Four More Years II- the Third Obama Administration
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America Needs R'hllor
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« Reply #175 on: July 03, 2018, 06:39:02 AM »

Now that we're done with the pre-midterm primaries and the Obama pre-midterm agenda is completed with the passage of the SOCA, the TL will speed up and we're going to reach the midterms in very few updates. So it's time for the inevitable question- how do you all prefer I present the midterm results, through a CNN coverage format (similar to the way I did the 2016 general election in the previous part), or as a few long posts like this part's news article format?
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« Reply #176 on: July 03, 2018, 08:42:36 AM »

This is easily one of the site's best websites, and your carefulness and detail with the elections and polling is awesome. I really like how you're portraying a split in the GOP by having Trump-aligned candidates succeed in primaries (Blankenship, etc.) along with more establishment or moderate candidates (Dent, etc.).  

As for the coverage of the midterms, assuming it would not be too much work, I would like an instant view of all of the Senate and governorship results with long articles about the races--at least the key ones (Arizona, West Virginia, etc.) or the more interesting ones (New York, etc.).

Side note: I hope the real-life gubernatorial election in New York is as chaotic as this one Tongue
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Duke of York
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« Reply #177 on: July 03, 2018, 10:10:02 AM »

Now that we're done with the pre-midterm primaries and the Obama pre-midterm agenda is completed with the passage of the SOCA, the TL will speed up and we're going to reach the midterms in very few updates. So it's time for the inevitable question- how do you all prefer I present the midterm results, through a CNN coverage format (similar to the way I did the 2016 general election in the previous part), or as a few long posts like this part's news article format?
cnn coverage format
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Continential
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« Reply #178 on: July 03, 2018, 10:12:03 AM »

MSNBC Format
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« Reply #179 on: July 03, 2018, 10:55:01 AM »

This is easily one of the site's best websites, and your carefulness and detail with the elections and polling is awesome. I really like how you're portraying a split in the GOP by having Trump-aligned candidates succeed in primaries (Blankenship, etc.) along with more establishment or moderate candidates (Dent, etc.).  

As for the coverage of the midterms, assuming it would not be too much work, I would like an instant view of all of the Senate and governorship results with long articles about the races--at least the key ones (Arizona, West Virginia, etc.) or the more interesting ones (New York, etc.).

Side note: I hope the real-life gubernatorial election in New York is as chaotic as this one Tongue

Thanks a lot! And this could be a good idea- you'd prefer thos over, say, a gradual CNN reporting and discussion about the races as the prescints report?


As an Israeli, I don't really know pundits other than the well-known CNN ones, so I can't really do that Tongue
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« Reply #180 on: July 03, 2018, 11:58:29 AM »

This is easily one of the site's best websites, and your carefulness and detail with the elections and polling is awesome. I really like how you're portraying a split in the GOP by having Trump-aligned candidates succeed in primaries (Blankenship, etc.) along with more establishment or moderate candidates (Dent, etc.).  

As for the coverage of the midterms, assuming it would not be too much work, I would like an instant view of all of the Senate and governorship results with long articles about the races--at least the key ones (Arizona, West Virginia, etc.) or the more interesting ones (New York, etc.).

Side note: I hope the real-life gubernatorial election in New York is as chaotic as this one Tongue

Thanks a lot! And this could be a good idea- you'd prefer thos over, say, a gradual CNN reporting and discussion about the races as the prescints report?


As an Israeli, I don't really know pundits other than the well-known CNN ones, so I can't really do that Tongue

Same exact format that you did the 2016 elections for this timeline.
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« Reply #181 on: July 03, 2018, 12:35:02 PM »

CNN Format
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« Reply #182 on: July 03, 2018, 03:11:31 PM »

October 14th, 2018

Democratic incumbents in conservative states face shadows of Obamacare 2.0, EPCEA, SOCA as they try to win reelection against tough odds



HELENA - The Guaranteed Healthcare Act, also known as Obamacare 2.0, the Environmental Protection and Clean Energy Act and the Save Our Children Act are the three signature achievements of the Obama administration, passed after hard work and many struggles. They are the three achievements touted by progressives and liberals who increasingly approve of President Obama's three terms. But in states where Republicans have lopsided advantages in federal elections, deeply conservative states, these three achievements are now hounding Democratic incumbents trying to survive and win reelection. Conservatives are pushing the issues hard, accusing the Democrats of supporting the President's agenda to "ruin our healthcare system, hurt businesses and take our guns", as it was phrased by U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke (R), running against Seantor Jon Tester (D). The Democrats are not only accused of supporting Obama- their pictures with other key figures in these bills, such as Health and Human Services Secretary Howard Dean, Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Al Gore and Vice President Tammy Baldwin are also adorning GOP ads attacking these incumbents. On their parts, the Democrats are trying to signal to their record of opposing the President's efforts- Senator Joe Donnelly (D-IN) voted against the GHA but supported the EPCEA and the SOCa, two lines of attack often used by his challenger, former U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R). Senator Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND), meanwhile, opposed every single one of the signature bills, giving her a strong line of argument against her opponent, U.S. Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-ND), but she's still struggling to hold onto her seat in the face of the President's deep unpopularity in her state. Senator Jon Tester (D-MT), on the other hand, supported all three, marking him as the most liberal of the conservative-state Senators. Zinke, his opponent, is using this to hammer Tester and try to turn out enough conservative voters in the traditionally Republican state to unseat the incumbent. If Republicans are unable to claim these seats, their hopes of reclaiming the Senate would be very slim, and so, the RNC and McConnell's Senate Leadership PAC are heavily investing in these races. Whether it'll be enough remains to be seen.

Indiana Senate Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Todd Young- 50%
Senator Joe Donnelly*- 43%
Undecided/Other- 7%

Montana Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Jon Tester*- 46%
U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke- 45%
Undecided/Other- 9%

North Dakota Senate Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Kevin Cramer- 46%
Senator Heidi Heitkamp*- 44%
Undecided/Other- 10%

October 21st, 2018

In symbolic foreign policy victory for Obama, first McDonald's opens in North Korea



SEOUL - As efforts to denuclearize the Korean Peninsula continue, with the Kim Regime reluctantly but slowly working to dismantle its nuclear program as agreed in the Singapore Summit, a symbolic but important event in the opening of North Korea to the west occured today- McDonald's, the famous American food corporation, officially opened its North Korean branch with a first store in Pyongyang. The line to the McDonald's branch, like in many other developing countries where a McDonald's was first opened in the past, was huge, going through several streets. Secretary of Commerce Dean Heller said that it was "a historic event" and that "through trade, we will be able to make gradual change in North Korea", while National Security Advisor James Stavridis seemed more reluctant to celebrate, claiming that "we will have to wait and see if the Kim Regime continues to comply by the agreement's terms when it comes to denuclearization and human rights". Secretary of State Joe Biden is scheduled to travel to Pyongyang in late November for a historic meeting with Kim Jong Un.

October 29th, 2018

With midterms a week away, Republicans hold high hopes of taking back the House despite strong Obama approvals



WASHINGTON, D.C. - The 2018 midterms are just a week away, with pressure reaching a high point in both parties with a large number of Senate races in an uncertain state. President Obama is holding fairly high approvals after passing some major achievements in the first half of his third term- three key bills, the Trans Pacific Pact, international environmental agreements and beginning a normalization with North Korea. However, Republicans are still hopeful, especially about their chances of taking the House- House Minority Leader Paul Ryan (R-WI) said that "we're going to take back the House" and that "Americans know that the Democrats have failed them again and again". Meanwhile, House Minority Whip Steve Scalise reasoned that "in every Obama term, we had great gains in the House, so it's going to be the same now". However, House Majority Leader Steve Israel (D-NY) countered that it's "different", explaining that "the President's approvals are much stronger and the economy is in a fantastic shape". Israel, who was expected to retire in 2016 but decided to remain due to the high chances to advance in leadership, is considered a frontrunner for the position of Democratic leader when Speaker Nancy Pelosi retires.

President Obama Job Approval
Approve- 50%
Disapprove- 43%
Not Sure- 7%

November 6th, 2018

Midterm election day arrives: reports indicate high turnout, both sides extremely energized



CHICAGO - Yesterday, the major party nominees in major races across the country held their final rallies to try and shore up as much support as possible for the midterm elections. And now, the day finally came- voters in all of America came out to vote and choose their Senators, Governor, House Representatives, State Legislators, Mayors and many more local offices. President Obama voted this morning in Chicago, presumably supporting Democratic gubernatorial nominee J.B. Pritzker despite his lukewarm support for the rich businessman, and urged all voters across the country to "come out and participate in our great democracy", regardless of their party affiliation. The midterms are a consequential moment for Obama's third term- if his party manages to hold the House and the Senate, he'll be able to keep getting his agenda through. The elections also hold critical importance for the careers of many major politicians such as Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Minority Leader Paul Ryan and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Right now, most pundits give Republicans a narrow edge for gaining the House and the Senate, though the latter is considered a nearly pure tossup with many close, uncertain races.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #183 on: July 03, 2018, 03:14:42 PM »

I hope Tester survives. Looks like Donnelly and possibly Heitkamp are gone Sad
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« Reply #184 on: July 03, 2018, 03:55:15 PM »

Making a Democrat in a D+1 District (maybe give or take a few because of differences in this timeline) part of the leadership will not end well.
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« Reply #185 on: July 03, 2018, 06:08:28 PM »

Making a Democrat in a D+1 District (maybe give or take a few because of differences in this timeline) part of the leadership will not end well.
Israel has always been popular and won reelection by wide margins.
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« Reply #186 on: July 09, 2018, 01:52:26 PM »

When's the next update (midterms election coverage)?
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« Reply #187 on: July 09, 2018, 04:15:56 PM »

MIDTERM NIGHT, Part I


Anderson Cooper: Hello, and welcome to CNN's official coverage of the 2018 midterm election night. We'll be reporting to you immediately when results from each of the many interesting Senate and Governor races today start arriving, and analyzing the data as it arrives.

Wolf Blitzer: Right. And we're already at 6 PM, so we have first results from the first states closing many of their polls- Indiana and Kentucky. CNN will right now classify the Senate race in Indiana, between Republican former U.S. Representative and 2016 Senate nominee Todd Young and incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly as too close to call. In the same time, the race in Kentucky's 6th congreessional district between Lexington Mayor Jim Gray, a Democrat, and Representative Andy Barr, a Republican, is too close to call. In a district where Lexington, as well as other cities, are dominant, this is one of the only pickup opportunities for Democrats in a year favourable for Republicans.

John King: And we can already say that the race in Indiana seems to be favouring Rep. Young- the polls were showing that Donnelly doesn't have much of a chance to hold on, and the data seems to be confirming it. Young is especially overperforming in suburbs and urban areas, though Senator Donnelly is holding on relatively well in rural areas.

Dana Bash: It could be understood politically, actually. Donnelly was very consistent on issues important to these rural voters- he opposed gun control legislation, he opposed environmental intervention, he opposed free trade. He did what he needed to do. But, it seems, in the end it's not really going to matter against the national environment. Let's not eulogize him yet, though, and wait for the results.

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Indiana Senate Race (4% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 51.9%
Senator Joe Donnelly (D)*- 46.7%

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« Reply #188 on: July 09, 2018, 05:17:44 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2018, 02:46:55 AM by Parrotguy »

MIDTERM NIGHT, Part II


Blitzer: Thank you for tuning in to our coverage of the 2018 midterm elections again. We're now at the 7 PM hour, with a bunch of more states closing their polls, including some very important races. We'll now be able to get first results from the Senate and Governor races in Georgia, Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia, as well as more results from the rest of the polling places in Indiana and Kentucky.

Jake Tapper: Right, and we're now already able to call the Senate race in Vermont, where Senator Bernie Sanders, an Independent caucusing with the Democrats who was the runner-up to President Obama in the 2016 Democratic Presidential primary, easily won reelection over his Republican opponent, businessman Rocky De La Fuente. And in South Carolina, we're ready to make an early call in favour of Republican U.S. Representative Trey Gowdy, who easily dispatched his opponent, Democratic businessman Phil Noble.

Cooper: But right now, these are the only races we feel ready to call. The Senate race in Virginia, between Republican businesswoman Carly Fiorina and incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine, is too early to call rather than too close, with a strong advantage for Kaime. Same for the gubernatorial race in Vermont, where Governor Phil Scott, a Republican, is leading his Democratic opponent, CEO Christine Hallquist, but it's too early to call right now.

Bash: And there are several interesting races we're unable to call right now- the Georgia gubernatorial race, between controversial Republican businessman Herman Cain and Demcoratic former State House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams, is too close to call. Same for the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, where incumbent Democrat Colin Van Ostern is up against former Republican Massachussetts Senator Scott Brown Also too close to call are the two Florida races- the Senate race, where Democratic Senator Bill Nelson is facing off against Republican former Senator and 2016 Presidential candidate Marco Rubio in his comeback bid, and the gubernatorial race, where Republcian former Arkansas Governor and 2008 and 2016 Presidential candidate Mike Huckabee, Democratic Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, and independent famous lawyer John Morgan are locked in a tight three-way race.

King: And we also can't call the Indiana Senate race right now, although Senator Donnelly has narrowed Rep. Young's lead for now. Let's take a look at the results so far.

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Florida Senate Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio (R)- 49.8%
Senator Bill Nelson (D)*- 49.6%

Indiana Senate Race (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 50.7%
Senator Joe Donnelly (D)*- 47.8%

Vermont Senate Race (2% Reporting)- INDEPENDENT HOLD
Senator Bernie Sanders (D)*- 83.9% ✓
Son of God Rocky De La Fuente (R)- 12.1%

Virginia Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Senator Tim Kaine (D)*- 51.2%
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina (R)- 47.5%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Georgia Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Herman Cain (R)- 50.4%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 49.4%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee (R)- 39.9%
Lawyer John Morgan- 36.3%
Mayor Andrew Gillum (D)- 23.0%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (<1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Colin Van Ostern (D)*- 55.5%
Fmr. MA Senator Scott Brown (R)- 43.5%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Race (3% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
U.S. Rep. Trey Gowdy (R)- 58.7% ✓
Businessman Phil Noble (D)- 40.1%

Vermont Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Governor Phil Scott (R)*- 54.8%
CEO Christine Hallquist (D)- 41.5%
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« Reply #189 on: July 09, 2018, 09:55:29 PM »

FL is gonna be a disaster.
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« Reply #190 on: July 16, 2018, 09:11:06 PM »

"Son of God Rocky de La Fuente"

But seriously, this is an amazing timeline. Keep up the good work!
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« Reply #191 on: July 21, 2018, 10:42:29 PM »

Kean! Kean! Kean! Kean! Kean!
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« Reply #192 on: July 22, 2018, 12:06:42 AM »

MOAR
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« Reply #193 on: July 24, 2018, 04:41:49 PM »
« Edited: July 24, 2018, 06:02:28 PM by Parrotguy »

MIDTERM NIGHT, Part III


Cooper: ...And we can now finally call the gubernatorial race in Vermont. Phil Scott, the incumbent Republican Governor, will be reelected by a wide margin.

Bash: Not unexpected, considering Scott has been a moderate and popular Governor, and his challenger is a fairly unknown CEO, not exactly enthusing the progressive Democrats in the state.

Tapper: But now, we've reached 7:30 PM, another crucial hour tonight, and as we close the polls in three more states we cannot yet call any of the races there- in Ohio, we cannot call the Senate race between Governor John Kasich and Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, and in West Virginia, the race for Joe Manchin's open seat between Republican Don Blankenship and Democrat Carte Goodwin is also too close to call. As for Ohio's gubernatorial race, we also cannot call it, though trends show that Republican State Attorney General Mike DeWine is holding a healthy advantage against Democratic State Senator Joe Schiavoni. So, John, how's it looking for the two parties right now?

King: Well, it's really quite early to tell. It appears as if Democrats do not have much to worry about in the Virginia Senate race, but that one of their vulnerable incumbents, Indiana Senator Joe Donnelly, is heading towards a painful defeat if the trends hold. However, Demcorats were expecting to suffer some losses tonight and three Senate seats they were really hoping to hold tonight, in Florida, Ohio and West Virginia, will be close. This will likely be a long night.

Blitzer: Yes, and in the latter race, especially, it looks like Democrats got an unexpected gift- after Senator Manchin's retirement, they were expecting to lose the seat handily, but when Republicans nominated businessman Don Blankenship, a felon convicted for misdemeanor in an incident where 29 miners were killed and is very unpopular statewide, and when U.S. Rep. Evan Jenkins, who lost the Republican primary, launched a write-in campaign to oppose Blankenship, it looked like the liberal but young former interim Senator and 2016 gubernatorial nominee Carte Goodwin will have a chance. We shall have to see if that materializes or if the U.S. Senate will be home to a convicted felon. Finally, in the Georgia gubernatorial race, the far-right businessman Herman Cain appears to be having trouble against his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, giving Democrats a rare opportunity in what's shaping up to be a tough and long night.

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Florida Senate Race (8% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio (R)- 50.2%
Senator Bill Nelson (D)*- 49.1%

Indiana Senate Race (23% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 51.9%
Senator Joe Donnelly (D)*- 47.1%

Ohio Senate Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Sherrod Brown*- 51.4%
Governor John Kasich- 48.2%

Virginia Senate Race (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Tim Kaine (D)*- 52.5%
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina (R)- 46.7%

West Virginia Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Don Blankenship- 47.2%
Fmr. Senator Carte Goodwin- 46.0%
U.S. Rep. Evan Jenkins (Write-in)- 5.6%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Georgia Gubernatorial Race (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Herman Cain (R)- 49.9%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 49.6%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (8% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee (R)- 41.3%
Lawyer John Morgan- 36.1%
Mayor Andrew Gillum (D)- 21.9%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (5% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Colin Van Ostern (D)*- 51.0%
Fmr. MA Senator Scott Brown (R)- 47.8%

Ohio Gubernatorial Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Att. Gen. Mike DeWeine- 51.9%
State Sen. Joe Schiavoni- 47.5%

Vermont Gubernatorial Race (10% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Phil Scott (R)*- 58.3% ✓
CEO Christine Hallquist (D)- 38.5%
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« Reply #194 on: August 06, 2018, 11:46:43 PM »

Is this dead? I love this timeline and am pumped to see how the midterms shape up!
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« Reply #195 on: August 07, 2018, 12:40:20 AM »

Is this dead? I love this timeline and am pumped to see how the midterms shape up!

This is not dead, but I nearly am after failing two exams Tongue I'll get back to it soon enough! Smiley
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« Reply #196 on: August 07, 2018, 09:01:08 AM »

Florida Gubernatorial Race (8% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee (R)- 41.3%
Lawyer John Morgan- 36.1%
Mayor Andrew Gillum (D)- 21.9%

GILLUM GILLUM GILLUM !
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« Reply #197 on: August 10, 2018, 04:10:11 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2018, 02:47:02 AM by Parrotguy »

MIDTERM NIGHT, Part IV


Blitzer: Thank you for tuning in to CNN's election night coverage again. It's 8 PM and we're now at a very important moment tonight as the polls have closed in a myriad of states.

Tapper: Indeed. There are Senate and gubernatorial races in many of these states right now, and we can already make some calls. We can call a few Senate races for the Democratic incumbents- Chris Murphy in Connecticut will be reelected safely, as will Tom Carper in Delaware, Ben Cardin in Maryland, Elizabeth Warren from Massachusetts and Sheldon Whitehouse from Rhode Island. We can also already say that several Republicans have won reelection tonight- the Senator from Misssissippi, Roger Wicker, and Ted Cruz in Texas. We can also make a surprisingly early call in favour of Republican Governor Bill Haslam, who now won Senator Bob Corker's open seat in the state after his retirement, and kept it in Republican hands.

Bash: Indeed, this is fairly surprising, considering the seat in Tennessee was open and the Democratic candidate, former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean, was considered strong. But Haslam, who has support from both moderates and conservatives and the national winds behind him, proved too popular for the Democrats to endanger. The other Senate races where polls are closed cannot be projected- the elections in Michigan, Missouri, New Jersey and Pennsylvania are all too close to call. The last two are especially intersting, pitting moderate Republicans against endangered Democrats in seats the President's party thought were safe. However, the race in Maine is just too early to call, with incumbent Democratic-leaning Independent Angus King leading quite strongly.

Cooper: Indeed, and the race in Michigan, where former Governor John Engler is facing popular Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow, is one to watch- if Republicans can win here, it means they're having a very good night. We also have some calls in the gubernatorial races- in Texas, Republican Governor Greg Abbott will win reelection while another Republican incumbent, Kay Ivey of Aalbama, will win her race tonight. And surprisingly early calls in Massachusetts too, where we can project Republican Governor Charlie Baker will win reelection. Also, we can already say that in Tennessee, retiring Senator Bob Corker will win the governorship against Democratic Mayor Andy Berke.

Blitzer: Of course, there are plenty of races we cannot, at this time, call- the gubernatorial races in Maryland and Oklahoma are too early to call but Republicans Larry Hogan and Scott Pruitt hold strong leads, while we can say that the races in Connecticut, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island are too close to call. In many of these states, Democrats are under assault by a crop of centrist Republicans. But at the same time, we have very conservative candidates like Pruitt in Oklahoma and, likely, Herman Cain in Georgia achieving success, so it remains to be seen what will happen. All we can say for sure is that this is going to be a very long night.

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Connecticut Senate Race (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Chris Murphy (D)*- 60.4% ✓
Businesswoman Linda McMahon (R)- 37.9%

Delaware Senate Race (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Tom Carper (D)*- 58.2% ✓
Activist Christine O'Donnell (R)- 39.7%

Florida Senate Race (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio (R)- 49.8%
Senator Bill Nelson (D)*- 49.4%

Indiana Senate Race (29% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 52.1%
Senator Joe Donnelly (D)*- 46.9%

Maine Senate Race (1% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Senator Angus King*- 47.3%
Governor Paul LePage- 35.3%
Mr. Zak Ringelstein- 13.9%

Maryland Senate Race (1% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Ben Cardin (D)*- 62.8% ✓
Mr. Tony Campbell (R)- 35.3%

Massachusetts Senate Race (1% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D)*- 56.1% ✓
Mr. Curt Schilling (R)- 41.2%

Michigan Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Debbie Stabenow (D)*- 49.8%
Fmr. Governor John Engler (R)- 49.1%

Mississippi Senate Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator Roger Wicker (R)*- 61.6% ✓
Fmr. State Rep. David Baria (D)- 35.9%

Missouri Senate Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Claire McCaskill (D)*- 43.7%
State Att. Gen. Josh Hawley (R)- 43.1%
Businessman Austin Petersen (L)- 12.8%

New Jersey Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Sen. Thomas Kean Jr. (R)- 49.2%
Senator Bob Menendez (D)*- 48.7%

Ohio Senate Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Sherrod Brown (D)*- 50.8%
Governor John Kasich (R)- 48.7%

Pennsylvania Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Tom Wolf (D)- 50.5%
Fmr. Governor Tom Ridge (R)- 48.1%

Rhode Island Senate Race (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D)*- 61.7% ✓
State Rep. Robert Nardolillo (R)- 37.4%

Tennessee Senate Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Bill Haslam (R)- 54.8% ✓
Fmr. Mayor Karl Dean (D)- 44.5%

Texas Senate Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator Ted Cruz (R)*- 53.6% ✓
Fmr. Sherriff Lupe Valdez (D)- 45.4%

Virginia Senate Race (15% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Tim Kaine (D)*- 53.0%
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina (R)- 46.1%

West Virginia Senate Election (8% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Don Blankenship (R)- 46.8%
Fmr. Senator Carte Goodwin (D)- 45.7%
U.S. Rep. Evan Jenkins (Write-in)- 6.3%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Alabama Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Kay Ivey (R)*- 56.5% ✓
Fmr. Chief Justice Sue Bell Cobb (D)- 42.2%

Connecticut Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Erin Stewart (R)- 50.6%
State Sen. Edward M. Kennedy Jr. (D)- 48.5%

Georgia Gubernatorial Race (15% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Herman Cain (R)- 49.8%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 49.6%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee (R)- 40.8%
Lawyer John Morgan- 34.7%
Mayor Andrew Gillum (D)- 23.9%

Illinois Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Bruce Rauner (R)*- 45.5%
Businessman J.B. Pritzker (D)- 43.9%
Attorney Rich Whitney (G)- 10.3%

Kansas Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sec. of State Kris Kobach (R)- 48.5%
Businessman Greg Orman\Fmr. Sec. of Agriculture Josh Svaty (I\D)- 47.9%

Maine Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Activist Betsy Sweet (D)- 40.6%
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R)- 39.9%
State Treasurer Terry Hayes (I)- 15.3%
Fmr. Mayor John Jenkins (I)- 4.2%

Maryland Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Governor Larry Hogan (R)*- 53.8%
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous (D)- 45.4%

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Charlie Baker (R)*- 67.8% ✓
Executive Jay Gonzalez (D)- 31.3%

Michigan Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Gretchen Whitmer (D)- 51.0%
State Att. Gen. Bill Schutte (R)- 48.7%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (10% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Colin Van Ostern (D)*- 50.2%
Fmr. MA Senator Scott Brown (R)- 48.5%

Ohio Gubernatorial Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Att. Gen. Mike DeWeine- 52.4%
State Sen. Joe Schiavoni- 46.8%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
State Att. Gen. Scott Pruitt (R)*- 54.0%
Fmr. State Sen. Connie Johnson (D)- 45.0%

Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Charlie Dent- 53.6%
Fmr. Chief of Staff Kathleen McGinty- 45.6%

Rhode Island Gubernatorial Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Allan Fung (R)- 40.1%
Governor Gina Raimondo (D)*- 37.0%
Fmr. Governor Lincoln Chafee (M)- 22.9%

Tennessee Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Senator Bob Corker (R)- 55.1% ✓
Mayor Andy Berke (D)- 43.8%

Texas Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Greg Abbott (R)*- 64.2% ✓
Entrepreneur Andrew White (D)- 35.4%
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Computer89
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« Reply #198 on: August 10, 2018, 04:39:16 PM »

Good news for the GOP in OH and PA .


The early vote usually favors the Dems in OH and PA(basically a reverse VA) so if its this close its definitely good news for them
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #199 on: August 11, 2018, 05:32:30 AM »
« Edited: August 11, 2018, 06:07:40 AM by Parrotguy »

MIDTERM NIGHT, Part V


Tapper: Now, as more time passes, we're starting to get more results. And we can already make some calls, right?

Blitzer: Yes, another round of poll-closings approach, this time just in the state of Arkansas, but before that, we can report that in the past minutes, we've been able to make several important calls. In Virginia, we can confirm that the Senate race will be won by Democratic incumbent Tim Kaine. Initially thought vulnerable, Kaine was challenged by businesswoman and 2016 Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina. But she quickly enough proved herself an insufficient candidate- she was forced to tack hard to the right to fend off far-right conservatives Laura Ingraham and Corey Stewart in the primary, and her hard line against abortion, after advancing conspiracy theories against Planned Parenthood in a Presidential primary debate, proved unpopular with the Virginia voters she needed to win. So this is why we're already making such an early call in favour of Senator Kaine, whose Senatorial campaign was calm and disciplined. It's certainly a disappointment for Republicans, who hoped to used the national environment to finally achieve a statewide victory in Virginia, an old stronghold of theirs.

Bash: But this is not all- as of now, we've managed to make several new calls in the gubernatorial races, as well. In Oklahoma, despite the hopes that the far-right, anti-environmentalist Attorney General Scott Pruitt would make the race competitive, Demcorat Connie Johnson fell far short and we can already call the race for him. Governor Pruitt will certainly be one of the most conservative in the nation. Also, we can make a surprising and early call in Maryland- Governor Larry Hogan, a relative moderate, was reelected, defeating progressive Ben Jealous, who many fault for running a dismal campaign in a red state Democrats could've won.

King: At the same time, we're unable to call many of our key races tonight. Several of the Senate races, like in Florida, Ohio, New Jersey and Pennsylvnia look very close, and we'll likely still be watching those deep into the night. These races have strong Republican candidates running against vulnerable Democrats, but at the same time, in conservative states like Missouri and West Virgina, we're seeing Democrats heading towards potential upsets against Republicans who ran less-than-good campaigns. But while we've been able to call many Senate races so far, the gubernatorial map remains even murkeier- we're seeing an array of very close races, not just in swing states but also traditionally liberal one such as Connecticut and Rhode Island, or traditionally conservative ones like Georgia and Kansas, and it looks like we might be watching many of those for long hours.

Tapper: Right. And now, as we've reached the 8:30 P.M. mark, the polls in the state of Arkansas have closed. There was no Senate race here, but we can already call the gubernatorial one, with popular Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson easily winning reelection over Democratic nominee Jared Henderson. This was not a surprise, since...

Cooper: Hold on, Jake, we can right now make another key call. In Maine's Senate race, Democratic-caucusing Independent Angus King will win reelection over a challenge from current Governor Paul LePage, a very controversial and conservative Republican who, despite past racist statemenets and low approvals, was thought as a potentially strong candidate due to his role as Governor. Now, despite progressive Democrat Zak Ringlestein running an insurgent campaign, King will defeat LePage. This is a disappointment to Republicans, but not a surprise- while King ran a clean campaign capitalizing on Maine's fondness for independents, LePage ran an unhinged campaign with numerous gaffes and attacks on King that did not resonate well in the state.

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Florida Senate Race (20% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Bill Nelson (D)*- 49.6%
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio (R)- 49.5%

Indiana Senate Race (29% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Todd Young (R)- 51.9%
Senator Joe Donnelly (D)*- 47.0%

Maine Senate Race (8% Reporting)- INDEPENDENT HOLD
Senator Angus King*- 51.2% ✓
Governor Paul LePage- 37.8%
Mr. Zak Ringelstein- 7.1%

Michigan Senate Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Debbie Stabenow (D)*- 50.7%
Fmr. Governor John Engler (R)- 48.0%

Missouri Senate Election (10% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Claire McCaskill (D)*- 44.9%
State Att. Gen. Josh Hawley (R)- 42.2%
Businessman Austin Petersen (L)- 12.6%

New Jersey Senate Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Bob Menendez (D)*- 49.0%
State Sen. Thomas Kean Jr. (R)- 48.8%

Ohio Senate Election (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Sherrod Brown (D)*- 50.7%
Governor John Kasich (R)- 48.9%

Pennsylvania Senate Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Tom Wolf (D)- 50.9%
Fmr. Governor Tom Ridge (R)- 47.6%

Virginia Senate Race (22% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Tim Kaine (D)*- 55.3% ✓
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina (R)- 43.9%

West Virginia Senate Election (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. Senator Carte Goodwin (D)- 46.6%
Businessman Don Blankenship (R)- 45.9%
U.S. Rep. Evan Jenkins (Write-in)- 6.0%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Arkansas Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Asa Hutchinson (R)*- 65.8% ✓
Executive Jared Henderson (D)- 33.1%

Connecticut Gubernatorial Race (10% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Erin Stewart (R)- 50.0%
State Sen. Edward M. Kennedy Jr. (D)- 49.7%

Georgia Gubernatorial Race (21% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Herman Cain (R)- 50.0%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 49.3%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (20% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee (R)- 41.6%
Lawyer John Morgan- 32.7%
Mayor Andrew Gillum (D)- 24.8%

Illinois Gubernatorial Race (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Bruce Rauner (R)*- 45.6%
Businessman J.B. Pritzker (D)- 43.0%
Attorney Rich Whitney (G)- 11.1%

Kansas Gubernatorial Race (10% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Businessman Greg Orman\Fmr. Sec. of Agriculture Josh Svaty (I\D)- 49.1%
Sec. of State Kris Kobach (R)- 47.2%

Maine Gubernatorial Race (8% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Activist Betsy Sweet (D)- 41.2%
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin (R)- 39.8%
State Treasurer Terry Hayes (I)- 14.9%
Fmr. Mayor John Jenkins (I)- 4.0%

Maryland Gubernatorial Race (9% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Larry Hogan (R)*- 54.2% ✓
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous (D)- 44.9%

Michigan Gubernatorial Race (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Gretchen Whitmer (D)- 51.3%
State Att. Gen. Bill Schutte (R)- 48.3%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (18% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Governor Colin Van Ostern (D)*- 49.5%
Fmr. MA Senator Scott Brown (R)- 49.5%

Ohio Gubernatorial Election (16% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Att. Gen. Mike DeWeine- 53.1%
State Sen. Joe Schiavoni- 46.2%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Race (10% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
State Att. Gen. Scott Pruitt (R)- 53.8% ✓
Fmr. State Sen. Connie Johnson (D)- 45.3%

Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
U.S. Rep. Charlie Dent- 51.7%
Fmr. Chief of Staff Kathleen McGinty- 47.6%

Rhode Island Gubernatorial Election (10% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Allan Fung (R)- 41.3%
Governor Gina Raimondo (D)*- 36.4%
Fmr. Governor Lincoln Chafee (M)- 21.8%
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