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March 02, 2021, 12:31:17 AM

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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  NM-Gov: Internal Poll Finds Pearce (R) Within MoE of Lujan-Grisham (D)
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Author Topic: NM-Gov: Internal Poll Finds Pearce (R) Within MoE of Lujan-Grisham (D)  (Read 2012 times)
mds32
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« on: April 17, 2018, 04:40:23 PM »

NM Governor
Tarrance Group (R)

Lujan-Grisham (D) - 47%
Pearce (R) - 45%


http://pearcefornm.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Summary-Findings-NM-SW-Survey-April-2018.pdf
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Pollster
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2018, 08:00:53 PM »

If this sample is accurate, even if Pearce is at the high end of the poll's margin of error he is not hitting 50%, something that will likely be necessary to win this race as no libertarian/third party candidate has declared as far as I can find.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2018, 08:02:37 PM »

The polling for this race has continually showed this race as closer than it should be. I blame this on Lujan-Grisham being a blank slate who stands for nothing.
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scutosaurus
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« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2018, 08:05:00 PM »

Still Safe D. A Republican is not going to win in New Mexico, especially considering the national environment and the acrimony that New Mexicans have for Martinez.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: April 17, 2018, 09:20:05 PM »

Pearce is really popular, and Grisham is the definition of unknown meh generic dem candidate #349,820. Still, go Grisham!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2018, 02:24:23 PM »

Why was an internal poll added to the database?
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2018, 04:20:04 PM »

I worked this one actually [kinda surprised Tarrance of all firms was contracted since they usually do more neutral tilted polls], and I confirm precisely what Maxwell says.

Even lots of people who identified as Democrats weren't sure what to think of stuff said, especially when guns came up.

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Ye We Can
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2018, 11:49:16 AM »

Likely D. Lujan Grisham will win by around 5-7, methinks
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UncleSam
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« Reply #8 on: April 24, 2018, 12:47:47 PM »

Thisíll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Wonít be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.
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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #9 on: April 24, 2018, 07:57:25 PM »

Thisíll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Wonít be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #10 on: April 24, 2018, 10:56:58 PM »

Thisíll be way closer than it should be, and in a neutral environment Pearce would win. Wonít be a neutral environment though. Ds should take this.

Lol, the only evidence for this claim is an internal poll by the R that shows him losing. Has the RGA or DGA reserved airtime? GTFO with this "way closer than it should be"
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: April 27, 2018, 04:23:59 PM »

There is literally nothing suggesting this race will be even remotely close/competitive except for two R internal polls which... uh... have shown Pearce trailing.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #12 on: April 27, 2018, 08:15:21 PM »

Lujan-Grisham is a weak candidate, but this race will not be close.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: April 27, 2018, 09:16:14 PM »

dems have to be thanking their lucky stars that Pearce is the GOP candidate and not Richard Berry.
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CityofSinners
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« Reply #14 on: April 28, 2018, 06:26:54 AM »

There is literally nothing suggesting this race will be even remotely close/competitive except for two R internal polls which... uh... have shown Pearce trailing.
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