NM-Gov: Internal Poll Finds Pearce (R) Within MoE of Lujan-Grisham (D)

[mds32]

NM Governor
Tarrance Group (R)

Lujan-Grisham (D) - 47%
Pearce (R) - 45%


http://pearcefornm.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Summary-Findings-NM-SW-Survey-April-2018.pdf

[Pollster]

If this sample is accurate, even if Pearce is at the high end of the poll's margin of error he is not hitting 50%, something that will likely be necessary to win this race as no libertarian/third party candidate has declared as far as I can find.

[Maxwell]

The polling for this race has continually showed this race as closer than it should be. I blame this on Lujan-Grisham being a blank slate who stands for nothing.

[scutosaurus]

Still Safe D. A Republican is not going to win in New Mexico, especially considering the national environment and the acrimony that New Mexicans have for Martinez.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Pearce is really popular, and Grisham is the definition of unknown meh generic dem candidate #349,820. Still, go Grisham!

[Ebsy]

Why was an internal poll added to the database?

[L.D. Smith]

I worked this one actually [kinda surprised Tarrance of all firms was contracted since they usually do more neutral tilted polls], and I confirm precisely what Maxwell says.

Even lots of people who identified as Democrats weren't sure what to think of stuff said, especially when guns came up.

[Ye We Can]

Likely D. Lujan Grisham will win by around 5-7, methinks

[UncleSam]

This’ll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Won’t be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

[fluffypanther19]

This’ll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Won’t be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

[LimoLiberal]

This’ll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Won’t be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

Lol, the only evidence for this claim is an internal poll by the R that shows him losing. Has the RGA or DGA reserved airtime? GTFO with this "way closer than it should be"

[MT Treasurer]

There is literally nothing suggesting this race will be even remotely close/competitive except for two R internal polls which... uh... have shown Pearce trailing.

[Young Conservative]

Lujan-Grisham is a weak candidate, but this race will not be close.

[Maxwell]

dems have to be thanking their lucky stars that Pearce is the GOP candidate and not Richard Berry.

[CityofSinners]

There is literally nothing suggesting this race will be even remotely close/competitive except for two R internal polls which... uh... have shown Pearce trailing.