Lake City, UT)

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Despite Losses in IA and NH, AOC Remains Frontrunner
-Washington Post, 2/15/24

Klobuchar Was the Big Loser of Tonight's Debate
-FiveThirtyEight, 2/16/24

Klobuchar Apologizes for "Bad Taste Joke" Made During Debate
-CNN, 2/17/24

OANN EXCLUSIVE: DEMOCRATS, ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS FUNDED BY CHINESE COMMUNISTS, CRAPO ONLY TRUE AMERICAN IN THE RACE
-OANN, 2/18/24

Dan Lipinski Drops Out of Moderate Race, Endorses McAdams
-MSNBC

Feb. 17 2024 Nevada Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 36% (+7)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 20% (+1)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 16% (+6)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 9% (+3)
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 6% (-2)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1% (+1)
Undecided: 12%


Feb 15 2024 Nevada Polling: Republican Primary
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 41% (+13)
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 38% (+21)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 9% (+2)
Undecided: 12%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

ELECTION NIGHT: NEVADA

Good evening America. Tonight is the Nevada primary for Democrats, as well as the Republican Primary in South Carolina and Nevada.

Remember, DNC reforms mean that Delegates are proportionally awarded in their primary. In Nevada, it's also Proportional with no threshold. South Carolina, however, is winner-take-all.

South Carolina Polls should be closed... now.


8:24 PM

We've got a pretty large sample of precincts reporting now, and we see a very close race.

South Carolina Republican Primary (27% in), FPTP
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 48.6%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 48.1%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 3.3%

Looks like Trump's endorsement of Crapo has boosted him in the south. Haley should be pretty worried by this.

9:58 PM

Hold on just a second there, we have a call from South Carolina. Nikki Haley has won the Republican primary.

South Carolina Republican Primary (72% in), FPTP
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 50.5% ✔, 50 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 45.7%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 3.8%

More Republican suburbs came in, these areas backing Haley by a good margin. Baker also did relatively well in these areas, but he still has very little impact on this state. Crapo has been doing phenomenally in rural areas, but we don't see enough of those areas left for him to win. The remaining rural areas are in the black belt, which we expect to go for Haley.

Nevada will be closing shortly.

10:21 PM

We have the first returns from Nevada.

Nevada Democratic Primary (4% in), Proportional
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 42.1%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19.1%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 18.6%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 11.8%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 7.3%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.1%

Wow, quite a rout by Ocasio-Cortez. It's still too early to call with the small amount of precincts in, but Klobuchar is also having quite a bad showing.

Nevada Republican Primary (5% in), Proportional
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 45.2%
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 44.6%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 10.3%

For Republicans, it's much closer right now. Rural areas are backing Crapo by large margins, but suburbs are delivering decent results for Haley. If that trend continues, she should win this state.

11:01 PM

We're calling Nevada's Democratic Primary: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins with extremely high support from Latinos. Klobuchar is doing extremely poorly with that group, polling 4th among them behind Yang and Sinema. We're also getting news that Secretary Buttigieg has just announced that he is dropping out of the race.

Nevada Democratic Primary (29% in), Proportional
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 43.9% ✔
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19.3%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 17.1%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 11.6%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 7.1%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.0%

Nevada Republican Primary (28% in), Proportional
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 45.8%
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 43.3%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 10.9%

12:19 AM

...and I just heard this, we're going to call Nevada for Haley.

Nevada Republican Primary (62% in), Proportional
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 47.1%✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 41.7%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 11.2%

Nevada Democratic Primary (61% in), Proportional
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 44.1% ✔
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19.4%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.8%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 11.9%
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 6.8%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.0%


Final Results

South Carolina Republican Primary (100% in), FPTP, 50 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 50.0% ✔, 50 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 46.3%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 3.7%

Nevada Republican Primary (100% in), Proportional, 25 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 46.7%✔, 12 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 42.3%, 10 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 11.0%, 3 Delegates

Nevada Democratic Primary (100% in), Proportional, 36 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 43.9% ✔, 16 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19.3%, 7 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.9%, 6 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 12.1%, 4 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 6.8%, 3 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.0%, 0 Delegates

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 1 state, 39 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 1 state, 28 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 17 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 9 Delegates
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 Delegates

Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 3 states, 81 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 1 state, 31 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 10 Delegates
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)


Headlines:

What Went Wrong for Klobuchar
-FiveThirtyEight, 2/20/24

Buttigieg Endorses Sinema in Big Blow to Klobuchar Campaign
-POLITICO, 2/20/24

All Early States Might Have Different Winners
-CNN, 2/21/24

Sinema Jumps in Polling, Klobuchar Slumps
-MSNBC 2/23/24

Crapo: "Many Illegal Ballots Counted In South Carolina"
-FOX News 2/23/24

Crapo Sues for Recount of South Carolina Ballots Despite 4-Point Loss
Post and Courier, 2/24/24

Fmr. Rep. Duncan: Democrats, Republican Establishment, Chinese Stole Election for Haley
-OANN, 2/25/24

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

AOC At Debate: "If you think I can't work with Congress, the past 4 years would beg to differ"
-MSNBC 2/22/24

Viewer Poll: AOC, Sinema winners of Greenville Debate, Klobuchar, Gabbard losers
-CNN 2/23/24

Schultz Announces Formation of "Liberal Party", McAdams Presumptive Moderate Nominee
-ABC News, 2/24/24

ELECTION NIGHT: SOUTH CAROLINA DEM.

Welcome to the coverage of the South Carolina Democratic Primary. Polls have just closed across the state. Let's take a look at the most recent polls...

Feb. 22 2024 South Carolina Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 29% (+13)
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 25% (+8)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 21% (+1)
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 14% (+8)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2% (+1)
Undecided: 9%

Looks very good for Sinema, but we'll have to see if she can win over those undecideds. Even if she wins, it might not be enough for her to get the momentum. Need we remember what happened with Biden's win in South Carolina.

7:34 PM

South Carolina Democratic Primary (28% in) Proportional, 63 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 33.9%
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 28.4%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 19.7%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 15.6%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.4%

Klobuchar is underpreforming once again. She's been having issues with minority support for a while now, but both here and in Nevada, it shows.

8:44 PM

Hold that thought, we're going to take a look at the South Carolina results, because we're about to call it: Kyrsten Sinema has won the South Carolina primary.

South Carolina Democratic Primary (61% in) Proportional, 63 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 35.5% ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 27.9%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 18.8%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 15.5%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.3%

And Amy Klobuchar's campaign is dealt a huge blow with this loss. She's actually in danger of falling behind Yang here. However, we have heard that Klobuchar is going to stay in the race, though it's a narrow path for her from here.

10:01 PM

An update on the South Carolina race, Klobuchar has just fallen behind Yang with a large number of returns from the black belt.

South Carolina Democratic Primary (88% in) Proportional, 63 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 36.3% ✔,
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 28.3%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 16.5%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.4%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.5%

As I stated earlier, Klobuchar is having a really tough time winning over minorities. Our exit poll showed her in 4th with those voters, only ahead of Gabbard. Not a good sign at all.

12:03 AM

South Carolina Democratic Primary (100% in) Proportional, 54 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 35.8% ✔, 19 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 29.4%, 15 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 16.3%, 9 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.2%, 9 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.3%, 1 Delegate

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 1 state, 54 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 1 state, 37 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 28 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 1 state, 28 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1 Delegate
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar)

Feb. 28 2024 National Polling: Democratic Primary
Sen. Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 31%
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 21%
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16%
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 15%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2%
Undecided: 15%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

AOC Ahead in All Non-Southern Primaries Except Minnesota
-Washington Post, 2/28/24

Crapo Recount Request Rejected
-The State, 3/2/24

Crapo Demands SC do-over
-FOX News, 3/2/24

Impeach the Judges Defending Voter Fraud
-OANN, 3/3/24

Klobuchar Staffer: She's Gotten Worse Over the Past 2 Weeks
-ABC News, 3/4/24

AOC Could Win Texas Thanks to Hispanic Support
-CNN, 3/4/24

Amazon to be Brought to Court by U.S. Over Antitrust Laws
-Business Insider, 3/4/24

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I accidentally added unpledged and pledged delegates together, I'll fix that in the next update. DNC reforms after Bernie's win included scrapping superdelegates altogether.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

ELECTION NIGHT: SUPER TUESDAY PART 1

It's March 5th, and the night everyone following politics has been waiting for: Super Tuesday. Today's contests are going to have a massive impact on who occupies the White House for the next four years.

(I'm not willing to take too much time with this by doing incremental results, the results are 100% in)


Alabama Democratic Primary (100% in) 52 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 42.8%, 22 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 30.1%, 16 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 14.2%, 7 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang: 11.6%, 6 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.3%, 1 Delegate

Alabama Republican Primary (100% in) 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 50 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo: 55.1%, 50 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 41.6%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 3.3%

American Samoa Democratic Primary (100% in) 6 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 36.3%, 2 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 30.3%, 2 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang: 17.8%, 1 Delegate
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 14.2%, 1 Delegate
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 5.0%, 0 Delegates

American Samoa Republican Primary (100% in) 0 Delegates*
Sen. Mike Crapo: 40.5%✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 39.3%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 20.2%
*All AS Republican Delegates are unpledged and thus the primary is non-binding

Arkansas Democratic Primary (100% in) 31 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 38.7%, 12 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 31.3%, 10 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang: 14.5%, 5 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 14.3%, 4 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.2%, 0 Delegates

Arkansas Republican Primary (100% in) 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 40 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo: 56.7%, 40 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 40.4%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 2.9%

California Democratic Primary (100% in) 415 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 39.3%, 163 Delegates ✔
Mayor Andrew Yang: 20.2%, 84 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 19.7%, 82 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 19.5%, 81 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.3%, 5 Delegates

California Republican Primary (100%) Proportional (10% Threshold) 172 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 45.8%, 87 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo: 45.1%, 85 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 9.1%

Colorado Democratic Primary (100% in) 67 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 37.8%, 25 Delegates ✔
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 21.9%, 15 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 20.5%, 14 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang: 18.8%, 13 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.4%, 1 Delegate

Colorado Republican Primary (100%) FPTP, 34 Delegates*
Sen. Mike Crapo: 48.1%, 34 Delegates✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 46.3%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 5.6%
*CO's 3 Party Leader delegates are unpledged

Maine Democratic Primary (100% in) 24 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 37.9%, 9 Delegates ✔
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar: 20.3%, 5 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang: 20.1%, 5 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 19.8%, 5 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.9%, 0 Delegates

Maine Republican Primary (100%) Proportional (10% Threshold), Take all >50%, 22 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley: 42.7%, 9 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo: 40.1%, 9 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker: 17.2%, 4 Delegates

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 4 states, 279 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 3 states, 163 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 1 state, 150 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 142 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 states+AS, 9 Delegates
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar)

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 4 states+AS, 249 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 5 states, 177 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 14 Delegates
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)

[We Live in Black and White]

I have literally never posted a comment on this timeline until now and I feel a pressing urge to rectify that by way of a simple proclamation.

Holy Crapo.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

I have literally never posted a comment on this timeline until now and I feel a pressing urge to rectify that by way of a simple proclamation.

Holy Crapo.

What are your thoughts on the primaries? Who do you want to win?

[Orwell]

I have literally never posted a comment on this timeline until now and I feel a pressing urge to rectify that by way of a simple proclamation.

Holy Crapo.

What are your thoughts on the primaries? Who do you want to win?

As any sane American should Crapo v. President Sanders

[We Live in Black and White]

I have literally never posted a comment on this timeline until now and I feel a pressing urge to rectify that by way of a simple proclamation.

Holy Crapo.

What are your thoughts on the primaries? Who do you want to win?

Well, for the Democrats it's a no-brainer for me, because I've always seen AOC as being Bernie-But-Better. For the Republicans, I just want Crapo for memes, to be honest.

[tmthforu94]

Crap! Hopefully Sinema and Haley can pull out more victories. Has there been any rumors/indications who Sanders is supporting??

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Crap! Hopefully Sinema and Haley can pull out more victories. Has there been any rumors/indications who Sanders is supporting??

It's no question who he personally supports, AOC, but he hasn't openly endorsed anyone. Much like Obama with Biden this cycle.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

SUPER TUESDAY PART 2

Massachusetts Democratic Primary (100% in) 91 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 40.1%, 37 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 20.2%, 18 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19.2%, 17 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 18.7%, 17 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.8%, 2 Delegates

Massachusetts Republican Primary (100% in) 10% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 41 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 36.2%, 15 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 33.6%, 14 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 30.2%, 12 Delegates

Minnesota Democratic Primary (100% in) 75 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 32.1%, 24 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 30.4%, 23 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 22.2%, 17 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 13.8%, 10 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.5%, 1 Delegate

Minnesota Republican Primary (100% in) 10% Threshold, Take-All >85%, 39 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 49.7%, 21 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 42.5%, 18 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 7.8%

North Carolina Democratic Primary (100% in) 110 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 37.6%, 41 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 29.5%, 32 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.1%, 18 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 15.2%, 17 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.8%, 2 Delegates

North Carolina Republican Primary (100% in) Proportional, 71 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 53.3%, 38 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 42.6%, 30 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 4.1%, 3 Delegates

Oklahoma Democratic Primary (100% in) 37 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 34.5%, 13 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 32.3%, 12 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 15.2%, 6 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 14.6%, 5 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 3.4%, 1 Delegate

Oklahoma Republican Primary (100% in) 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 43 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 57.3%, 43 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 40.1%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 2.6%

Tennessee Democratic Primary (100% in) 64 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 39.1%, 25 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 28.7%, 18 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.4%, 11 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 14.4%, 9 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.4%, 1 Delegate

Tennessee Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >67%, 58 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 54.4%, 33 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 42.4%, 25 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 3.2%

Texas Democratic Primary (100% in) 228 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 32.3%, 76 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 32.1%, 76 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 16.1%, 36 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 15.6%, 36 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.9%, 4 Delegates

Texas Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 155 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 50.07%, 155 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 45.38%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 4.55%

Utah Democratic Primary (100% in) 29 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 38.7%, 11 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 24.3%, 7 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 17.7%, 5 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 17.5%, 5 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.8%, 1 Delegate

Utah Republican Primary (100% in) 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 40 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 50.3%, 40 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 40.9%
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 8.8%

Vermont Democratic Primary (100% in) 16 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 48.8%, 8 Delegates ✔
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 18.5%, 3 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 16.7%, 3 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 14.3%, 2 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.7%

Vermont Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 17 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 37.9%, 7 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 36.1%, 6 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 26.0%, 4 Delegates

Virginia Democratic Primary (100% in) 99 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 38.7%, 38 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 29.1%, 29 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 16.3%, 16 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 14.0%, 14 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.9%, 2 Delegates

Virginia Republican Primary (100% in) Proportional, 49 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 53.3%, 26 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 43.3%, 21 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 3.4%, 2 Delegates

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 8 states, 525 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 7 states, 400 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 2 states, 283 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 261 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 states+AS, 23 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar)

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 9 states+AS, 580 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 9 states, 336 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 37 Delegates
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)


Baker Drops Out, Endorses Haley
-Washington Times, 3/5/24

Haley Sues for Recount of Texas
-CNN, 3/6/24

Wins in CA, TX, Elsewhere Make AOC Definitive Frontrunner
-MSNBC, 3/6/24

Klobuchar Drops Out in Tearful Speech, Endorses Sinema
-New York Times, 3/6/24

Bernie "Pretty damn angry" About Klobuchar Endorsement
-FOX News, 3/6/24

Yang: "We still have a path forward"
-Washington Post, 3/7/24

Texas Recount Shows Crapo Just Below 50% Needed for All Delegates
CNN, 3/9/24

Texas "Recount": Illegal Immigrant Ballots Stuffed In Boxes
-OANN, 3/9/24

Texas Recount Finalized After State Supreme Court Strikes Down Crapo Appeal
-ABC News, 3/11/24

Crapo Appeals Recount Case
-USA Today, 3/11/24

Texas Republican Primary (100% in) [Recounted] 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 155 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 49.98%, 81 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 45.45%, 74 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 4.58%

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 9 states+AS, 506 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 9 states, 410 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 37 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

God damn it, Sinema.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

"SUPER TUESDAY II"

Democrats Abroad Primary (100% in) 13 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 59.4%, 8 Delegates ✔
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 20.1%, 3 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 16.4%, 2 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)*: 3.4%
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 0.9%
*withdrew during voting period

Idaho Democratic Primary (100% in) 20 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 43.1%, 9 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 39.7%, 8 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 15.6%, 3 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.6%

Idaho Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 32 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 63.3%, 32 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 36.7%

Michigan Democratic Primary (100% in) 125 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 37.9%, 47 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 30.7%, 38 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 29.3%, 37 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 2.1%, 3 Delegates

Michigan Republican Primary (100% in) 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 73 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 50.6%, 73 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 49.4%

Mississippi Democratic Primary (100% in) 36 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 57.4%, 21 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 29.3%, 11 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 12.4%, 4 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.4%

Mississippi Republican Primary (100% in) 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 40 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 60.5%, 40 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 39.5%

Missouri Democratic Primary (100% in) 68 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 50.5%, 34 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 34.6%, 24 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 13.5%, 9 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.4%, 1 Delegate

Missouri Republican Primary (100% in) Take-All >50%, 54 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 54.8%, 54 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 45.2%

North Dakota Democratic Primary (100% in) 14 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 40.5%, 6 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 38.1%, 5 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 19.1%, 3 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 2.3%

North Dakota Republican Primary* 29 Delegates
*North Dakota Republicans do not hold a Primary or Caucus, and all 29 of their Delegates are unpledged.

Washington Democratic Primary (100% in) 89 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 43.3%, 38 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 37.3%, 33 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 17.5%, 16 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.9%, 2 Delegates

Michigan Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 43 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 52.2%, 43 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 47.8%

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 12 states+DA, 668 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 9 states, 541 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 336 Delegates
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 2 states, 283 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 states+AS, 29 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar, then Sinema)

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 13 states, 705 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 10 states, 453 Delegates
Uncommitted: 1 state+AS+GU, 53 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 37 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)



Yang: "Without Michigan, our path has closed", drops out of race, endorses AOC
-CNN, 2/13/24

Gabbard Vows to Stay In Until Convention
-USA Today, 2/13/24

Michigan Voting Irregularities Uncovered
-Detroit Free Press, 2/14/24

With Yang Out, AOC is All but Presumptive
-FiveThirtyEight, 2/14/24

Michigan Crapo Campaign Official Arrested for Ballot-Tampering
-Washington Enquirer, 2/16/24

Michigan Recount Ends in Narrow Crapo Win
-MSNBC, 2/17/24

Fmr. Gov. Phil Scott Announces Switch to Moderate Party
-FOX News, 2/17/24

Michigan Republican Primary (100% in) [Recounted] 15% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 73 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 50.11%, 73 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 49.89%

[We Live in Black and White]

Democratic nominee AOC. 😍😍😍

Also, I see the GOP has gone straight to the Craper.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

AOC, Haley win Northern Mariana Primaries
-MSNBC, 3/16/24

Haley Reportedly Looking to Announce VP Before AZ, FL, and IL Primaries
-POLITICO, 3/17/24

Fmr. Rep. Amash: Blank Votes Should be Counted in Michigan
-CNN, 3/17/24

"If blank votes/uncommitted are taken into account, then yes, Crapo falls below the 50% needed for all MI delegates"
@natesilver538, 3/17/24

"No vote is a vote": The Twisted Logic of Anti-American Haley Campaign
-OANN, 3/18/24

Northern Mariana Islands Democratic Primary (100% in) 6 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 63.4%, 4 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 20.3%, 1 Delegate
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 16.3%, 1 Delegate

Northern Mariana Islands Republican Primary (100% in) FPTP, 9 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 60.7%, 9 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 39.3%

Haley Announces Her VP Pick: Fmr. Rep. Brian Mast
-FOX News, 3/18/24

With Her Pick, Haley Puts All Her Hopes In Florida, Where All 122 Delegates are Winner-take-all
-FiveThirtyEight, 3/18/24

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

MID-MARCH PRIMARIES

3/19/24

Arizona Democratic Primary (100% in) 67 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 57.8%, 39 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 40.3%, 27 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.9%, 1 Delegate

Arizona Republican Primary (100% in) FPTP, 58 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 51.7%, 58 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 48.3%

Florida Democratic Primary (100% in) 219 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 56.1%, 133 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 41.9%, 92 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 2.0%, 4 Delegates

Florida Republican Primary (100% in) FPTP, 122 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 50.2%, 122 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 49.8%

Illinois Democratic Primary (100% in) 155 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 60.1%, 93 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 37.8%, 59 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 2.1%, 3 Delegates

Illinois Republican Primary (100% in) Proportional, 67 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 52.3%, 35 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 47.7%, 32 Delegates

Did Haley's Gamble Just Pay Off Big?
-CNN, 3/19/24

Crapo Sues for Recount of FL
-ABC News, 3/19/24

Illegal Cuban Immigrants Voted for Haley: OANN Exclusive
-OANN, 3/20/24

Florida Recount: Haley's Margin Narrows to Under 5k Votes
-MSNBC, 3/24/24

Florida Recount Shows Haley Ahead by ~3,000 Votes
-FOX News, 3/25/24

Recount to Be Finalized Tonight: Haley Wins by ~2,500 Votes
-Miami Daily Herald, 3/27/24

Suspicious Package Spotted in Front of R.A. Gray Building
-Tallahassee Democrat, 3/27/24 (last updated 2:34pm)

OH MY GOD WHAT THE F**K IS THIS
@itsyogirlarica 2:48pm Tallahassee Florida 3/27/24

We have received reports of an explosion of unknown magnitude in the general vicinity of the R.A. Gray Building. Evacuate the area calmly and swiftly. Panic will make this situation worse. Stay safe. Officers are inbound to the site.
@TallyPD 2:55pm Tallahassee Florida 3/27/24


Florida Republican Primary (100% in) [Recount in Progress] FPTP, 122 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 50.06%, 122 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 49.94%

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 13 states+DA+MP, 884 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 11 states, 773 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 336 Delegates (Endorsed Ocasio-Cortez)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 2 states, 283 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 states+AS, 38 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar, then Sinema)

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 13 states, 737 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 13 states+MP, 677 Delegates
Uncommitted: 1 state+AS+GU, 53 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 37 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)

[Snazzrazz Mazzlejazz]

It gives two different results for Arizona on the Democratic side.

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

It gives two different results for Arizona on the Democratic side.

Fixed

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Explosion Rocks Tallahassee, Kills 3
-The Sun Sentinel, 3/27/24

Scale of Explosion Was Small, Police Say
-Tallahassee Democrat, 3/27/24

"We're Lucky it Was Badly Made": Package Was Attempted Dirty Bomb
-CNN, 3/27/24

Fires May Have Destroyed Recount Records in FL Div. of Elections
-FOX News, 3/28/24

Crapo Calls for FL Re-vote
-MSNBC, 3/28/24

Atomwaffen Believed to be Perpetrators in Tallahassee Bombing
-ABC News, 3/28/24

Florida Recount Cancelled by Federal Judge
-POLITICO, 3/29/24

Crapo: "I'm confident" That Delegate Lead Will Hold
-FOX News, 3/31/24

Alaska Republican Caucus (100% in) Proportional, 13% Threshold, 29 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 60.7%, 18 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 39.3%, 11 Delegates

Alaska Democratic Primary (100% in), 15 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 61.3%, 9 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 36.3%, 6 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 2.4%

Wisconsin Republican Primary (100% in), Proportional, 52 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 54.9%, 29 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 45.1%, 23 Delegates

Wisconsin Democratic Primary (100% in), 84 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 58.8%, 50 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema: 39.6%, 33 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard: 1.6%,1 Delegate

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 15 states+DA+MP, 943 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 11 states, 813 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 336 Delegates (Endorsed Ocasio-Cortez)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 2 states, 283 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 states+AS, 39 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar, then Sinema)

OCASIO-CORTEZ+131

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 15 states, 784 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 13 states+MP, 711 Delegates
Uncommitted: 1 state+AS+GU, 53 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 37 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)

CRAPO+73

[We Live in Black and White]

The GOP must be Craping themselves right now.

(Yes, I'm going to keep this joke alive as long as I need to.)

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Ohio Democratic Primary (100% in), 136 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 58.9%, 80 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 39.0%, 53 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.1%, 3 Delegates

Ohio Republican Primary (100% in) FPTP, 82 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 56.7%, 82 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 43.3%

Puerto Rico Democratic Primary (100% in), 51 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 70.8%, 36 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 27.4%, 14 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 1.8%, 1 Delegate

Puerto Rico Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 23 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 68.9%, 23 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 31.1%

Georgia Democratic Primary (100% in), 105 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 54.6%, 57 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 43.3%,46 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.1%, 2 Delegates

Georgia Republican Primary (100% in) 20% Threshold, Take-All >50%, 76 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 59.8%, 76 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 40.2%

AOC, Crapo Win State by Wide Margins
-Casper Star-Tribune, 4/6/24

Wyoming Democratic Primary (100% in), 14 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 57.8%, 8 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 39.9%, 6 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.3%

Wyoming Republican Caucus (100% in) Proportional, 26 Delegates*
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 69.6%, 18 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 30.4%, 8 Delegates
*WY's 3 Party Leader Delegates are unbound

Louisiana Democratic Primary (100% in), 54 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 56.7%, 31 Delegates ✔
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 41.0%, 22 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 2.3%, 1 Delegate

Louisiana Republican Primary (100% in) Proportional, 20% Threshold, 46 Delegates
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 60.7%, 28 Delegates ✔
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 39.3%, 18 Delegates

Hawaii Democratic Primary (100% in), 24 Delegates
Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 63.8%, 15 Delegates ✔
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 27.8%, 7 Delegates
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 8.4%, 2 Delegates

Hawaii Republican Caucus (100% in) Proportional, 19 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 64.7%, 12 Delegates ✔
Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 35.3%, 7 Delegates

Sen. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY): 18 states+DA+MP+PR, 1,150 Delegates
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ): 13 states, 987 Delegates
Mayor Andrew Yang (D-NY): 1 state, 336 Delegates (Endorsed Ocasio-Cortez)
Vice Pres. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN): 2 states, 283 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Amb. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI): 0 states+AS, 48 Delegates
Sec. of HUD Pete Buttigieg (D-IN): 11 Delegates (Endorsed Sinema)
Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA): 1 Delegate (Endorsed Klobuchar, then Sinema)

OCASIO-CORTEZ+163 (↑32)

Sen. Mike Crapo (R-ID): 19 states, 995 Delegates
Fmr. Amb. Nikki Haley (R-SC): 14 states+MP+PR, 780 Delegates
Uncommitted: 1 state+AS+GU, 53 Delegates
Fmr. Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA): 37 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN): 12 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY): 3 Delegates (Endorsed Crapo)
Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX): 0 Delegates (Endorsed Haley)

CRAPO+215 (↑142)


Haley's Momentum From FL, IL, AZ Was Nonexistant. Why?
-FiveThirtyEight, 4/12/24

Parts of RNC Considering Stripping Delegates From States With Winner-take-all System, Say it's "Contrary to Republican Principles"
-FOX News, 4/15/24

Crapo: "If they pull that stunt, the GOP is dead"
-MSNBC, 4/16/24

Kristol: Haley is Our Best Hope to Beat Socialism
-Washington Enquirer, 4/17/24

Thanks to PA's Lack of Winner-take-all System, Haley Has a Fighting Chance
-New York Times, 4/17/24

Sinema Likely to Drop Out After Late April Primaries, Insider Source Says
-POLITICO, 4/18/24