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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TX-Quinnipiac: Cruz +11
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Author Topic: TX-Quinnipiac: Cruz +11  (Read 5906 times)
Skye
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« on: May 30, 2018, 12:53:00 pm »

Cruz 50
O'Rourke 39

Cruz's approvals at 52-39. Damn, that's going to be though for O'Rourke. Trump's approvals are also at 47-47.

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2542
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #1 on: May 30, 2018, 12:54:59 pm »

Likely R
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2018, 12:55:26 pm »

Sounds about right.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2018, 12:55:59 pm »

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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2018, 12:56:41 pm »

Here we go! Teddy Ballgame gonna wreck Robert “beta”
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2018, 12:57:15 pm »

That was fun while it lasted.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2018, 12:57:41 pm »
« Edited: May 31, 2018, 07:46:10 am by Brittain33 »

This poll indicates a likely victory for Cruz.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: May 30, 2018, 12:58:06 pm »

Interesting that Trump still has very poor approvals for a Republican in Texas.
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Senator YE
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« Reply #8 on: May 30, 2018, 12:58:23 pm »

Wasn't the last Quinnipiac poll +3 for Cruz or am I insane?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #9 on: May 30, 2018, 12:59:55 pm »

Wasn't the last Quinnipiac poll +3 for Cruz or am I insane?

Only after “information” about each candidate was given. The topline was a slightly larger Cruz lead... IIRC. Someone with a better memory is welcome to correct me.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #10 on: May 30, 2018, 01:01:19 pm »

B-b-but muh Texas is a tossup! Only far-right crazies would vote for Cruz! Junk poll!
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mds32
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« Reply #11 on: May 30, 2018, 01:03:14 pm »

Yeah I knew O'Rourke wouldn't be a good fit for Texans. Cruz won't win like he did in 2012 imo, but he probably won't be far off from the margin.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #12 on: May 30, 2018, 01:03:38 pm »

Beto is done
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mds32
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« Reply #13 on: May 30, 2018, 01:05:31 pm »

Trump's Approval shifts from 43/52 in April to 47/47 in May. Huge movement. He's basically even.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: May 30, 2018, 01:10:03 pm »


Whole lotta ballgame, though Cruz is (and always should have been) favored.

Trump's Approval shifts from 43/52 in April to 47/47 in May. Huge movement. He's basically even.

A Republican breaking even in Texas is horrible. Honestly it makes me wonder if the April poll was an outlier that oversampled Dems.
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« Reply #15 on: May 30, 2018, 01:10:25 pm »

A useful data point but definitely one of the more Cruz leaning polls.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #16 on: May 30, 2018, 01:12:18 pm »

I doubt Cruz approval is that high, he is above water though, but this looks right otherwise.
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mds32
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« Reply #17 on: May 30, 2018, 01:15:54 pm »


Whole lotta ballgame, though Cruz is (and always should have been) favored.

Trump's Approval shifts from 43/52 in April to 47/47 in May. Huge movement. He's basically even.

A Republican breaking even in Texas is horrible. Honestly it makes me wonder if the April poll was an outlier that oversampled Dems.

No he's been underwater there for sometime. Go look at the data.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: May 30, 2018, 01:16:47 pm »


Whole lotta ballgame, though Cruz is (and always should have been) favored.

Trump's Approval shifts from 43/52 in April to 47/47 in May. Huge movement. He's basically even.

A Republican breaking even in Texas is horrible. Honestly it makes me wonder if the April poll was an outlier that oversampled Dems.

No he's been underwater there for sometime. Go look at the data.

It's still awful.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #19 on: May 30, 2018, 01:18:26 pm »

Buh buh....... Texas going blooo.....
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brand_allen
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« Reply #20 on: May 30, 2018, 01:19:04 pm »

The poll has Cruz up on O'Rourke 46-44% among Hispanics.

FWIW, Trump lost Texas Hispanics 61-34% in 2016.

Even Gov. Abbott lost them 55-44% in 2014, even while he was winning statewide by 20 points.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #21 on: May 30, 2018, 01:21:03 pm »

Buh buh....... Texas going blooo.....

It is not blue, but it is a helluva lot bluer than it would be back in the days where it would be humiliating for the GOP to get anything below a 20-25 pt mov here. Some congressional districts are also shifting rapidly.
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President Biden
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« Reply #22 on: May 30, 2018, 01:27:15 pm »

The poll has Cruz up on O'Rourke 46-44% among Hispanics.

FWIW, Trump lost Texas Hispanics 61-34% in 2016.

Even Gov. Abbott lost them 55-44% in 2014, even while he was winning statewide by 20 points.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #23 on: May 30, 2018, 01:32:03 pm »

The poll has Cruz up on O'Rourke 46-44% among Hispanics.

FWIW, Trump lost Texas Hispanics 61-34% in 2016.

Even Gov. Abbott lost them 55-44% in 2014, even while he was winning statewide by 20 points.

Now check out the Texas white vote and repeat.
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brand_allen
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« Reply #24 on: May 30, 2018, 01:43:37 pm »

The poll has Cruz up on O'Rourke 46-44% among Hispanics.

FWIW, Trump lost Texas Hispanics 61-34% in 2016.

Even Gov. Abbott lost them 55-44% in 2014, even while he was winning statewide by 20 points.

Now check out the Texas white vote and repeat.

Abbott carried whites by 47 points in 2014, the exact same amount he's carrying them by in the new Q-poll. We don't know how Cruz did among whites in 2012 because there was no exit polling. But Trump carried them by 43 points in 2016. Cruz is currently carrying them by not much less than that (34 points).

So I'm not sure I see your point...
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