MO SEN: McCaskill +4 (MOScout)
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  MO SEN: McCaskill +4 (MOScout)
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Author Topic: MO SEN: McCaskill +4 (MOScout)  (Read 5100 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #50 on: April 22, 2018, 09:39:11 AM »

This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri senate election is Likely Republican in my ratings.

Stop with the Lear type posting.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #51 on: April 22, 2018, 09:41:21 AM »

This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri senate election is Safe Republican in my ratings.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #52 on: April 22, 2018, 10:37:37 AM »

This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri senate election is Safe Republican in my ratings.

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cvparty
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« Reply #53 on: April 22, 2018, 11:56:46 AM »

This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri senate election is Safe Republican in my ratings.

king lear’s spirit
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brand_allen
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« Reply #54 on: April 22, 2018, 12:08:26 PM »

For what it's worth, the Missouri senate race is tied, 45-45%, in an average of polling conducted so far this year.

Remington Research, 4/19-20: McCaskill 48-44%
Mason Dixon, 4/4-6: McCaskill 45-44%
Gravis Marketing, 3/5-7: McCaskill 42-40%
Axios/Survey Monkey, 2/12-3/5: Hawley 52-44%
PPP, 1/8-9: McCaskill 45-44%
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brand_allen
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« Reply #55 on: April 22, 2018, 12:14:14 PM »

Trump's averaging a 49/46% job approval rating in polling conducted this year in Missouri.

It's 49/45% in polling conducted over the last month.

Remington Research, 4/19-20: 50/44%
Mason Dixon, 4/4-6: 47/45%
Gravis Marketing, 3/5-7: 46/50%
Axios/Survey Monkey, 2/12-3/5: 55/43%
Morning Consult, 1/20-2/28: 50/45%
PPP, 1/8-9: 48/47%
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #56 on: April 22, 2018, 12:21:22 PM »

This poll cannot be accurate because the Missouri senate election is Likely Republican in my ratings.

Stop with the Lear type posting.

You’ve done this countless times, too.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #57 on: April 22, 2018, 02:12:28 PM »

For what it's worth, the Missouri senate race is tied, 45-45%, in an average of polling conducted so far this year.

Remington Research, 4/19-20: McCaskill 48-44%
Mason Dixon, 4/4-6: McCaskill 45-44%
Gravis Marketing, 3/5-7: McCaskill 42-40%
Axios/Survey Monkey, 2/12-3/5: Hawley 52-44%
PPP, 1/8-9: McCaskill 45-44%

McCaskill is clearly leading if you exclude the Survey Monkey poll, which absolutely should be excluded due to the completely unscientific nature of how Survey Monkey polls work.

With survey monkey, anyone can create a poll, and then they can send it out to others however they want, and taking it is completely voluntary.

So this is actually completely possible with Survey Monkey:

1. Get a campaign staffer to create a poll for their race.
2. Send the poll out to the entire mailing list of the politician in question.
3. Watch as the skewed sample creates a skewed result.

Survey Monkey was designed for businesses to poll their customers to gauge what their customers want to see (who will only take the time to fill it out if they have strong preferences, and in a way that can easily be set up to reach their target audience, and their target audience only); not for political organizations to poll political topics.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #58 on: April 23, 2018, 07:18:52 AM »

But Atlas told me this race was safe R, just like Michigan after Kid Rock enters!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #59 on: April 23, 2018, 12:09:05 PM »

This poll was apparently conducted by TJP Strategies, a democratic firm out of the Lee's Summit, Missouri, in the KC suburbs. It's run by Patrick Shami, a Axiom Strategies alum, who has apparently switched parties. He has a very impressive resume of state legislative races in his portfolio: Mark Ellebracht and John Rizzo's winning campaigns in Trump districts in 2016 and Rory Rowland's special election victory in 2015.
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