TX-Quinnipiac: Cruz +11

[KingSweden]

Sounds about right.

[KingSweden]

Wasn't the last Quinnipiac poll +3 for Cruz or am I insane?

Only after “information” about each candidate was given. The topline was a slightly larger Cruz lead... IIRC. Someone with a better memory is welcome to correct me.

[KingSweden]

Beto is done

Whole lotta ballgame, though Cruz is (and always should have been) favored.

Trump's Approval shifts from 43/52 in April to 47/47 in May. Huge movement. He's basically even.

A Republican breaking even in Texas is horrible. Honestly it makes me wonder if the April poll was an outlier that oversampled Dems.

[KingSweden]

I like how a poll that aligns with expectations that pretty much everyone had still triggers a flame war lol

[KingSweden]

I still think that, at the end of the day, result will be somewhere between Cruz+6 and Cruz+8. Enough to give Lyin' Ted a scare, but not enough to actually topple him.

A reasonable prediction (and in line with DTC’s point up above)

[KingSweden]

I think O'Rourke could take an advantage against Cruz by attacking him on NAFTA and free trade in general since Cruz supports the construction of Trump's wall while pushing it could antagonize Texas' major trading partner which is Mexico, casting a pall over the trade talks, thus risking to restrict trade between Texas and Mexico and could cost jobs in Texas. And 1 out of 4 jobs in Texas depend on trade with Mexico.

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2017/11/23/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-agree-dire-outcome-nafta-dies-senator-likes-trumps-border-wall

https://www.dallasnews.com/business/trade/2018/05/30/texas-lawmakers-grow-anxious-naftas-fate-negotiations-drag

Good point, I hadn’t thought of thay