California House Races Megathread
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Author Topic: California House Races Megathread  (Read 41394 times)
Sestak
jk2020
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« on: May 01, 2018, 03:22:06 PM »
I'm splitting these to around 50-60 seats each, so yeah, California gets its own megathread.
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Dipper Josh
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« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2018, 02:13:16 PM »
Its interesting that CA-50 is still in Likely R territory, Ammar Campa-Najjar has raised more money and has more cash on hand than the Republican incumbent Duncan Hunter.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2018, 03:32:35 PM »
Quote from: Dipper Josh on May 02, 2018, 02:13:16 PM
Its interesting that CA-50 is still in Likely R territory, Ammar Campa-Najjar has raised more money and has more cash on hand than the Republican incumbent Duncan Hunter.

Hunter is currently under investigation for campaign finance misuse, so that might explain why he’s having more trouble fundraising.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: May 02, 2018, 03:48:37 PM »
I’m still thinking 5 flips here. The three top tier races, CA-10 and CA-25. As of today I think Mimi Walters holds on.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2018, 05:26:07 PM »
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on May 02, 2018, 03:32:35 PM
Quote from: Dipper Josh on May 02, 2018, 02:13:16 PM
Its interesting that CA-50 is still in Likely R territory, Ammar Campa-Najjar has raised more money and has more cash on hand than the Republican incumbent Duncan Hunter.

Hunter is currently under investigation for campaign finance misuse, so that might explain why he’s having more trouble fundraising.
That should also be why he shouldn't be in "likely" territory
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #5 on: May 02, 2018, 07:02:08 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on May 02, 2018, 05:26:07 PM
Quote from: Tartarus Sauce on May 02, 2018, 03:32:35 PM
Quote from: Dipper Josh on May 02, 2018, 02:13:16 PM
Its interesting that CA-50 is still in Likely R territory, Ammar Campa-Najjar has raised more money and has more cash on hand than the Republican incumbent Duncan Hunter.

Hunter is currently under investigation for campaign finance misuse, so that might explain why he’s having more trouble fundraising.
That should also be why he shouldn't be in "likely" territory
The way that district is drawn it’s hard to see it flip, I’d rate it “likely” rep. It’s not Issa’s seat by any stretch.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2018, 05:00:58 PM »
Crossposting here: Cardenas accused of child molestation, which he vehemently denies.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2018, 05:02:09 PM »
I would support Joe Shammas (D) or Benny Bernal (R) over Cardenas.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: May 07, 2018, 11:29:16 AM »
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ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: May 07, 2018, 05:52:34 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2018, 05:56:53 PM by ERM64man »
I just added CA-51 candidate Kevin Mitchell's party preference (Socialist Equality Party, which doesn't have ballot access) to the Wikipedia House article. At least 3 candidates are running with parties that don't have ballot access. Applegate still leads CA-49 Democrats in the polls.
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #10 on: May 09, 2018, 03:00:14 PM »
New poll for CA-49 from the Jacobs campaign:
https://i.imgur.com/UEqEu7q.png

Harkey 14%
Chavez 14%
Applegate 13%
Jacobs 11%

After hearing short bios on the candidates:
Harkey 19%
Jacobs 16%
Applegate 14%
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Coastal Elitist
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« Reply #11 on: May 09, 2018, 03:05:13 PM »
New poll for CA-48 from Change Research:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1plHeNfEPvFUJdLPtN47O9xz9tcyjrPq_RJzdUi1ggbI/edit

Rohrabacher 27%
Kierstead 19%
Baugh 17%
Rouda 11%

After negative messages about each candidate:
Rohrabacher 25%
Kierstead 25%
Baugh 21%
Rouda 11%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2018, 10:44:07 AM »
DCCC running ratf**king ads in Southern California
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #13 on: May 10, 2018, 11:19:09 AM »
JFC Sara Jacobs needs to drop out
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: May 10, 2018, 11:25:56 AM »

Yeah Applegate really hasn’t taken off, has he
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Nyvin
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« Reply #15 on: May 10, 2018, 11:33:40 AM »
Sara Jacobs...please leave.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #16 on: May 10, 2018, 11:34:57 AM »
Quote from: AndrewCA🌹 on May 10, 2018, 11:26:50 AM

I'm surprised he's still consistently polling in (a very measly and likely-to-be-evaporated by next month) first place at this point, TBH.

Is he! Hmm. Well I’d like him to win just since he took a chance last year when nobody else would. But I really am fine with most of our field here, unlike the dumpster fire in CA-39
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #17 on: May 10, 2018, 12:28:27 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 10, 2018, 11:34:57 AM
Quote from: AndrewCA🌹 on May 10, 2018, 11:26:50 AM

I'm surprised he's still consistently polling in (a very measly and likely-to-be-evaporated by next month) first place at this point, TBH.

Is he! Hmm. Well I’d like him to win just since he took a chance last year when nobody else would. But I really am fine with most of our field here, unlike the dumpster fire in CA-39

Jacobs is the only one I have a problem with, although Levine would be ideal.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #18 on: May 10, 2018, 12:49:10 PM »
California Ballot Designations

CA-39
Gil Cisneros - Education/Veterans Advocate
Bob Huff - Business Owner
Young Kim - Small Business Owner
Mai Khanh Tran - Doctor/Mother/Teacher
Sam Jammal - Clean Energy Businessman
Shawn Nelson - Orange County Supervisor
Andy Thorburn - Non-Profit Advisor/Businessman

CA-45
Brian Forde - Science Technology Advocate
Dave Min - Law Professor/Father
Katie Porter - Consumer Protection Attorney
Mimi Walters - US Representative, 45th District

CA-48
Scott Baugh - Orange County Businessowner
Hans Keirstead - Neuroscientist/Professor/Entrepreneur
Dana Rohrabacher - US Representative, 48th District
Harley Rouda - Technology Entrepreneur
Omar Siddiqui - FBI Advisor/Attorney

CA-49
Doug Applegate - Attorney/Father/Businessperson
Rocky Chavez - Assemblymember
Diane Harkey - Taxpayer Representative/Businesswoman
Paul Kerr - Small Business Person
Kristin Gaspar - Chairwoman, San Diego County Board of Supervisors
Mike Levin - Clean Energy Advocate
Sara Jacob - Education Nonprofit CEO
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #19 on: May 10, 2018, 01:55:52 PM »
Quote from: Jeppe on May 10, 2018, 12:49:10 PM
California Ballot Designations

CA-39
Gil Cisneros - Education/Veterans Advocate
Bob Huff - Business Owner
Young Kim - Small Business Owner
Mai Khanh Tran - Doctor/Mother/Teacher
Sam Jammal - Clean Energy Businessman
Shawn Nelson - Orange County Supervisor
Andy Thorburn - Non-Profit Advisor/Businessman

CA-45
Brian Forde - Science Technology Advocate
Dave Min - Law Professor/Father
Katie Porter - Consumer Protection Attorney
Mimi Walters - US Representative, 45th District

CA-48
Scott Baugh - Orange County Businessowner
Hans Keirstead - Neuroscientist/Professor/Entrepreneur
Dana Rohrabacher - US Representative, 48th District
Harley Rouda - Technology Entrepreneur
Omar Siddiqui - FBI Advisor/Attorney

CA-49
Doug Applegate - Attorney/Father/Businessperson
Rocky Chavez - Assemblymember
Diane Harkey - Taxpayer Representative/Businesswoman
Paul Kerr - Small Business Person
Kristin Gaspar - Chairwoman, San Diego County Board of Supervisors
Mike Levin - Clean Energy Advocate
Sara Jacob - Education Nonprofit CEO

Those ballot delegations are beyond cringe.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #20 on: May 10, 2018, 02:02:39 PM »
Quote from: X Marks The Spot on May 10, 2018, 01:55:52 PM
Quote from: Jeppe on May 10, 2018, 12:49:10 PM
California Ballot Designations

CA-39
Gil Cisneros - Education/Veterans Advocate
Bob Huff - Business Owner
Young Kim - Small Business Owner
Mai Khanh Tran - Doctor/Mother/Teacher
Sam Jammal - Clean Energy Businessman
Shawn Nelson - Orange County Supervisor
Andy Thorburn - Non-Profit Advisor/Businessman

CA-45
Brian Forde - Science Technology Advocate
Dave Min - Law Professor/Father
Katie Porter - Consumer Protection Attorney
Mimi Walters - US Representative, 45th District

CA-48
Scott Baugh - Orange County Businessowner
Hans Keirstead - Neuroscientist/Professor/Entrepreneur
Dana Rohrabacher - US Representative, 48th District
Harley Rouda - Technology Entrepreneur
Omar Siddiqui - FBI Advisor/Attorney

CA-49
Doug Applegate - Attorney/Father/Businessperson
Rocky Chavez - Assemblymember
Diane Harkey - Taxpayer Representative/Businesswoman
Paul Kerr - Small Business Person
Kristin Gaspar - Chairwoman, San Diego County Board of Supervisors
Mike Levin - Clean Energy Advocate
Sara Jacob - Education Nonprofit CEO

Those ballot delegations are beyond cringe.

Well they will get their party labels, which was left out in the post...but yeah. Its nice to have them though, it helps out the low-propensity voters who know nothing. It is always funny to see what the crazies put on there as well.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #21 on: May 10, 2018, 02:11:27 PM »
These candidates are running with parties that don't have ballot access:
Brian Carroll (American Solidarity-CA-22)
Robert Pendleton (K9-CA-49)
Kevin Mitchell (Socialist Equality-CA-51)
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Politician
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« Reply #22 on: May 10, 2018, 02:12:08 PM »
Sara Jacobs has to drop out NOW and leave the Democratic field at Applegate vs Levin.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #23 on: May 10, 2018, 02:15:51 PM »
Will CA-39 be D vs. R?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: May 10, 2018, 02:23:31 PM »
Speaking of California, No Party Preference will soon pass the GOP:
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