Day 35: Ohio

[© tweed]

Bush won the state because he was able to romp in rural areas based upon cultural issues.  The Dems forfeited their best chances to win the state when they turned aside Gephardt and Edwards in favor of a Mass. liberal.

With Hillary on the horizon in 2008, expect a similar Ohio result as we saw in 2004 as Bayh and Warner sit on the sidelines, turned away by the liberals who control the nominating process, and meaning another Bush victory.

[© tweed]

Bush won the state because he was able to romp in rural areas based upon cultural issues.  The Dems forfeited their best chances to win the state when they turned aside Gephardt and Edwards in favor of a Mass. liberal.

With Hillary on the horizon in 2008, expect a similar Ohio result as we saw in 2004 as Bayh and Warner sit on the sidelines, turned away by the liberals who control the nominating process, and meaning another Bush victory.

So Jeb will be running in '08?

I believe he will, pure hunch

[© tweed]

Bush won the state because he was able to romp in rural areas based upon cultural issues.  The Dems forfeited their best chances to win the state when they turned aside Gephardt and Edwards in favor of a Mass. liberal.

With Hillary on the horizon in 2008, expect a similar Ohio result as we saw in 2004 as Bayh and Warner sit on the sidelines, turned away by the liberals who control the nominating process, and meaning another Bush victory.

Except most liberals don't like Hillary. Look what DU says on her. And don't say something like "DU hates anyone to the right of Kucinich" because I have plenty of posts that prove otherwise. Warner is actually far more popular than Hillary there.

Also Dean was the liberal candidate. Kerry was the establishment guy. Dean would've won in a romp like he did in the polls if it was just ultra-liberals controlling the nomination.

Dean wasn't made for the spotlight.  He folded; his gaffes and lack of debating skills turned people away.  He's a better voice than he would be a president.

Kerry won because he was more palatable to the base than were the alternative(s).  I expect a similar race in 2008--Hillary is supported by the liberal base of the party over Bayh or Warner (or both) and rides this to the nomination.

[© tweed]

I disagree. Kerry won because he was more palatable to the people of Iowa and New Hampshire. Dean would have been the Presidential candidate if Oregon and Wisconsin were the first states. The time for a national primary has come. One day, one man, one vote.

While a national primary certainly should be the method of nominating candidates, and very well may be at some point in our lives, the system won't change by 2008.