Quinnipiac-TX: Cruz 47 O'Rourke 44
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  Quinnipiac-TX: Cruz 47 O'Rourke 44		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac-TX: Cruz 47 O'Rourke 44  (Read 6719 times)
UWS
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« Reply #50 on: April 19, 2018, 07:00:08 AM »
« edited: April 19, 2018, 02:09:33 PM by UWS »
Quote from: Shadows on April 19, 2018, 12:53:21 AM
Hispanics in Texas are much more conservative & that is Beto's challenge & why Lyin' Ted attacked him.

If Beto can try & get 60%, forget 70-75% of Hispanic votes which a North Eastern Democrat can get, then Beto may win this.

He also has to try & get huge turnout from Millennials so that this 50-34 demographic advantage can translate into something big. Hispanic Votes & millennial turnouts is key for Beto.

« Well first of all, I don't know how he knows what I said on Univision because he doesn't speak Spanish. » LOL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSISRE91ruA
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Hades
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« Reply #51 on: April 19, 2018, 07:26:18 AM »
Why is the race so close? Is Cruz unpopular? Or is O'Rourke quite popular?
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #52 on: April 19, 2018, 07:40:30 AM »
Quote from: Ἅιδης on April 19, 2018, 07:26:18 AM
Why is the race so close? Is Cruz unpopular? Or is O'Rourke quite popular?

Yes. First because he's Lyin' Ted and I guess it's also partly because of Cruz's implication in the Cambridge Analytica affair.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #53 on: April 19, 2018, 10:15:53 AM »
Quote from: UWS on April 19, 2018, 07:40:30 AM
Quote from: Ἅιδης on April 19, 2018, 07:26:18 AM
Why is the race so close? Is Cruz unpopular? Or is O'Rourke quite popular?

Yes. First because he's Lyin' Ted and I guess it's also partly because of Cruz's implication in the Cambridge Analytica affair.

But how famous is O'Rourke? How many Texans know who he is?
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Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #54 on: April 19, 2018, 10:17:33 AM »
Quote from: UWS on April 19, 2018, 07:40:30 AM
Quote from: Ἅιδης on April 19, 2018, 07:26:18 AM
Why is the race so close? Is Cruz unpopular? Or is O'Rourke quite popular?

Yes. First because he's Lyin' Ted and I guess it's also partly because of Cruz's implication in the Cambridge Analytica affair.

Is Cruz's involvement with CA even on the radar of most voters?
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #55 on: April 19, 2018, 10:59:33 AM »
I believe!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #56 on: April 19, 2018, 12:25:30 PM »
G. Elliott Morris, the guy who created the famous trend line and who is behind Crosstabs, did post to twitter that he saw unreleased polls showing the two essentially tied.

I posted the tweet earlier in the thread.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #57 on: April 19, 2018, 12:28:04 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on April 19, 2018, 12:25:30 PM
G. Elliott Morris, the guy who created the famous trend line and who is behind Crosstabs, did post to twitter that he saw unreleased polls showing the two essentially tied.

I posted the tweet earlier in the thread.
hmm, if this is true i may make it Lean R from Likely R in my ratings.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #58 on: April 19, 2018, 06:02:44 PM »
TX is a toss-up as of right now in my view.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #59 on: April 19, 2018, 06:11:01 PM »
color me skeptical, but senator baeto o'rourke has a nice ring to it.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #60 on: April 20, 2018, 02:48:49 PM »
This race Leans Republican. Cruz has several advantages, but as we're clearly seeing, Beto is giving him one hell of a fight.

Matter of fact, I'll make a prediction right now: Texas will be the last US Senate race called on election night 2018. (obviously discounting Mississippi-Special)
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #61 on: April 20, 2018, 06:27:39 PM »
Quote from: Spenstar on April 20, 2018, 02:48:49 PM
This race Leans Republican. Cruz has several advantages, but as we're clearly seeing, Beto is giving him one hell of a fight.

Matter of fact, I'll make a prediction right now: Texas will be the last US Senate race called on election night 2018. (obviously discounting Mississippi-Special)

That's a bit bold.  At this point, I am ready to say Beto 2018 > Clinton 2016 in Texas.
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Dr. Crane
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« Reply #62 on: April 21, 2018, 10:34:42 PM »
I still rate this Safe Republican, due to the fact that Texas is still a very Republican state because of Racial polarization and a more Republican then normal Hispanic population.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #63 on: April 23, 2018, 07:41:56 AM »
Quote from: Dr. Crane on April 21, 2018, 10:34:42 PM
I still rate this Safe Republican, due to the fact that Texas is still a very Republican state because of Racial polarization and a more Republican then normal Hispanic population.

"Safe" ratings are usually reserved for races where the challenger has no funding or stature (or is only self-funding but not being taken seriously) and where polling consistently shows the incumbent well over 50% in ballot tests. While Texas fundamentals favor Republicans strongly, we have to account for O'Rourke's fundraising, this poll result, Trump's underperformance in Texas, and a national environment that is bad for Republicans.
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cvparty
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« Reply #64 on: April 23, 2018, 09:16:08 AM »
Quote from: Dr. Crane on April 21, 2018, 10:34:42 PM
I still rate this Safe Republican, due to the fact that Texas is still a very Republican state because of Racial polarization and a more Republican then normal Hispanic population.
who let king lear back
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #65 on: April 25, 2018, 12:55:40 PM »
Quote from: PNM on April 25, 2018, 07:32:56 AM
I can believe Cruz is up only 3 after seeing last night.

Just wait until Mueller's Obstruction of Justice report drops before the midterms. Cruz is gonna be like: "I was against Trump before I was for him"
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Lamda
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« Reply #66 on: April 25, 2018, 12:59:51 PM »
Lean R but more close to likely than to tossup(right mow)
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UWS
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« Reply #67 on: April 25, 2018, 01:23:49 PM »
Quote from: Mondale on April 25, 2018, 12:55:40 PM
Quote from: PNM on April 25, 2018, 07:32:56 AM
I can believe Cruz is up only 3 after seeing last night.

Just wait until Mueller's Obstruction of Justice report drops before the midterms. Cruz is gonna be like: "I was against Trump before I was for him"

Just like John Kerry with his famous "I was for the war before I voted against it" during the 2004 election.
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