2008 - Could the Democrats have a bigger wave?

[HarrisonL]

Premise to my alternate history: Just weeks before the Election, President Bush is embroiled in a new scandal. It was leaked from the White House that President Bush had sold classified military material to China in exchange for laundered money to fund Republican super-PACS going into 2008. The Bush approval rating falls to the lowest level ever, 12%. New Polls show Obama far ahead of McCain even in Ruby Red States.

President

Obama/Biden: 419 EV (70,887,435 votes)
McCain/Palin: 119 EV (49,989,191 votes)

Senate

Democratic Gains:

Alaska - Mark Begich unseats Senator Stevens
Oregon - Jeff Merkley unseats Senator Smith
Minnesota - Al Fraken unseats Senator Coleman
North Carolina - Kay Hagan unseats Senator Dole
New Hampshire - Jeanne Shaheen unseats Senator Sununu
Mississippi SPECIAL - Ronnie Musgrove wins open seat
Georgia - Jim Martin unseats Senator Chambliss
Kentucky - Bruce Lunsford unseats Senator McConnell
Colorado - Mark Udall wins open seat
New Mexico - Tom Udall wins open seat

House of Reprsentatives

Democrats: 271 seats
Republicans: 164 seats

What do you think?

[aaroncd107]

What additional states does Obama pick up? Montana, Georgia and Missouri are my first guesses, where else?

[DPKdebator]

What additional states does Obama pick up? Montana, Georgia and Missouri are my first guesses, where else?

I would say a 419-119 EV win for Obama looks like this:

[OSR stands with Israel]

Against McCain no


But against someone like Fred Thompson yes

[RC (a la Frémont)]

Against McCain no


But against someone like Fred Thompson yes

Well if it isn’t McCain it means there’s no Palin, which I believe means Alaska could’ve been in play. Additionally, if instead of Obama’s they chose Clinton, Arkansas would almost certainly go to her, and Kentucky would be in play.

[Lord Admirale]

Senator Hillary Clinton / Senator Barack Obama (Democratic) - 438 EV (55.1%)
Former Senator Fred Thompson / Former Governor Mitt Romney (Republican) - 100 EV (43.5%)

Obama doesn't run in 2008 (Michelle disproves or something ), so the nomination is virtually Hillary's. She picks him as VP, and this happens.