NV-PPP: Rosen +2 (user search)
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  NV-PPP: Rosen +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-PPP: Rosen +2  (Read 4809 times)
brand_allen
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Posts: 57


« on: May 04, 2018, 07:09:55 PM »

All joking aside, if Heller's approval is -22, he's going to lose by a lot more than 2%.

This.

If the old saying is "an incumbent under 50% is potentially in trouble," what's the saying for an incumbent under 30%?
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brand_allen
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Posts: 57


« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2018, 07:16:08 PM »

The real numbers are actually

Rosen: 46%
Heller: 41%

When pushed.

The normal way this should be done would be to ask, after the initial general election question, "but if you had to say, which way do you lean today?"

Unfortunately, that's not what PPP does here. They ask a series of policy questions designed to make respondents think of Heller in a different light, before then asking "Thinking about everything you have heard in this poll..."

I'll stick with the initial numbers for now as a result.
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