IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18
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  IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18
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Author Topic: IL-Gov Victory Research: Pritzker +18  (Read 1352 times)
Sir Mohamed
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« on: April 27, 2018, 02:01:33 AM »

Victory Research Poll:

Pritzker (D): 49%
Rauner (R, inc.): 31%

Sample: 1,208 LV

Link

The race is likely D, and even moving closer to safe D. Rauner is toast, he underperforms Quinn 2014 at this point in time.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: April 27, 2018, 02:43:37 AM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: April 27, 2018, 02:48:26 AM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: April 27, 2018, 06:58:32 AM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.
Even if Trump is re-elected, Pritzker will be toast in 2022. I can already imagine him having -20 approvals.

Oddly, Blagojevich won re-election by double digits in 2006 thanks to Bush, even though he had like a -20 approval rating and was running against a popular moderate Republican statewide elected official, lol.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: April 27, 2018, 09:06:43 AM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.
Even if Trump is re-elected, Pritzker will be toast in 2022. I can already imagine him having -20 approvals.

Oddly, Blagojevich won re-election by double digits in 2006 thanks to Bush, even though he had like a -20 approval rating and was running against a popular moderate Republican statewide elected official, lol.

Well, as far as I remember, scandal-free Quinn had higher approvals in 2014 and still lost despite a modestly popular incumbent president who was from IL.
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America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #5 on: April 27, 2018, 10:16:24 AM »

RIP Rauner. I still support him over Pritzker though.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: April 27, 2018, 11:11:14 AM »

Rauner's new profile picture:

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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #7 on: April 27, 2018, 11:12:35 AM »

IL-Gov is now Safe D
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: April 27, 2018, 12:34:09 PM »

Yay Pritzker!!! To all the haters, I'm sorry he was born rich, but he is a good man!
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jamestroll
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« Reply #9 on: April 27, 2018, 04:24:50 PM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.
Even if Trump is re-elected, Pritzker will be toast in 2022. I can already imagine him having -20 approvals.

Oddly, Blagojevich won re-election by double digits in 2006 thanks to Bush, even though he had like a -20 approval rating and was running against a popular moderate Republican statewide elected official, lol.

Yeh, I was gonna say, the criminal and Quinn each won their first reelections despite having like -20 or more approvals, LOL. It took a six year itch, plus a "moderate" billionaire who could outspend Quinn, and un-reproducible margins in the collar counties to barely crack 50% against a Governor mired at a 30% approval rating.

People writing Pritzker's 2022 obituary this early really should know better.



haaha and this was the 2006 map.

The map may not be that much different from 2006 if Pritzker is winning by a larger margin than Blagojevich. Expect I think downstate will be less dem and DuPage county may surprise everyone and go for Pritzker.

Also Topinka may have been popular but a lot of these down ballot performances are due to sheer name ID and having a specific job duty that is hard to create much controversy. They often falter once they seek promotions.
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #10 on: April 27, 2018, 04:36:05 PM »

Barring some remarkable (and impossible) turn of events, Rauner is getting BTFO.
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #11 on: April 27, 2018, 04:39:47 PM »

I wouldn't be surprised if Rauner already moved out of the governors mansion
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #12 on: April 27, 2018, 04:50:41 PM »

Lol. And this is with Dems handing the GOP a gift by nominating Pritzker. Can you imagine if Dems had nominated an Obama or Duckworth caliber candidate here?

Michelle? She would crack 60% very easily.

Although very early, I think Pritzker will also be a one-termer, especially if a Dem is prez in 2022.
Even if Trump is re-elected, Pritzker will be toast in 2022. I can already imagine him having -20 approvals.

Oddly, Blagojevich won re-election by double digits in 2006 thanks to Bush, even though he had like a -20 approval rating and was running against a popular moderate Republican statewide elected official, lol.

Plus he didn't get a majority of the vote and had a Green Party candidate siphoning some 10% of the vote away from him.
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #13 on: April 27, 2018, 10:02:09 PM »

Rip Illinois
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: April 28, 2018, 12:12:04 AM »



Blanched Toast
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President Johnson
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« Reply #15 on: April 28, 2018, 05:50:26 AM »


I agree with you on that. I hope Rauner can still turn this around, maybe if something additional comes out about shady Pritzker. Otherwise: RIP FF.
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