VA-Atlantic Media/Stewart Internal: Stewart +23 in GOP primary

[The Other Castro]

Corey Stewart - 32%
Nick Freitas - 9%
E.W. Jackson - 5%

https://www.scribd.com/document/379979998/VA-Sen-Atlantic-Media-Research-R-for-Corey-Stewart-May-2018

[Politician]

Still Safe D, contrary to what Charlie Cook and CNN may think.

[Yellowhammer]

Final vote margin will be similar to the 2017 governor race, but Kaine will probably do a few points better.

[Politician]

Final vote margin will be similar to the 2017 governor race, but Kaine will probably do a few points better.

Oh please. He'll win by well over 15 points, especially against a madman like Stewart or a no-name like Freitas.

[LimoLiberal]

Great Poll! (for Tim Kaine)

[UncleSam]

Final vote margin will be similar to the 2017 governor race, but Kaine will probably do a few points better.

Oh please. He'll win by well over 15 points, especially against a madman like Stewart or a no-name like Freitas.

The GOP base / floor is still pretty high in Virginia. While a 15 point win isn’t out of the question, I certainly wouldn’t assume it is a given. High single digits is a perfectly reasonable prediction - it’s just an inflexible high single digits.

[Suburbia]

Still Safe D.

Kaine will win by 10-15 points, maybe even 20 points.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Great Poll! (for Tim Kaine)

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Final vote margin will be similar to the 2017 governor race, but Kaine will probably do a few points better.

Oh please. He'll win by well over 15 points, especially against a madman like Stewart or a no-name like Freitas.

The GOP base / floor is still pretty high in Virginia. While a 15 point win isn’t out of the question, I certainly wouldn’t assume it is a given. High single digits is a perfectly reasonable prediction - it’s just an inflexible high single digits.

Nah. Tim Kaine is an incumbent democrat vs lunatic Stewart. Kaine does better than Northam (obviously). Wins by 12 I'd say.

[Calthrina950]

Still Safe D, contrary to what Charlie Cook and CNN may think.

The Cook Political Report actually rates Virginia as Solid Democratic. So I'm not sure where you get this from.

[Pericles]

Kaine +15-20.

[Sir Mohamed]

Didn't the dude just ran for governor last year? If the GOP can only send up a desperate officeseeker in a blue year, safe Dem. Kaine wins 58-40%.

[MT Treasurer]

Um, this race was always going to be Safe D regardless of who the Republicans were going to run. But keep clinging to this idea that VA is still a swing state if it makes you happy.

[Alabama_Indy10]

Um, this race was always going to be Safe D regardless of who the Republicans were going to run. But keep clinging to this idea that VA is still a swing state if it makes you happy.

[Yellowhammer]

Um, this race was always going to be Safe D regardless of who the Republicans were going to run. But keep clinging to this idea that VA is still a swing state if it makes you happy.

The race is safe D and Kaine will win comfortably, but this is Virginia, not Vermont. The GOP still has a high floor in VA and Kaine won't simply blow out any GOP challenger. He'll win by 8-12 points.

[heatcharger]

Um, this race was always going to be Safe D regardless of who the Republicans were going to run. But keep clinging to this idea that VA is still a swing state if it makes you happy.

Um, no one in this thread is arguing that. Every major site that does ratings has this race as Safe D.

Who the hell are you talking to? I'm led to believe it's just more annoying bloviation.

[here2view]

Kaine +20

[YE]

Where do people get this idea that the GOP has a high floor in VA? Do they not remember VA SEN 2008? Not that I expect Stewart to lose by that much since he's a good fit for the non-NOVA part of the state.

[Maxwell]

lol sure okay

It would be hilarious if, a year after he almost dethroned Gillespie, Stewart got defeated in the primary by Freitas.

what a terrible field the GOP has for this seat they should theoretically be competing in.