MO-Mason/Dixon: McCaskill +1 (user search)
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  MO-Mason/Dixon: McCaskill +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Mason/Dixon: McCaskill +1  (Read 5178 times)
KingSweden
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« on: April 11, 2018, 04:29:07 PM »

It’s gonna be a close one!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2018, 04:52:16 PM »


she won’t beat Hawley by that margin, of course, but that’s actually a pretty positive sign
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2018, 05:34:41 PM »


she won’t beat Hawley by that margin, of course, but that’s actually a pretty positive sign

Yep. By my count, McCaskill has posted (1-2 point) leads in recent-ish PPP, Mason-Dixon, and Gravis polls, while Hawley led by 3 in the most recent Remington survey and by 8 in the trashy Axios poll. So the average is something like 45-44 Hawley, but that's obviously positively skewed.

What’s the average without Axios?
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KingSweden
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Posts: 11,227
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2018, 06:27:45 PM »


she won’t beat Hawley by that margin, of course, but that’s actually a pretty positive sign

Yep. By my count, McCaskill has posted (1-2 point) leads in recent-ish PPP, Mason-Dixon, and Gravis polls, while Hawley led by 3 in the most recent Remington survey and by 8 in the trashy Axios poll. So the average is something like 45-44 Hawley, but that's obviously positively skewed.

What’s the average without Axios?

It's 46-44 Hawley with the Axios and 44-44 w/o.

Thank you.

This is a pure, weapons-grade tossup.

My new favorite description
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