2016 without Comey letter
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  2016 without Comey letter
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Author Topic: 2016 without Comey letter  (Read 1077 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« on: May 22, 2018, 07:28:10 PM »

Discuss with Maps
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2018, 07:28:46 PM »

I don't think comets, or asteroids even, affect elections.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2018, 07:29:37 PM »

I don't think comets, or asteroids even, affect elections.
Whoops, I meant to say Comey.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2018, 07:42:29 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2018, 06:48:46 PM by Progressive Pessimist »

Clinton wins the popular vote by 3% (totaling roughly 49% of the vote as Drumpf maintains the 46% that he had in real-life, maybe slightly less) and with it wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Maybe Florida too. But overall, the Comey letter not consuming the latter media cycles enables her to win what she needed to and inspires slightly increased turnout for her. In spite of her win, it's seen as narrower than expected and pundits react by declaring her a one termer already and warning the Democratic Party about it's future, especially in the Senate for the 2018 midterms.
McGinty and maybe also Feingold and Kander win their senate elections by small margins, essentially guaranteeing slight Democratic control in the Senate.
The House elections occur similarly to how they did in real life, maybe the Democrats pick up or keep a couple more seats.
The Gubernatorial elections occur similarly as well but Van Ostern pulls off an extremely small win over Sununu, leading to a recount. I am not sure about Missouri. But those are the only two Gubernatorial elections where the results may be affected enough to have a different winner.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2018, 08:21:04 PM »

Clinton wins the popular vote by 3% (totaling roughly 49% of the vote as Trump maintains the 46% that he had in real-life, maybe slightly less) and with it wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Maybe Florida too. But overall, the Comey letter not consuming the latter media cycles enables her to win what she needed to and inspires slightly increased turnout for her. In spite of her win, it's seen as narrower than expected and pundits react by declaring her a one termer already and warning the Democratic Party about it's future, especially in the Senate for the 2018 midterms.
McGinty and maybe also Feingold and Kander win their senate elections by small margins, essentially guaranteeing slight Democratic control in the Senate.
The House elections occur similarly to how they did in real life, maybe the Democrats pick or keep a couple more seats.
The Gubernatorial elections occur similarly as well but Van Ostern pulls off an extremely small win over Sununu, leading to a recount. I am not sure about Missouri. But those are the only two Gubernatorial elections where the results may be affected enough to have a different winner.

Map?
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OBD
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« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2018, 02:24:53 PM »

Clinton wins the popular vote by 3% (totaling roughly 49% of the vote as Trump maintains the 46% that he had in real-life, maybe slightly less) and with it wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Maybe Florida too. But overall, the Comey letter not consuming the latter media cycles enables her to win what she needed to and inspires slightly increased turnout for her. In spite of her win, it's seen as narrower than expected and pundits react by declaring her a one termer already and warning the Democratic Party about it's future, especially in the Senate for the 2018 midterms.
McGinty and maybe also Feingold and Kander win their senate elections by small margins, essentially guaranteeing slight Democratic control in the Senate.
The House elections occur similarly to how they did in real life, maybe the Democrats pick or keep a couple more seats.
The Gubernatorial elections occur similarly as well but Van Ostern pulls off an extremely small win over Sununu, leading to a recount. I am not sure about Missouri. But those are the only two Gubernatorial elections where the results may be affected enough to have a different winner.

Map?
lol he laid it out clearly, picture it yourself
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sentinel
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« Reply #6 on: May 23, 2018, 02:51:21 PM »



278-260

fight about ME-02 and FL. w/e
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2018, 04:31:56 PM »

To be honest, I think Trump still would have won.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: May 23, 2018, 05:09:38 PM »



H. Clinton/Kaine: 308 EV, 50% pv
Trump/Pence: 230 EV, 46% pv

Closest States

Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

Nebraska CD2
North Carolina

Michigan
Georgia
Maine CD2

New Hampshire
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Da2017
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« Reply #9 on: May 23, 2018, 05:17:07 PM »
« Edited: May 23, 2018, 11:01:10 PM by Da2017 »



H. Clinton/Kaine: 308 EV, 50% pv
Trump/Pence: 230 EV, 46% pv

Closest States

Florida
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

Nebraska CD2
North Carolina

Michigan
Georgia
Maine CD2

New Hampshire

This. After the Comey letter; Clinton's lead dropped from 5 to a 2 to 3 point lead. Clinton should not of been one letter away from losing.At minimum she would hung on in the rust belt. I think the Comey Letter hurt her; especially given the timing. It reminded the voters of the Emails.
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UWS
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2018, 12:21:39 AM »



Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine : 333 great electors, 51 % of the vote
Donald Trump/Mike Pence : 205 great electors, 46 % of the vote
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2018, 02:57:26 AM »



Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine : 333 great electors, 51 % of the vote
Donald Trump/Mike Pence : 205 great electors, 46 % of the vote

I agree with this, Georgia would have also been really close.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #12 on: June 03, 2018, 04:12:53 AM »

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Sadader
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« Reply #13 on: June 03, 2018, 04:55:12 AM »



Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine : 333 great electors, 51 % of the vote
Donald Trump/Mike Pence : 205 great electors, 46 % of the vote

I agree with this, Georgia would have also been really close.

Yep. This + NE-2
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